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Galatasaray vs Bursaspor Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 88-93
20-20 21-25 19-21 28-27
Position#6
Record1-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#16
Record0-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game80.0
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 3· Basketbol Gelisim Merkezi
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Galatasaray v Bursaspor
12 Oct 2026
GAL88
BUR93
05 Apr 2026
GAL92
BUR70
12 Apr 2025
GAL95
BUR89
17 Nov 2023
GAL80
BUR82
25 Mar 2023
GAL91
BUR80
30 Oct 2021
GAL99
BUR84
17 Apr 2021
GAL106
BUR93
21 Dec 2019
GAL84
BUR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Galatasaray winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bursaspor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GalatasarayTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGalatasaray
Date
Competition
Merkezefendi
#10
W
90-80
90
80
+10
86avg 77
A23/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
69-79
69
79
-10
62avg 77
A26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
87-91
87
91
-4
83avg 77
H02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
89-82
89
82
+7
81avg 77
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
83-108
83
108
-25
73avg 77
A26/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
78-75
78
75
+3
66avg 77
H28/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
68-71
68
71
-3
56avg 77
A30/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cayirova
#14
W
102-79
102
79
+23
100avg 77
H26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#7
L
71-78 OT
71
78
-7
62avg 77
A02/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cibona
#36
L
76-96
76
96
-20
72avg 77
A06/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
27-14
25-20
18-28
19-23
13-18
14-20
23-18
16-29
26-17
24-23
21-22
29-21
16-14
17-20
27-27
18-29
23-27
21-32
21-20
21-23
19-16
14-21
24-15
17-25
15-14
23-19
13-13
26-18
31-25
21-30
24-6
13-18
21-17
14-15
17-15
24-24
18-26
19-21
15-25
165.2Avg total
81.3Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)86.578.5165.0+8.050%
Season at home (1)102.079.0181.0+23.0100%
Season away (1)71.078.0149.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)81.383.9165.2-2.640%
Last 5 (5)79.079.8158.8-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.883.2164.0-2.444%
vs Similar (10)79.584.7164.2-5.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)87.481.3168.6+6.173%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#14
L
82-91
82
91
-9
78avg 71
A23/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
74avg 71
H29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
L
70-92
70
92
-22
55avg 71
A05/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
L
92-94
92
94
-2
50avg 71
H12/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#13
W
86-84
86
84
+2
82avg 71
A18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
91-72
91
72
+19
88avg 71
H26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
W
83-82
83
82
+1
82avg 71
A02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
L
82-84
82
84
-2
75avg 71
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#10
L
76-82
76
82
-6
70avg 71
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
L
69-78
69
78
-9
67avg 71
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
21-28
18-22
25-22
16-19
23-13
26-24
10-19
17-26
22-21
18-21
13-24
28-28
25-25
15-22
24-19
18-29
20-18
21-19
27-18
24-27
25-10
18-19
24-16
23-24
26-25
16-19
18-14
14-16
34-15
18-31
16-22
22-26
17-16
17-22
20-18
26-19
10-20
15-18
18-21
166.2Avg total
82.0Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)72.580.0152.5-7.50%
Season at home (1)69.078.0147.0-9.00%
Season away (1)76.082.0158.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)82.084.2166.2-2.240%
Last 5 (5)80.279.6159.8+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)78.290.8169.0-12.716%
vs Similar (11)86.587.4173.9-0.845%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.2+0.2
GalatasarayBursaspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GalatasarayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merkezefendi
#10
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A23/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A26/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H28/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A30/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cayirova
#14
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#7
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A02/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cibona
#36
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A06/10
Champions League
82.8Avg total
41.2Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.941.582.4-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.743.185.8-0.438%-
Last 30 away (17)39.540.479.8-0.959%-
Last 10 (10)41.241.682.8-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.282.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.040.479.4-1.444%-
vs Similar (10)39.942.582.4-2.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.341.584.8+1.755%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#14
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A23/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A05/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H12/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#13
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#10
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
85.3Avg total
42.9Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.245.485.6-5.223%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.644.686.1-3.031%-
Last 30 away (14)38.646.485.1-7.814%-
Last 10 (10)42.942.485.3+0.530%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.683.8+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)39.446.886.2-7.416%-
vs Similar (11)41.543.184.6-1.536%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Galatasaraytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galatasaray: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.0
52.2%
54.8%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.9
34.2%
35.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.815.1
72.6%
75.9%15.1
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.0
52.8%
54.8%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.88.0
38.5%
35.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.513.3
71.9%
75.9%13.3
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Galatasaray
LLWLWLWLLW
Bursaspor
LLLWWWLLWL
#6
League position
#16
-3.4
Net rating
-8.0
96.8
Offensive rating
92.4
100.1
Defensive rating
100.4
51.9%
Effective FG%
54.5%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
13.7%
Turnover %
17.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.2%
3-point %
38.5%
60.2%
Assist %
66.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 92.4Defence100.1 · 100.4Shooting51.9% · 54.5%3-point %34.2% · 38.5%Ball care13.7% · 17.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Galatasaray   ■ Bursaspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Galatasaray wins
3
Bursaspor wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/26ACibona76-96
02/10/26AKarsiyaka71-78 OT
26/09/26HCayirova102-79
30/05/26ABesiktas68-71
28/05/26HBesiktas78-75
26/05/26ABesiktas83-108
10/05/26ABesiktas89-82
02/05/26HManisa87-91
26/04/26ATrabzonspor69-79
23/04/26AMerkezefendi90-80
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26HTurk Telekom69-78
27/09/26ATrabzonspor76-82
10/05/26AKarsiyaka82-84
02/05/26AEsenler Erokspor83-82
26/04/26HBuyukcekmece91-72
18/04/26AMersin SK86-84
12/04/26HTurk Telekom92-94
05/04/26AGalatasaray70-92
29/03/26HFenerbahce89-83 OT
23/03/26APetkim Spor82-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Galatasaray
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game86.5102.071.0
Allowed / game78.579.078.0
Point differential+8.0+23.0-7.0
Avg total165.0181.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %50%0%100%
Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game72.569.076.0
Allowed / game80.078.082.0
Point differential-7.5-9.0-6.0
Avg total152.5147.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turk Telekom330100%79.768.0+11.7
2 Bahcesehir Kol.330100%91.380.3+11.0
3 Anadolu Efes330100%88.378.7+9.7
4 Korfez Basket32167%87.784.7+3.0
5 Esenler Erokspor32167%87.384.7+2.7
6 Fenerbahce32167%89.389.0+0.3
7 Trabzonspor32167%82.082.0+0.0
8 Galatasaray21150%86.578.5+8.0
9 Denizli Basket31233%86.085.7+0.3
10 Karsiyaka31233%77.378.7-1.3
11 Petkim Spor31233%87.389.3-2.0
12 Tofas31233%85.392.3-7.0
13 Besiktas31233%78.088.0-10.0
14 Bordo Bandirma3030%82.786.0-3.3
15 Bursaspor2020%72.580.0-7.5
16 Cayirova3030%80.095.3-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Galatasaray2021192888
Bursaspor2025212793
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