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Fenerbahce vs Galatasaray Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 01 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record5-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.7/10
Below normal
4.3/10
Below normal
Position#5
Record4-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game79.4
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 14· Ulker Spor ve Etkinlik Salonu
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Galatasaray
01 Jan 2027
FEN v GAL
upcoming
08 Feb 2026
FEN79
GAL77
17 May 2025
FEN94
GAL70
14 Feb 2025
FEN89
GAL74
04 Feb 2024
FEN90
GAL74
03 Apr 2023
FEN86
GAL64
11 Apr 2022
FEN70
GAL76
18 Feb 2022
FEN64
GAL49
26 Feb 2020
FEN75
GAL80
08 May 2019
FEN90
GAL67
04 Mar 2018
FEN80
GAL60
26 Jan 2017
FEN85
GAL80
13 Nov 2016
FEN92
GAL74
10 Feb 2013
FEN63
GAL57
12 Oct 2011
FEN97
GAL103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Galatasaray win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
W
74-65
74
65
+9
73avg 80
H15/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#6
L
77-82
77
82
-5
67avg 80
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#4
W
64-61
64
61
+3
51avg 80
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#8
W
97-72
97
72
+25
98avg 80
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
70avg 80
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
L
76-95
76
95
-19
64avg 80
A29/10
Euroleague
Tofas
#11
W
88-77
88
77
+11
85avg 80
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#20
W
84-65
84
65
+19
no box
H05/11
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#16
W
78-59
78
59
+19
no box
A07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#12
L
109-111 OT
109
111
-2
no box
A11/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
13-9
34-16
15-21
12-24
21-15
18-19
26-24
8-20
16-14
21-15
19-12
25-16
24-20
25-14
23-22
9-19
16-17
21-24
32-26
24-22
18-25
13-23
21-25
25-21
22-22
23-16
18-18
33-18
19-14
11-9
21-24
23-15
20-21
16-11
19-12
14-23
29-27
29-22
20-20
159.8Avg total
82.5Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.979.6166.4+7.371%
Season at home (3)83.381.0164.3+2.367%
Season away (4)89.578.5168.0+11.075%
Last 10 (10)82.577.3159.8+5.260%
Last 5 (5)87.081.4168.4+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.585.5153.0-18.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)81.679.1160.7+2.669%
vs Weaker (12)90.577.0167.5+13.583%
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalatasarayTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGalatasaray
Date
Competition
Cayirova
#14
W
102-79
102
79
+23
100avg 76
H26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#8
L
71-78 OT
71
78
-7
62avg 76
A02/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cibona
#36
L
76-96
76
96
-20
72avg 76
A06/10
Champions League
Bursaspor
#16
L
88-93
88
93
-5
78avg 76
H12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
L
80-83
80
83
-3
73avg 76
A18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#11
W
83-77
83
77
+6
82avg 76
H20/10
Champions League
Bordo Bandirma
#13
W
102-68
102
68
+34
105avg 76
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Denizli Basket
#15
W
87-74
87
74
+13
79avg 76
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Legia
#16
L
72-79
72
79
-7
no box
A04/11
Champions League
Esenler Erokspor
#9
W
90-81
90
81
+9
no box
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
31-25
21-30
24-6
13-18
21-17
14-15
17-15
24-24
18-26
19-21
15-25
20-20
21-25
19-21
28-27
22-19
17-25
21-20
20-19
21-16
21-17
20-23
21-21
21-19
17-15
30-11
34-23
17-17
24-12
23-21
23-24
21-14
11-20
26-19
14-26
24-13
16-26
19-20
31-22
165.9Avg total
85.1Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.679.4168.0+9.157%
Season at home (4)95.580.2175.8+15.275%
Season away (3)79.378.3157.7+1.033%
Last 10 (10)85.180.8165.9+4.350%
Last 5 (5)86.875.8162.6+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.384.3164.6-4.043%
vs Similar ◀ (9)77.084.2161.2-7.233%
vs Weaker (14)88.082.2170.2+5.864%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
FenerbahceGalatasaray
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H15/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#4
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#8
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#3
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A29/10
Euroleague
Tofas
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#20
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H05/11
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#12
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A11/11
Euroleague
