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Fenerbahce vs Besiktas Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 21 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:45
Scheduled
Position#7
Record6-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game76.6
vs
Position#11
Record4-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game91.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 24· Ulker Spor ve Etkinlik Salonu
European cup2026
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Besiktas
26 Mar 2027
FEN v BES
upcoming
21 Jan 2027
FEN v BES
upcoming
15 Jun 2026
FEN93
BES68
13 Jun 2026
FEN80
BES88
13 May 2026
FEN72
BES85
24 Sep 2025
FEN85
BES83
25 Jun 2025
FEN84
BES68
19 Jun 2025
FEN84
BES76
17 Jun 2025
FEN94
BES76
16 Feb 2025
FEN104
BES81
12 Jan 2025
FEN90
BES79
01 Jun 2024
FEN98
BES72
30 May 2024
FEN96
BES88
18 Apr 2024
FEN87
BES66
16 Feb 2024
FEN99
BES68
18 Mar 2023
FEN95
BES80
19 Mar 2022
FEN90
BES81
17 Jan 2021
FEN83
BES92
10 Nov 2019
FEN84
BES80
06 Oct 2018
FEN78
BES73
05 May 2018
FEN83
BES60
11 Jun 2017
FEN83
BES74
09 Jun 2017
FEN75
BES69
06 May 2017
FEN93
BES76
15 Feb 2013
FEN78
BES72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Besiktas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Korfez Basket
#9
W
85-84
85
84
+1
H04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#1
L
74-92
74
92
-18
A08/10
Euroleague
Cayirova
#16
W
100-85
100
85
+15
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
99-80
99
80
+19
H13/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H15/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#7
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#10
W
97-72
97
72
+25
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#5
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#4
L
76-95
76
95
-19
A29/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
20-26
23-11
17-29
24-27
17-19
14-21
19-25
23-16
32-23
22-27
23-19
27-14
23-29
28-13
21-24
12-19
13-9
34-16
15-21
12-24
21-15
18-19
26-24
8-20
16-14
21-15
19-12
25-16
24-20
25-14
23-22
9-19
16-17
21-24
32-26
24-22
18-25
13-23
21-25
162.6Avg total
82.4Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.976.6156.4+3.367%
Season at home (5)85.471.0156.4+14.4100%
Season away (4)73.083.5156.5-10.525%
Last 10 (10)82.480.2162.6+2.260%
Last 5 (5)78.479.2157.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.591.0164.5-17.50%
vs Similar (18)82.278.8161.1+3.467%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)90.574.4164.9+16.1100%
This opponent (Besiktas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BesiktasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trabzonspor
#6
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#20
W
92-84
92
84
+8
A09/10
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#2
L
63-88
63
88
-25
A11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
82-100
82
100
-18
A14/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#18
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H16/10
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#8
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#14
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A22/10
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
96-100
96
100
-4
A24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H28/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
103-101
103
101
+2
A30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
22-29
26-20
18-15
28-20
21-31
24-20
19-13
14-24
13-27
19-19
17-18
18-22
21-21
16-32
27-25
26-17
27-18
16-23
26-29
19-22
25-17
20-21
19-20
17-29
19-28
24-11
20-21
24-31
26-21
21-19
25-29
23-25
13-17
22-19
15-20
24-24
23-30
23-20
33-27
174.8Avg total
85.7Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)90.091.8181.8-1.844%
Season at home (4)86.089.8175.8-3.825%
Season away (5)93.293.4186.6-0.260%
Last 10 (10)85.789.1174.8-3.450%
Last 5 (5)87.090.2177.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)82.890.1172.9-7.425%
vs Similar (14)80.984.4165.3-3.643%
vs Weaker (8)89.181.4170.5+7.875%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
FenerbahceBesiktas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Korfez Basket
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A08/10
Euroleague
Cayirova
#16
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H13/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H15/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#7
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#10
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#5
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A29/10
Euroleague
78.1Avg total
38.9Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.981.0+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.538.477.9+1.157%-
Last 30 away (16)42.641.283.8+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.278.1-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)34.638.473.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.544.281.8-6.80%-
