Ferro vs Quilmes Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Jun 2017

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 107-113 (OT)

30-17 10-17 23-28 18-19 26-32

Position#5

Record36-24

FormLLWWL

Points / game78.8

Allowed / game78.0

Ferro

Quilmes 🏆

Position#14

Record31-34

FormWWLLW

Points / game79.9

Allowed / game81.1

Liga ALiga A - Quarter-finals

Other2016-17

Meetings · Ferro v Quilmes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Quilmes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ferro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

76-72

A26/04

Liga A

Libertad

68-80

-12

A28/04

Liga A

Olimpico

74-65

H30/04

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

80-98

-18

A06/05

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

104-108 OT

104

108

-4

H10/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

90-95

-5

A14/05

Liga A

Quilmes

#14

78-81 OT

-3

H04/06

Liga A

Quilmes

#14

78-76

H07/06

Liga A

Quilmes

#14

97-83

+14

A10/06

Liga A

Quilmes

#14

91-100

100

-9

A11/06

Liga A

22-14

16-20

20-17

18-21

15-19

10-20

25-23

18-18

21-16

14-18

17-19

22-12

18-19

11-29

28-31

23-19

28-27

25-23

24-28

18-17

19-15

15-26

30-28

26-26

24-14

22-15

16-17

8-24

11-18

20-20

25-14

22-24

27-22

22-20

15-22

33-19

16-28

23-25

23-18

29-29

169.4Avg total

83.6Scored

85.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (60)	78.8	78.0	156.8	+0.8	60%
Season at home (30)	78.8	73.8	152.5	+5.0	70%
Season away (30)	78.9	82.3	161.1	-3.4	50%
Last 10 (10)	83.6	85.8	169.4	-2.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	86.8	87.0	173.8	-0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	73.3	75.3	148.7	-2.0	67%
vs Similar ◀ (23)	78.8	80.7	159.5	-1.8	48%
vs Weaker (4)	72.5	74.0	146.5	-1.5	75%

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Quilmes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

#15

74-77

-3

A14/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

50-91

-41

A23/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

93-98

-5

A24/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

92-87

H27/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

97-86

+11

H30/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

90-77

+13

A02/06

Liga A

Ferro

81-78 OT

A04/06

Liga A

Ferro

76-78

-2

A07/06

Liga A

Ferro

83-97

-14

H10/06

Liga A

Ferro

100-91

100

H11/06

Liga A

18-18

20-22

18-21

18-16

10-21

13-26

17-19

10-25

22-27

25-24

12-22

34-25

24-21

16-25

25-23

27-18

13-23

23-19

36-24

25-20

20-20

22-23

22-14

26-20

14-24

15-22

17-16

24-8

18-11

20-20

14-25

24-22

22-27

20-22

22-15

19-33

28-16

25-23

18-23

29-29

169.6Avg total

83.6Scored

86.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (65)	79.9	81.1	161.0	-1.2	48%
Season at home (32)	84.6	80.6	165.2	+4.0	69%
Season away (33)	75.3	81.6	157.0	-6.3	27%
Last 10 (10)	83.6	86.0	169.6	-2.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	84.2	170.2	+1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	75.0	84.2	159.2	-9.2	20%
vs Similar ◀ (24)	82.0	82.3	164.3	-0.4	54%
vs Weaker (1)	106.0	77.0	183.0	+29.0	100%

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FerroQuilmes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.4	39.7	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.3	20.5	39.8	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	20.3	39.6	-1.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	18.7	37.3	+0.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	19.7	20.3	40.0	-0.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.5	22.2	39.8	-4.8	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.5	39.0	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.3	18.5	38.8	+1.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.8	20.3	39.1	-1.5	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.8	39.7	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.0	17.8	33.8	-1.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	19.9	19.8	39.8	+0.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	21.0	46.0	+4.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	18.3	36.2	-0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	15.7	36.1	+4.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.8	20.5	36.3	-4.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	21.6	39.4	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.0	20.7	34.7	-6.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	18.0	18.7	36.7	-0.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	13.8	34.2	+6.8	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.5	40.4	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.6	19.7	40.3	+0.9	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.4	21.1	40.5	-1.7	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	22.6	42.5	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.0	42.4	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.4	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	19.4	21.0	40.5	-1.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	6.0	32.0	+20.0	100%	-

FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

38-34

A26/04

Liga A

Libertad

25-39

-14

A28/04

Liga A

Olimpico

35-34

H30/04

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

29-48

-19

A06/05

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

53-50

H10/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

34-41

-7

A14/05

Liga A

Quilmes

#14

46-29

+17

H04/06

Liga A

Quilmes

#14

31-38

-7

H07/06

Liga A

Quilmes

#14

49-42

A10/06

Liga A

Quilmes

#14

39-53

-14

A11/06

Liga A

78.7Avg total

37.9Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	38.7	75.9	-1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.6	36.2	75.9	+3.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.1	40.8	75.9	-5.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	40.8	78.7	-2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	40.6	80.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	32.7	39.3	72.0	-6.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	37.7	39.0	76.7	-1.4	48%	-
vs Weaker (4)	38.0	36.0	74.0	+2.0	75%	-

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

QuilmesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

#15

38-40

-2

A14/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

23-47

-24

A23/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

47-51

-4

A24/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

40-46

-6

H27/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

36-42

-6

H30/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

42-43

-1

A02/06

Liga A

Ferro

29-46

-17

A04/06

Liga A

Ferro

38-31

A07/06

Liga A

Ferro

42-49

-7

H10/06

Liga A

Ferro

53-39

+14

H11/06

Liga A

82.2Avg total

38.8Scored

43.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	40.0	79.4	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.9	38.2	79.2	+2.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.2	41.4	79.6	-3.2	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	43.4	82.2	-4.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	41.6	82.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.2	38.6	75.8	-1.4	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	39.3	40.9	80.2	-1.5	42%	-
vs Weaker (1)	51.0	27.0	78.0	+24.0	100%	-

