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Fenerbahce vs Afyon Belediye Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 94-74
23-13 24-20 26-17 21-24
Position#2
Record9-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game76.1
vs
Position#9
Record5-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game82.4
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 11
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Afyon Belediye
05 Dec 2021
FEN100
ABE51
06 Dec 2020
FEN94
ABE74
03 Nov 2019
FEN86
ABE80
15 Dec 2018
FEN92
ABE68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Afyon Belediye winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#18
W
83-71
83
71
+12
79avg 79
H06/11
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#7
W
90-79
90
79
+11
88avg 79
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#2
L
55-97
55
97
-42
no box
A12/11
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#6
W
82-81
82
81
+1
80avg 79
A14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#10
L
68-86
68
86
-18
59avg 79
A17/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
74-94
74
94
-20
65avg 79
A20/11
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
70-56
70
56
+14
no box
H22/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#8
L
86-90
86
90
-4
84avg 79
H27/11
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#13
L
91-93 OT
91
93
-2
no box
A01/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
73-65
73
65
+8
70avg 79
A03/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
19-15
23-20
18-16
19-17
20-19
23-21
28-22
17-28
12-23
9-18
17-28
15-21
21-22
26-17
20-21
21-20
15-25
23-19
9-22
12-28
24-21
15-23
23-22
13-13
13-12
26-18
18-13
17-16
26-17
21-26
22-31
29-28
20-19
18-23
15-12
23-14
22-18
8-21
20-12
158.4Avg total
77.2Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.676.1165.7+13.590%
Season at home (5)94.270.2164.4+24.0100%
Season away (5)85.082.0167.0+3.080%
Last 10 (10)77.281.2158.4-4.050%
Last 5 (5)78.879.6158.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.679.4150.0-8.840%
vs Similar (7)76.477.7154.1-1.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.275.2160.4+10.188%
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Afyon BelediyeTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelediye
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#8
W
78-70
78
70
+8
no box
H27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
81-78
81
78
+3
73avg 73
A04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
L
75-89
75
89
-14
72avg 73
H11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
L
77-102
77
102
-25
65avg 73
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
L
84-89
84
89
-5
73avg 73
H24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
76-70
76
70
+6
67avg 73
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
79-74
79
74
+5
82avg 73
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
69avg 73
A15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
L
82-96
82
96
-14
86avg 73
A21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
W
76-70
76
70
+6
72avg 73
H02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
22-15
16-9
25-25
29-19
23-21
11-18
18-20
18-26
17-24
17-23
23-16
20-24
19-26
17-28
21-24
22-28
11-16
21-18
30-27
21-10
16-16
13-21
26-23
21-19
21-24
25-12
12-19
19-17
17-24
15-28
16-17
25-31
11-24
26-16
20-25
19-27
18-12
22-15
17-16
159.9Avg total
77.5Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.582.4159.9-4.950%
Season at home (5)78.478.4156.8+0.060%
Season away (5)76.686.4163.0-9.840%
Last 10 (10)77.582.4159.9-4.950%
Last 5 (5)76.079.2155.2-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)75.182.8157.9-7.614%
vs Similar (12)79.880.0159.8-0.250%
vs Weaker (4)87.077.5164.5+9.575%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.4-0.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.4-0.4
FenerbahceAfyon Belediye
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#18
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H06/11
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#2
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A12/11
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#6
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#10
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A17/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A20/11
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H22/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#8
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H27/11
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A01/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A03/12
Euroleague
77.7Avg total
38.1Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.536.778.2+4.763%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.133.476.5+9.792%-
Last 30 away (17)40.239.379.5+0.941%-
Last 10 (10)38.139.677.7-1.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.277.0+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.639.075.6-2.440%-
vs Similar (7)39.335.674.9+3.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.536.880.4+6.771%-
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Afyon BelediyeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#8
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
80.8Avg total
38.4Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.579.8-3.233%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.640.176.7-3.625%-
Last 30 away (14)40.243.183.3-2.943%-
Last 10 (10)38.442.480.8-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.878.4-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.642.678.2-7.114%-
vs Similar (12)42.141.483.5+0.750%-
vs Weaker (4)36.237.874.0-1.550%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.6
54.7%
53.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.0
34.5%
36.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.314.5
83.8%
74.6%14.5
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Afyon Belediyetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Afyon Belediye: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.419.3
49.0%
53.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.6
37.2%
36.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws15.512.1
78.1%
74.6%12.1
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WLLWLLWLWW
Afyon Belediye
WLLWWLLLWW
#2
League position
#9
-5.2
Net rating
-6.7
108.3
Offensive rating
104.2
113.4
Defensive rating
110.8
53.6%
Effective FG%
51.5%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
18.4%
Turnover %
21.3%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.5%
3-point %
37.2%
68.1%
Assist %
65.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 104.2Defence113.4 · 110.8Shooting53.6% · 51.5%3-point %34.5% · 37.2%Ball care18.4% · 21.3%Off. rebounds26.1% · 33.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Afyon Belediye
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Fenerbahce wins
0
Afyon Belediye wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/20AZenit Petersburg73-65
01/12/20ABuyukcekmece91-93 OT
27/11/20HValencia86-90
22/11/20HBahcesehir Kol.70-56
20/11/20AReal Madrid74-94
17/11/20ABaskonia68-86
14/11/20ATurk Telekom82-81
12/11/20ABarcelona55-97
08/11/20HDarussafaka90-79
06/11/20HKhimki M.83-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/20HBursaspor76-70
21/11/20AKarsiyaka82-96
15/11/20AAnadolu Efes67-86
08/11/20HBuyukcekmece79-74
31/10/20ABahcesehir Kol.76-70
24/10/20HTurk Telekom84-89
17/10/20ADarussafaka77-102
11/10/20HTofas75-89
04/10/20APetkim Spor81-78
27/09/20HGaziantep78-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game89.694.285.0
Allowed / game76.170.282.0
Point differential+13.5+24.0+3.0
Avg total165.7164.4167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Afyon Belediye
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game77.578.476.6
Allowed / game82.478.486.4
Point differential-4.9+0.0-9.8
Avg total159.9156.8163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes10100100%87.171.2+15.9
2 Fenerbahce109190%89.676.1+13.5
3 Karsiyaka107370%81.574.7+6.8
4 Turk Telekom117464%85.583.2+2.3
5 Afyon Belediye105550%77.582.4-4.9
6 Tofas115645%87.283.9+3.3
7 Darussafaka115645%83.079.9+3.1
8 Petkim Spor115645%82.079.9+2.1
9 Gaziantep94544%73.274.1-0.9
10 Buyukcekmece94544%83.489.3-5.9
11 Bahcesehir Kol.104640%80.981.0-0.1
12 Besiktas114736%82.583.5-0.9
13 Galatasaray114736%82.986.8-3.9
14 Bursaspor103730%82.387.3-5.0
15 OGM Ormanspor103730%78.590.5-12.0
16 Fethiye Bld.103730%74.288.8-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2324262194
Afyon Belediye1320172474
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