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Real Madrid vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 101-86
27-25 25-20 25-16 24-25
Position#3
Record18-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game76.7
Real Madrid 🏆
vs
Fenerbahce
Position#2
Record21-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game74.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 25
European cup2018
Meetings · Real Madrid v Fenerbahce
29 Oct 2026
MAD95
FEN76
30 Oct 2025
MAD84
FEN58
05 Dec 2024
MAD70
FEN82
07 Mar 2024
MAD79
FEN89
29 Mar 2023
MAD90
FEN75
21 Oct 2021
MAD70
FEN69
20 Nov 2020
MAD94
FEN74
07 Mar 2019
MAD101
FEN86
20 May 2018
MAD85
FEN80
02 Mar 2018
MAD83
FEN86
31 Mar 2017
MAD61
FEN56
19 Apr 2016
MAD63
FEN75
03 Dec 2015
MAD80
FEN73
15 May 2015
MAD96
FEN87
30 Nov 2012
MAD77
FEN61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#16
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A01/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#5
L
102-103 OT
102
103
-1
A03/02
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A08/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H10/02
ACB
Estudiantes
#8
W
94-63
94
63
+31
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
93-81
93
81
+12
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
93-94 OT
93
94
-1
H17/02
Spanish Cup
Bayern
#12
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H22/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A01/03
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
87-66
87
66
+21
A03/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
30-22
19-21
14-23
27-19
30-22
19-28
19-26
20-22
20-12
21-30
17-18
15-19
22-18
20-15
25-24
29-27
21-7
23-14
21-15
26-18
22-20
23-14
22-29
16-20
19-15
25-11
17-31
22-17
20-22
29-13
20-26
17-16
20-26
14-14
19-21
24-19
26-12
15-12
22-23
167.8Avg total
87.6Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)85.476.7162.0+8.775%
Season at home (12)91.776.8168.5+14.892%
Season away (12)79.176.5155.6+2.658%
Last 10 (10)87.680.2167.8+7.460%
Last 5 (5)86.879.2166.0+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.980.2161.1+0.650%
vs Weaker (21)85.878.6164.3+7.271%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#12
L
86-90 OT
86
90
-4
A31/01
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#7
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H03/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#7
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H08/02
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
107-70
107
70
+37
H10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H13/02
Turkish Cup
Turk Telekom
#4
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H16/02
Turkish Cup
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H17/02
Turkish Cup
Darussafaka
#16
W
97-75
97
75
+22
A22/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
84-66
84
66
+18
H28/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
13-9
18-23
14-14
24-11
17-13
21-26
25-14
24-18
24-11
15-17
22-20
21-22
29-14
31-20
26-14
25-12
23-21
18-8
12-29
20-13
16-20
19-15
18-17
16-20
23-14
22-23
19-13
26-12
20-23
27-13
24-27
20-17
23-12
14-18
27-19
15-20
16-11
17-14
17-22
154.5Avg total
84.2Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)84.674.5159.1+10.188%
Season at home (12)87.274.8162.1+12.4100%
Season away (12)81.974.2156.1+7.875%
Last 10 (10)84.270.3154.5+13.980%
Last 5 (5)79.868.6148.4+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)73.267.8141.0+5.575%
vs Weaker (25)85.872.0157.8+13.884%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +5.6+5.6Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +1.5+1.5
Real MadridFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#16
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A01/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#5
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A03/02
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A08/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H10/02
ACB
Estudiantes
#8
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H17/02
Spanish Cup
Bayern
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H22/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A01/03
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A03/03
ACB
81.8Avg total
44.9Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.938.281.2+4.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.537.882.3+6.773%-
Last 30 away (15)41.438.780.1+2.747%-
Last 10 (10)44.936.981.8+8.070%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.079.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.038.678.6+1.438%-