76.4Avg total
38.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.981.6+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.937.978.8+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)42.441.884.1+0.644%-
Last 10 (10)38.338.176.4+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.441.687.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.539.572.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.841.480.2-2.638%-
vs Weaker (12)47.138.185.2+9.083%-
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalatasarayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cayirova
#14
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#8
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A02/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cibona
#36
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A06/10
Champions League
Bursaspor
#16
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#11
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H20/10
Champions League
Bordo Bandirma
#13
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Denizli Basket
#15
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Legia
#16
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A04/11
Champions League
Esenler Erokspor
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
79.2Avg total
40.6Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.341.481.6-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.241.883.9+0.454%-
Last 30 away (17)38.841.179.9-2.247%-
Last 10 (10)40.638.679.2+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.633.872.4+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.341.982.1-1.643%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.441.378.8-3.944%-
vs Weaker (14)42.141.183.2+0.957%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.518.9
58.2%
54.8%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.5
33.1%
35.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.415.9
77.9%
75.9%15.9
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Galatasaraytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galatasaray: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.7
54.3%
54.8%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.3
33.6%
35.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws25.018.2
72.8%
75.9%18.2
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
LWWWLLWWLW
Galatasaray
WLWWWLLLLW
#3
League position
#5
+3.1
Net rating
+3.8
97.9
Offensive rating
99.9
94.8
Defensive rating
96.1
54.2%
Effective FG%
52.7%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
15.6%
Turnover %
12.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.41
33.1%
3-point %
33.6%
62.7%
Assist %
60.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 99.9Defence94.8 · 96.1Shooting54.2% · 52.7%3-point %33.1% · 33.6%Ball care15.6% · 12.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Galatasaray
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Fenerbahce wins
1
Galatasaray wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AParis109-111 OT
07/11/26ABursaspor78-59
05/11/26HBaskonia84-65
01/11/26HTofas88-77
29/10/26AReal Madrid76-95
27/10/26AValencia78-86
25/10/26AKarsiyaka97-72
23/10/26AOlympiacos64-61
18/10/26HPetkim Spor77-82
15/10/26HPartizan74-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HEsenler Erokspor90-81
04/11/26ALegia72-79
31/10/26ADenizli Basket87-74
25/10/26HBordo Bandirma102-68
20/10/26HStrasbourg83-77
18/10/26ABesiktas80-83
12/10/26HBursaspor88-93
06/10/26ACibona76-96
02/10/26AKarsiyaka71-78 OT
26/09/26HCayirova102-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game86.983.389.5
Allowed / game79.681.078.5
Point differential+7.3+2.3+11.0
Avg total166.4164.3168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%33%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Galatasaray
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game88.695.579.3
Allowed / game79.480.278.3
Point differential+9.1+15.2+1.0
Avg total168.0175.8157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turk Telekom76186%83.673.1+10.4
2 Bahcesehir Kol.76186%92.786.6+6.1
3 Fenerbahce75271%86.979.6+7.3
4 Anadolu Efes75271%86.079.4+6.6
5 Galatasaray74357%88.679.4+9.1
6 Petkim Spor74357%83.783.6+0.1
7 Trabzonspor74357%83.083.3-0.3
8 Karsiyaka74357%81.382.6-1.3
9 Esenler Erokspor74357%82.984.7-1.9
10 Besiktas73443%84.186.3-2.1
11 Tofas73443%81.385.0-3.7
12 Korfez Basket72529%82.085.9-3.9
13 Bordo Bandirma72529%82.387.0-4.7
14 Cayirova72529%81.988.0-6.1
15 Denizli Basket71614%80.687.6-7.0
16 Bursaspor71614%74.983.6-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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