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Fenerbahce vs Buducnost Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 76-67
19-16 17-23 22-19 18-9
Position#2
Record22-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game75.8
Fenerbahce 🏆
vs
Buducnost
Position#15
Record6-20
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game84.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 27
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buducnost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
107-70
107
70
+37
H10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H13/02
Turkish Cup
Turk Telekom
#4
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H16/02
Turkish Cup
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H17/02
Turkish Cup
Darussafaka
#16
W
97-75
97
75
+22
A22/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
84-66
84
66
+18
H28/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#3
L
86-101
86
101
-15
A07/03
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#10
W
90-73
90
73
+17
H10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#5
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H15/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
29-14
31-20
26-14
25-12
23-21
18-8
12-29
20-13
16-20
19-15
18-17
16-20
23-14
22-23
19-13
26-12
20-23
27-13
24-27
20-17
23-12
14-18
27-19
15-20
16-11
17-14
17-22
25-27
20-25
16-25
25-24
17-15
24-20
20-26
29-12
16-23
21-15
15-23
36-21
158.7Avg total
84.8Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.875.8160.6+9.085%
Season at home (13)87.375.4162.7+11.9100%
Season away (13)82.276.2158.5+6.069%
Last 10 (10)84.873.9158.7+10.980%
Last 5 (5)82.677.8160.4+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)75.874.4150.2+1.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)86.972.9159.8+14.083%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#10
W
102-71
102
71
+31
H04/02
ABA League
Khimki M.
#13
L
90-98
90
98
-8
H07/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#4
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A10/02
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A22/02
Euroleague
Bayern
#12
L
75-89
75
89
-14
H01/03
Euroleague
Zadar
#11
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H04/03
ABA League
Olympiacos
#6
L
76-89
76
89
-13
H08/03
Euroleague
Mega Bemax
#7
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A11/03
ABA League
Baskonia
#8
L
62-82
62
82
-20
A15/03
Euroleague
Cibona
#8
W
91-82
91
82
+9
H17/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
26-17
28-15
26-24
20-22
26-23
19-23
25-30
12-17
19-15
15-23
21-21
18-20
18-19
26-21
14-24
17-25
27-16
15-25
16-23
23-27
22-18
15-16
15-8
21-27
13-24
20-22
22-16
17-11
19-18
19-15
22-26
15-23
19-16
15-25
13-18
26-21
19-24
21-23
25-14
160.1Avg total
79.1Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)74.284.7158.8-10.523%
Season at home (14)75.379.5154.8-4.243%
Season away (12)72.990.7163.6-17.80%
Last 10 (10)79.181.0160.1-1.940%
Last 5 (5)76.278.4154.6-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)74.788.2162.9-13.513%
vs Similar (5)76.478.6155.0-2.260%
vs Weaker (10)83.774.1157.8+9.680%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -0.5-0.5
FenerbahceBuducnost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H13/02
Turkish Cup
Turk Telekom
#4
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H16/02
Turkish Cup
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H17/02
Turkish Cup
Darussafaka
#16
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A22/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H28/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#1
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#3
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A07/03
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#10
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H15/03
Euroleague
77.2Avg total
41.6Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.634.775.2+5.970%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.033.675.6+8.478%-
Last 30 away (12)38.436.274.7+2.258%-
Last 10 (10)41.635.677.2+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.076.4+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)37.438.475.8-1.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)40.934.074.9+7.079%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#10
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H04/02
ABA League
Khimki M.
#13
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H07/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#4
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A10/02
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A22/02
Euroleague
Bayern
#12
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H01/03
Euroleague
Zadar
#11
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H04/03
ABA League
Olympiacos
#6
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H08/03
Euroleague
Mega Bemax
#7
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A11/03
ABA League
Baskonia
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A15/03
Euroleague
Cibona
#8
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H17/03
ABA League
79.7Avg total
39.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.541.080.5-1.433%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.441.481.7-1.029%-
Last 30 away (16)38.840.679.4-1.838%-
Last 10 (10)39.939.879.7+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.880.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.842.382.1-2.533%-
vs Similar (5)35.442.077.4-6.60%-
vs Weaker (10)41.238.479.6+2.850%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.9
58.9%
52.7%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.910.8
45.2%
37.0%32.4
🏀 Free throws15.412.3
79.9%
76.7%12.3
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.4
52.7%
52.7%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.8
34.7%
37.0%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.214.5
75.5%
76.7%14.5
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWLLWWWWWW
Buducnost
WLWLWLLLLW
#2
League position
#15
+16.6
Net rating
-1.8
122.2
Offensive rating
106.4
105.6
Defensive rating
108.2
62.6%
Effective FG%
52.5%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
17.8%
Turnover %
17.6%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
45.2%
3-point %
34.7%
60.3%
Assist %
56.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence122.2 · 106.4Defence105.6 · 108.2Shooting62.6% · 52.5%3-point %45.2% · 34.7%Ball care17.8% · 17.6%Off. rebounds26.7% · 28.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Buducnost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Fenerbahce wins
0
Buducnost wins
DateGameScore
20/12/18Buducnost v Fenerbahce65-89
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/19HBarcelona88-82
10/03/19HBahcesehir Kol.90-73
07/03/19AReal Madrid86-101
03/03/19AAnadolu Efes65-67
28/02/19HAnadolu Efes84-66
22/02/19ADarussafaka97-75
17/02/19HAnadolu Efes80-70
16/02/19HTurk Telekom73-65
13/02/19HBahcesehir Kol.78-70
10/02/19HBuyukcekmece107-70
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/19HCibona91-82
15/03/19ABaskonia62-82
11/03/19AMega Bemax77-70
08/03/19HOlympiacos76-89
04/03/19HZadar75-69
01/03/19HBayern75-89
22/02/19AZalgiris Kaunas76-84
10/02/19APartizan67-76
07/02/19HKhimki M.90-98
04/02/19HMornar Bar102-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %85%100%69%
Points / game84.887.382.2
Allowed / game75.875.476.2
Point differential+9.0+11.9+6.0
Avg total160.6162.7158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%46%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %8%0%15%
Buducnost
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeWWLLL43%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %23%43%0%
Points / game74.275.372.9
Allowed / game84.779.590.7
Point differential-10.5-4.2-17.8
Avg total158.8154.8163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)80% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2622485%84.875.8+9.0
2 CSKA Moscow2721678%87.881.1+6.7
3 Real Madrid2620677%86.577.0+9.6
4 Anadolu Efes27171063%84.079.1+4.9
5 Barcelona26151158%78.076.8+1.2
6 Baskonia26141254%81.979.1+2.8
7 Olimpia Milano26141254%87.085.5+1.5
8 Olympiacos26131350%77.577.0+0.4
9 Panathinaikos26131350%79.379.3+0.0
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv26121446%78.979.1-0.2
11 Bayern26121446%79.280.6-1.4
12 Zalgiris Kaunas26111542%78.778.9-0.2
13 Khimki M.2691735%78.681.7-3.2
14 Gran Canaria2671927%78.788.4-9.7
15 Buducnost2662023%74.284.7-10.5
16 Darussafaka2632312%73.685.0-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce1917221876
Buducnost162319967
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