vs Similar (18)39.640.880.3-1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)46.535.682.1+10.988%-
This opponent (Besiktas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BesiktasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trabzonspor
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H05/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#20
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A09/10
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#2
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A14/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#18
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H16/10
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#14
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A22/10
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H28/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A30/10
Euroleague
89.7Avg total
42.7Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.085.6-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.141.384.4+1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)42.244.686.8-2.440%-
Last 10 (10)42.747.089.7-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)42.648.891.4-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.246.687.9-5.412%-
vs Similar (14)41.642.183.7-0.457%-
vs Weaker (8)45.840.986.6+4.962%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.5 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.618.8
57.7%
55.2%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.7
32.9%
35.5%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.115.2
75.6%
77.3%15.2
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Besiktastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Besiktas: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.5 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.4
53.4%
55.2%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.0
36.0%
35.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws15.912.8
80.5%
77.3%12.8
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
LLWWLWWWLW
Besiktas
WLLLWWLLWW
#7
League position
#11
+1.9
Net rating
-4.2
96.7
Offensive rating
100.2
94.8
Defensive rating
104.4
53.7%
Effective FG%
53.6%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
15.6%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.9%
3-point %
36.0%
61.1%
Assist %
61.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 100.2Defence94.8 · 104.4Shooting53.7% · 53.6%3-point %32.9% · 36.0%Ball care15.6% · 14.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Besiktas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Fenerbahce wins
3
Besiktas wins
DateGameScore
19/06/26Besiktas v Fenerbahce75-77
17/06/26Besiktas v Fenerbahce71-82
15/06/26Fenerbahce v Besiktas93-68
13/06/26Fenerbahce v Besiktas80-88
13/05/26Fenerbahce v Besiktas72-85
04/01/26Besiktas v Fenerbahce87-101
24/09/25Fenerbahce v Besiktas85-83
25/06/25Fenerbahce v Besiktas84-68
23/06/25Besiktas v Fenerbahce87-91
21/06/25Besiktas v Fenerbahce98-77
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26AReal Madrid76-95
27/10/26AValencia78-86
25/10/26AKarsiyaka97-72
23/10/26AOlympiacos64-61
18/10/26HPetkim Spor77-82
15/10/26HPartizan74-65
13/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas99-80
10/10/26ACayirova100-85
08/10/26APanathinaikos74-92
04/10/26HKorfez Basket85-84
Besiktaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26AVirtus Bologna103-101
28/10/26HOlympiacos73-81
24/10/26ABahcesehir Kol.96-100
22/10/26AAnadolu Efes80-89
18/10/26HGalatasaray83-80
16/10/26HBayern95-87
14/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv82-100
11/10/26ATurk Telekom63-88
09/10/26ABaskonia92-84
05/10/26HTrabzonspor90-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%100%25%
Points / game79.985.473.0
Allowed / game76.671.083.5
Point differential+3.3+14.4-10.5
Avg total156.4156.4156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Besiktas
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW44%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%25%60%
Points / game90.086.093.2
Allowed / game91.889.893.4
Point differential-1.8-3.8-0.2
Avg total181.8175.8186.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos97278%84.675.0+9.6
2 Olympiacos97278%90.683.8+6.8
3 Crvena zvezda96367%85.677.0+8.6
4 Real Madrid96367%96.288.0+8.2
5 Valencia96367%97.190.9+6.2
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv96367%92.387.3+5.0
7 Fenerbahce96367%79.976.6+3.3
8 Dubai96367%87.485.1+2.3
9 Barcelona96367%90.888.6+2.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas95456%85.984.0+1.9
11 Besiktas94544%90.091.8-1.8
12 Partizan94544%78.480.2-1.8
13 Virtus Bologna94544%86.889.1-2.3
14 Anadolu Efes94544%83.686.2-2.7
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne94544%87.692.3-4.8
16 Paris93633%88.392.9-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv92722%86.794.7-8.0
18 Bayern92722%85.494.4-9.0
19 Olimpia Milano91811%82.090.2-8.2
20 Baskonia91811%83.194.1-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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