vs Weaker (21)43.738.382.0+5.467%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#12
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A31/01
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#7
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H03/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#7
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H08/02
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H13/02
Turkish Cup
Turk Telekom
#4
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H16/02
Turkish Cup
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H17/02
Turkish Cup
Darussafaka
#16
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A22/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H28/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#1
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
72.9Avg total
41.6Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.634.274.8+6.473%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.133.875.8+8.376%-
Last 30 away (13)38.634.873.4+3.869%-
Last 10 (10)41.631.372.9+10.390%-
Last 5 (5)39.032.471.4+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)35.535.070.5+0.525%-
vs Weaker (25)41.134.175.2+7.080%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.9
54.1%
52.7%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.4
34.3%
37.0%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.513.0
74.3%
76.7%13.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.721.5
58.6%
52.7%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.110.0
45.2%
37.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws14.510.9
75.2%
76.7%10.9
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLWLWWWLLW
Fenerbahce
LWWWWWWWWL
#3
League position
#2
+5.6
Net rating
+22.6
109.7
Offensive rating
123.1
104.1
Defensive rating
100.5
53.0%
Effective FG%
62.1%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
17.5%
Turnover %
17.2%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.3%
3-point %
45.2%
54.3%
Assist %
58.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 123.1Defence104.1 · 100.5Shooting53.0% · 62.1%3-point %34.3% · 45.2%Ball care17.5% · 17.2%Off. rebounds30.5% · 30.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Real Madrid wins
7
Fenerbahce wins
DateGameScore
28/12/18Fenerbahce v Real Madrid65-63
20/05/18Real Madrid v Fenerbahce85-80
02/03/18Real Madrid v Fenerbahce83-86
28/12/17Fenerbahce v Real Madrid77-79
19/05/17Fenerbahce v Real Madrid84-75
31/03/17Real Madrid v Fenerbahce61-56
01/12/16Fenerbahce v Real Madrid78-77
19/04/16Real Madrid v Fenerbahce63-75
14/04/16Fenerbahce v Real Madrid100-78
12/04/16Fenerbahce v Real Madrid75-69
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/19AMoraBanc Andorra87-66
01/03/19ABarcelona70-77
22/02/19HBayern91-78
17/02/19HBarcelona93-94 OT
16/02/19HJoventut Badalona93-81
15/02/19HEstudiantes94-63
10/02/19HBaskonia82-76
08/02/19ACSKA Moscow78-82
03/02/19AUnicaja102-103 OT
01/02/19ADarussafaka86-82
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/19AAnadolu Efes65-67
28/02/19HAnadolu Efes84-66
22/02/19ADarussafaka97-75
17/02/19HAnadolu Efes80-70
16/02/19HTurk Telekom73-65
13/02/19HBahcesehir Kol.78-70
10/02/19HBuyukcekmece107-70
08/02/19HPanathinaikos85-66
03/02/19HTurk Telekom87-64
31/01/19ABayern86-90 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL75%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLWLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %75%92%58%
Points / game85.491.779.1
Allowed / game76.776.876.5
Point differential+8.7+14.8+2.6
Avg total162.0168.5155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game84.687.281.9
Allowed / game74.574.874.2
Point differential+10.1+12.4+7.8
Avg total159.1162.1156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%50%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2421388%84.674.5+10.1
2 CSKA Moscow2419579%88.080.8+7.2
3 Real Madrid2418675%85.476.7+8.7
4 Anadolu Efes2415962%84.179.8+4.4
5 Barcelona2415962%78.275.7+2.5
6 Olimpia Milano24131154%87.586.0+1.5
7 Baskonia24121250%81.079.5+1.5
8 Olympiacos24121250%77.877.5+0.3
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv25121348%79.279.1+0.1
10 Panathinaikos25121348%79.479.4-0.0
11 Bayern25121348%79.280.4-1.2
12 Zalgiris Kaunas25101540%78.578.9-0.4
13 Khimki M.2491538%78.480.0-1.6
14 Buducnost2461825%74.684.6-10.0
15 Gran Canaria2561924%78.589.4-10.9
16 Darussafaka2532212%74.085.1-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid27252524101
Fenerbahce2520162586
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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