Ferro vs Quilmes Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Oct 2015

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 79-67

27-8 18-17 18-16 16-26

Position#15

Record4-5

FormWWLWL

Points / game75.4

Allowed / game77.4

Ferro 🏆

Quilmes

Position#17

Record1-8

FormWWWLL

Points / game75.2

Allowed / game86.2

Liga A

Other2015-16

Meetings · Ferro v Quilmes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Quilmes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ferro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

57-77

-20

A25/09

Liga A

Gimnasia

83-87

-4

A28/09

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

77-79

-2

H30/09

Liga A

Lanus

#13

67-57

+10

H06/10

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

72-70

A08/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

87-69

+18

A11/10

Liga A

Penarol

97-106

106

-9

H16/10

Liga A

Gimnasia

68-66

H23/10

Liga A

Argentino

#16

71-86

-15

A27/10

Liga A

15-14

10-19

17-21

15-23

12-19

22-20

29-30

20-18

19-14

16-18

22-26

20-21

11-13

15-16

23-16

18-12

18-7

22-22

17-27

15-14

20-9

19-14

26-28

22-18

19-30

29-20

20-23

29-33

16-13

21-17

9-14

22-22

17-22

19-29

18-13

152.9Avg total

75.4Scored

77.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	75.4	77.4	152.9	-2.0	44%
Season at home (4)	77.2	77.0	154.2	+0.2	50%
Season away (5)	74.0	77.8	151.8	-3.8	40%
Last 10 (9)	75.4	77.4	152.9	-2.0	44%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	79.4	158.4	-0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	69.3	76.7	146.0	-7.3	33%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	78.5	77.8	156.3	+0.7	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Quilmes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Argentino

#16

75-82

-7

A30/09

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

87-89 OT

-2

H04/10

Liga A

Gimnasia

66-93

-27

H07/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

74-81

-7

H09/10

Liga A

Brasilia

76-93

-17

H13/10

South American League

Atenas

#11

103-73

103

+30

A14/10

South American League

Colo Colo

#13

96-73

+23

A16/10

South American League

Argentino

#16

101-97

101

H18/10

Liga A

San Lorenzo

79-88

-9

H23/10

Liga A

Gimnasia

60-84

-24

A27/10

Liga A

19-18

12-25

21-26

23-13

16-16

19-14

19-26

23-21

19-28

21-18

10-21

16-26

19-15

20-21

13-22

22-23

23-29

16-17

18-27

19-20

28-22

28-18

24-16

23-17

33-11

28-18

19-24

16-20

25-32

25-20

23-20

28-25

32-25

16-19

12-25

19-19

9-23

22-17

12-22

17-22

167.0Avg total

81.7Scored

85.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	75.2	86.2	161.4	-11.0	11%
Season at home (6)	78.0	87.5	165.5	-9.5	17%
Season away (3)	69.7	83.7	153.3	-14.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	81.7	85.3	167.0	-3.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	87.8	83.0	170.8	+4.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	73.5	82.3	155.7	-8.8	27%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	82.2	84.6	166.8	-2.5	29%
vs Weaker (2)	99.5	73.0	172.5	+26.5	100%

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FerroQuilmes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (9)	16.3	15.7	32.0	+0.7	56%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	16.2	17.5	33.8	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (5)	16.4	14.2	30.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.3	15.7	32.0	+0.7	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	16.2	34.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.3	15.3	29.7	-1.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	17.3	15.8	33.2	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.5	38.8	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	18.5	38.9	+1.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	20.4	38.7	-2.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	21.9	44.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	22.6	48.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.0	18.6	35.6	-1.6	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	41%	-
vs Weaker (2)	30.5	16.5	47.0	+14.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (9)	19.0	18.7	37.7	+0.3	44%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (5)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.0	18.7	37.7	+0.3	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.0	40.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.7	18.7	36.3	-1.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.7	18.7	38.3	+1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.9	38.2	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.1	19.1	36.2	-2.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	20.6	39.9	-1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	18.7	39.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	18.4	42.2	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	15.8	18.8	34.6	-3.0	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-2.1	35%	-
vs Weaker (2)	28.0	18.0	46.0	+10.0	100%	-

FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

25-33

-8

A25/09

Liga A

Gimnasia

34-39

-5

A28/09

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

35-32

H30/09

Liga A

Lanus

#13

26-29

-3

H06/10

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

40-29

+11

A08/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

39-23

+16

A11/10

Liga A

Penarol

48-50

-2

H16/10

Liga A

Gimnasia

37-30

H23/10

Liga A

Argentino

#16

34-44

-10

A27/10

Liga A

69.7Avg total

35.3Scored

34.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (9)	35.3	34.3	69.7	+1.0	44%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	36.5	35.2	71.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (5)	34.4	33.6	68.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	35.3	34.3	69.7	+1.0	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	35.2	74.8	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	32.0	34.0	66.0	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	37.0	34.5	71.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

QuilmesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Argentino

#16

31-43

-12

A30/09

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

35-30

H04/10

Liga A

Gimnasia

40-46

-6

H07/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

39-36

H09/10

Liga A

Brasilia

39-46

-7

H13/10

South American League

Atenas

#11

56-40

+16

A14/10

South American League

Colo Colo

#13

61-29

+32

A16/10

South American League

Argentino

#16

50-52

-2

H18/10

Liga A

San Lorenzo

48-44

H23/10

Liga A

Gimnasia

31-40

-9

A27/10

Liga A

83.6Avg total

43.0Scored

40.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	39.4	77.0	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.4	37.6	75.1	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.7	40.9	78.6	-3.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	40.6	83.6	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.2	41.0	90.2	+8.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	32.8	37.5	70.3	-4.6	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	38.2	41.2	79.4	-3.1	35%	-
vs Weaker (2)	58.5	34.5	93.0	+24.0	100%	-

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (9)	20.2	23.8	44.0	-3.6	11%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	18.5	19.8	38.2	-1.2	25%	-
Last 30 away (5)	21.6	27.0	48.6	-5.4	0%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.2	23.8	44.0	-3.6	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	24.2	42.4	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.3	21.7	40.0	-3.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	21.2	24.8	46.0	-3.7	17%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.0	39.7	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	20.6	38.7	-2.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	19.6	40.6	+1.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	22.9	40.0	-5.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.4	39.4	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.9	19.6	37.5	-1.7	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.6	20.3	40.9	+0.4	59%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (9)	19.9	19.3	39.2	+0.6	56%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	22.2	22.0	44.2	+0.2	25%	-
Last 30 away (5)	18.0	17.2	35.2	+0.8	80%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.9	19.3	39.2	+0.6	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.3	18.5	38.8	+1.8	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.6	42.5	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	21.4	42.6	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.1	22.3	41.4	-3.2	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	22.1	21.6	43.7	+0.5	41%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+1.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (9)	40.1	43.1	83.2	-3.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	40.8	41.8	82.5	-1.0	25%	-
Last 30 away (5)	39.6	44.2	83.8	-4.6	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	40.1	43.1	83.2	-3.0	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	44.2	83.6	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	37.3	42.7	80.0	-5.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	41.5	43.3	84.8	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	41.7	82.2	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.3	42.0	81.3	-2.7	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.6	41.4	83.0	+0.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	43.5	81.2	-5.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	42.0	80.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	37.0	41.9	78.9	-4.9	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	42.8	41.9	84.6	+0.9	53%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.0	38.5	79.5	+2.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ferro wins

Quilmes wins

No previous meetings.

Ferrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/10/15	A	Argentino	71-86
23/10/15	H	Gimnasia	68-66
16/10/15	H	Penarol	97-106
11/10/15	A	Weber Bahia	87-69
08/10/15	A	Boca Juniors	72-70
06/10/15	H	Lanus	67-57
30/09/15	H	Obras Sanitarias	77-79
28/09/15	A	Gimnasia	83-87
25/09/15	A	San Lorenzo	57-77

Quilmeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/10/15	A	Gimnasia	60-84
23/10/15	H	San Lorenzo	79-88
18/10/15	H	Argentino	101-97
16/10/15	A	Colo Colo	96-73
14/10/15	A	Atenas	103-73
13/10/15	H	Brasilia	76-93
09/10/15	H	Weber Bahia	74-81
07/10/15	H	Gimnasia	66-93
04/10/15	H	Boca Juniors	87-89 OT
30/09/15	A	Argentino	75-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferro

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Losses (last 9)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	44%
Home	LWLW	50%
Away	LLWWL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	44%	50%	40%
Points / game	75.4	77.2	74.0
Allowed / game	77.4	77.0	77.8
Point differential	-2.0	+0.2	-3.8
Avg total	152.9	154.2	151.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	25%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Quilmes

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	11%
Home	LLLWL	17%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	6	3
Win %	11%	17%	0%
Points / game	75.2	78.0	69.7
Allowed / game	86.2	87.5	83.7
Point differential	-11.0	-9.5	-14.0
Avg total	161.4	165.5	153.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	11%	17%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	10	9	1	90%	89.3	75.8	+13.5
2	Libertad	9	7	2	78%	79.6	71.7	+7.9
3	Penarol	9	7	2	78%	88.1	83.1	+5.0
4	Regatas	10	7	3	70%	78.9	73.3	+5.6
5	Gimnasia	11	7	4	64%	83.7	76.7	+7.0
6	Olimpico	11	7	4	64%	85.2	81.5	+3.6
7	Obras Sanitarias	8	5	3	62%	86.1	83.2	+2.9
8	Quimsa	11	6	5	55%	79.2	79.5	-0.3
9	Weber Bahia	11	6	5	55%	78.8	80.2	-1.4
10	Estudiantes	11	6	5	55%	72.8	76.4	-3.5
11	Sionista	10	5	5	50%	80.7	80.4	+0.3
12	Instituto de Cordoba	9	4	5	44%	73.2	71.6	+1.7
13	Ferro	9	4	5	44%	75.4	77.4	-2.0
14	Argentino	9	3	6	33%	78.9	85.0	-6.1
15	Atenas	7	2	5	29%	74.7	81.6	-6.9
16	La Union	11	3	8	27%	77.2	82.9	-5.7
17	Lanus	8	2	6	25%	76.0	80.4	-4.4
18	Boca Juniors	8	2	6	25%	76.6	83.9	-7.2
19	San Martin	9	2	7	22%	85.3	88.9	-3.6
20	Quilmes	9	1	8	11%	75.2	86.2	-11.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ferro	27	18	18	16	79
Quilmes	8	17	16	26	67

← all games of the day

Ferro vs Quilmes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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