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Ferro vs Zarate Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 72-64
24-19 16-19 18-13 14-13
Position#8
Record11-12
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game84.0
Ferro 🏆
Argentina
vs
Position#19
Record7-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game80.7
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Héctor Etchart
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ferro v Zarate
12 Mar 2025
FERR72
ZARA64
20 May 2024
FERR85
ZARA74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zarate winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFerro
Date
Competition
La Union
#18
L
99-100
99
100
-1
96avg 73
H18/12
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
W
88-81
88
81
+7
79avg 73
H08/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
W
88-84
88
84
+4
80avg 73
H11/01
Liga A
Argentino
#20
L
84-89
84
89
-5
74avg 73
A25/01
Liga A
Zarate
#19
W
80-66
80
66
+14
75avg 73
A26/01
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
69avg 73
H31/01
Liga A
Atenas
#13
W
84-79
84
79
+5
77avg 73
H07/02
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
W
93-77
93
77
+16
84avg 73
H08/02
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
W
93-89
93
89
+4
81avg 73
A12/02
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
77-80
77
80
-3
72avg 73
A28/02
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
23-27
22-26
27-30
30-23
16-22
22-21
20-15
23-21
27-20
19-21
19-22
15-15
22-21
21-31
26-22
18-22
19-17
20-14
23-13
16-22
30-17
16-27
17-13
18-22
20-24
21-12
25-21
26-22
26-15
12-13
29-27
23-18
26-19
19-28
25-24
23-22
16-23
21-20
17-15
171.2Avg total
87.4Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.184.0166.0-1.948%
Season at home (12)84.683.4168.0+1.258%
Season away (11)79.484.5163.9-5.236%
Last 10 (10)87.483.8171.2+3.660%
Last 5 (5)87.083.6170.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.288.2167.4-9.033%
vs Similar (19)84.182.2166.3+1.963%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)82.077.5159.5+4.550%
This opponent (Zarate) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZarateArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZarate
Date
Competition
Union De Santa Fe
#11
W
89-82
89
82
+7
81avg 63
H21/12
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
W
85-83
85
83
+2
77avg 63
A22/12
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
L
73-98
73
98
-25
59avg 63
A07/01
Liga A
Argentino
#20
W
86-77
86
77
+9
78avg 63
H15/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
68-98
68
98
-30
60avg 63
A19/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H24/01
Liga A
Ferro
#8
L
66-80
66
80
-14
54avg 63
H26/01
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
L
72-74
72
74
-2
62avg 63
H30/01
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
L
77-91
77
91
-14
64avg 63
A12/02
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
74-70
74
70
+4
59avg 63
H27/02
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
21-31
24-9
25-19
23-20
15-24
23-13
24-26
11-24
25-25
21-20
16-29
29-15
17-22
24-19
16-21
21-21
17-24
13-28
17-25
–
–
–
–
22-18
17-19
14-20
13-23
17-18
12-21
15-13
28-22
24-30
16-22
19-25
18-14
26-20
22-20
12-12
14-18
146.3Avg total
69.0Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)70.980.7151.5-9.833%
Season at home (10)69.471.8141.2-2.450%
Season away (11)72.288.7160.9-16.518%
Last 10 (10)69.077.3146.3-8.340%
Last 5 (5)57.867.0124.8-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)69.779.6149.3-9.828%
vs Similar (5)75.072.2147.2+2.880%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ferro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -2.9-2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -2.9-2.9
FerroZarate
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#18
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H18/12
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H08/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H11/01
Liga A
Argentino
#20
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A25/01
Liga A
Zarate
#19
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A26/01
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H31/01
Liga A
Atenas
#13
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H07/02
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H08/02
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A12/02
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A28/02
Liga A
85.3Avg total
44.4Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.343.385.6-1.053%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.641.986.5+2.865%-
Last 30 away (13)39.245.184.3-5.838%-
Last 10 (10)44.440.985.3+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)44.840.885.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.346.787.0-6.333%-
vs Similar (19)43.842.386.1+1.563%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)37.037.574.5-0.550%-
This opponent (Zarate) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZarateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Union De Santa Fe
#11
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H21/12
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A22/12
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A07/01
Liga A
Argentino
#20
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H15/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A19/01
Liga A
Ferro
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H26/01
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H30/01
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A12/02
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H27/02
Liga A
83.4Avg total
39.3Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.342.479.8-5.124%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.439.678.0-1.350%-
Last 30 away (15)36.345.181.4-8.70%-
Last 10 (9)39.344.183.4-4.833%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.681.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)36.843.480.2-6.621%-
vs Similar (5)39.838.077.8+1.840%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ferro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ferro wins
1
Zarate wins
DateGameScore
26/01/25Zarate v Ferro66-80
20/05/24Ferro v Zarate85-74
31/10/23Zarate v Ferro67-64
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/25ABoca Juniors77-80
12/02/25AObera TC93-89
08/02/25HIndependiente de Oliva93-77
07/02/25HAtenas84-79
31/01/25HRegatas88-93 OT
26/01/25AZarate80-66
25/01/25AArgentino84-89
11/01/25HGimnasia88-84
08/01/25HObera TC88-81
18/12/24HLa Union99-100
Zaratelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25HObras Sanitarias74-70
12/02/25AUnion De Santa Fe77-91
30/01/25HObera TC72-74
26/01/25HFerro66-80
24/01/25HInstituto de Cordoba0-20
19/01/25AGimnasia68-98
15/01/25HArgentino86-77
07/01/25AObras Sanitarias73-98
22/12/24ASan Lorenzo85-83
21/12/24HUnion De Santa Fe89-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferro
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL48%
HomeWWLWW58%
AwayLLWWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %48%58%36%
Points / game82.184.679.4
Allowed / game84.083.484.5
Point differential-1.9+1.2-5.2
Avg total166.0168.0163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%8%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (8)50% (4)
Overtime %9%17%0%
Zarate
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLWLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %33%50%18%
Points / game70.969.472.2
Allowed / game80.771.888.7
Point differential-9.8-2.4-16.5
Avg total151.5141.2160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)60% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boca Juniors2116576%81.276.4+4.9
2 Instituto de Cordoba2115671%79.368.7+10.6
3 Riachuelo2115671%83.476.5+6.9
4 Obras Sanitarias2215768%82.477.8+4.5
5 Obera TC2314961%82.777.3+5.5
6 Quimsa24141058%83.577.4+6.1
7 Atenas25131252%78.879.0-0.2
8 Union De Santa Fe27141352%80.784.5-3.8
9 San Martin24121250%74.472.2+2.1
10 Penarol24121250%80.979.3+1.5
11 Regatas26131350%79.080.0-1.1
12 Olimpico24121250%80.582.4-1.9
13 San Lorenzo22111150%76.378.4-2.1
14 Ferro23111248%82.184.0-1.9
15 Gimnasia22101245%80.577.6+2.9
16 Independiente de Oliva2591636%83.185.6-2.4
17 Platense2591636%78.881.6-2.8
18 La Union2381535%84.188.1-4.0
19 Zarate2171433%70.980.7-9.8
20 Argentino2542116%72.083.7-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ferro2416181472
Zarate1919131364
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