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.8	19.1	37.9	-0.3	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	22.4	42.3	-2.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	21.7	44.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.8	41.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	19.0	37.7	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	19.3	21.2	40.6	-1.9	30%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.7	21.5	44.2	+1.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.8	18.8	36.6	-1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.2	40.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.6	37.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.4	22.0	41.4	-2.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	19.8	19.3	39.1	+0.4	58%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	25.0	52.0	+2.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.7	38.6	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.6	16.7	34.4	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	20.4	42.2	+1.5	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.9	42.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	24.4	48.0	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.0	17.0	39.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	14.2	18.0	32.2	-3.8	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.8	43.4	-0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.5	23.1	45.5	-0.6	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	21.6	45.2	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	22.4	46.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.4	23.6	42.0	-5.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	22.0	21.3	43.3	+0.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (1)	28.0	25.0	53.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	39.5	78.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.4	35.8	72.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.8	42.8	84.6	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	42.6	86.6	+1.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	44.2	89.6	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	40.7	36.0	76.7	+4.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	40.0	40.2	80.2	-0.3	52%	-
vs Weaker (4)	34.5	38.0	72.5	-3.5	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	41.8	83.3	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	45.2	44.5	89.7	+0.6	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.8	39.6	78.5	-0.8	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	41.8	85.5	+1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	41.0	84.0	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.8	45.6	83.4	-7.8	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	41.8	40.6	82.4	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	55.0	50.0	105.0	+5.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ferro wins

Quilmes wins

Date	Game	Score
11/06/17	Quilmes v Ferro	100-91
10/06/17	Quilmes v Ferro	83-97
07/06/17	Ferro v Quilmes	78-76
04/06/17	Ferro v Quilmes	78-81 OT
18/03/17	Ferro v Quilmes	76-69
31/01/17	Quilmes v Ferro	88-99
28/10/16	Ferro v Quilmes	84-54
21/10/16	Quilmes v Ferro	96-83
25/03/16	Ferro v Quilmes	80-78 OT
20/03/16	Quilmes v Ferro	84-96

Ferrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/06/17	A	Quilmes	91-100
10/06/17	A	Quilmes	97-83
07/06/17	H	Quilmes	78-76
04/06/17	H	Quilmes	78-81 OT
14/05/17	A	Weber Bahia	90-95
10/05/17	H	Quimsa	104-108 OT
06/05/17	A	Hispano Americano	80-98
30/04/17	H	Olimpico	74-65
28/04/17	A	Libertad	68-80
26/04/17	A	Atletico Echague Parana	76-72

Quilmeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/06/17	H	Ferro	100-91
10/06/17	H	Ferro	83-97
07/06/17	A	Ferro	76-78
04/06/17	A	Ferro	81-78 OT
02/06/17	A	Weber Bahia	90-77
30/05/17	H	Weber Bahia	97-86
27/05/17	H	Weber Bahia	92-87
24/05/17	A	Weber Bahia	93-98
23/05/17	A	Weber Bahia	50-91
14/05/17	A	Penarol	74-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferro

Liga A 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	60%
Home	LWLLW	70%
Away	LLLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	60	30	30
Win %	60%	70%	50%
Points / game	78.8	78.8	78.9
Allowed / game	78.0	73.8	82.3
Point differential	+0.8	+5.0	-3.4
Avg total	156.8	152.5	161.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	27%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	55% (20)	50% (12)	62% (8)
Overtime %	7%	7%	7%

Quilmes

Liga A 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	48%
Home	WWWLW	69%
Away	LLWWL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	65	32	33
Win %	48%	69%	27%
Points / game	79.9	84.6	75.3
Allowed / game	81.1	80.6	81.6
Point differential	-1.2	+4.0	-6.3
Avg total	161.0	165.2	157.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	28%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	53% (19)	89% (9)	20% (10)
Overtime %	9%	9%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	59	43	16	73%	84.1	73.3	+10.7
2	San Martin	60	43	17	72%	82.0	75.0	+6.9
3	Estudiantes	60	39	21	65%	80.8	76.5	+4.3
4	Regatas	64	40	24	62%	86.1	83.2	+3.0
5	Ferro	60	36	24	60%	78.8	78.0	+0.8
6	Olimpico	64	36	28	56%	80.4	77.6	+2.8
7	Weber Bahia	61	33	28	54%	78.9	78.1	+0.8
8	Instituto de Cordoba	60	32	28	53%	82.2	82.6	-0.4
9	Libertad	60	30	30	50%	80.2	78.6	+1.6
10	Argentino	60	30	30	50%	74.6	76.1	-1.5
11	Gimnasia	63	31	32	49%	80.9	81.0	-0.1
12	Quilmes	65	31	34	48%	79.9	81.1	-1.2
13	Quimsa	56	26	30	46%	82.1	81.2	+0.9
14	Obras Sanitarias	56	26	30	46%	82.5	81.7	+0.8
15	Penarol	56	24	32	43%	74.6	77.6	-3.0
16	Atenas	56	23	33	41%	82.4	84.2	-1.7
17	Hispano Americano	56	22	34	39%	79.3	82.6	-3.2
18	La Union	56	22	34	39%	76.2	80.5	-4.2
19	Boca Juniors	61	20	41	33%	78.5	83.1	-4.6
20	Atletico Echague Parana	61	10	51	16%	76.6	89.6	-13.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Ferro	30	10	23	18	26	107
Quilmes	17	17	28	19	32	113

← all games of the day

Ferro vs Quilmes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature