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Boca Juniors vs Ferro Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:05
Final 80-77
22-23 23-16 20-21 15-17
Position#1
Record15-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Position#8
Record11-11
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game84.1
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Luis Conde
Other2024-25
Meetings · Boca Juniors v Ferro
21 Dec 2026
BOCA v FERR
upcoming
11 Apr 2026
BOCA81
FERR90
16 Jun 2025
BOCA86
FERR70
08 Jun 2025
BOCA69
FERR71
06 Jun 2025
BOCA85
FERR71
27 Feb 2025
BOCA80
FERR77
07 Oct 2023
BOCA77
FERR66
01 Feb 2023
BOCA68
FERR69
18 Mar 2022
BOCA95
FERR59
27 Sep 2021
BOCA97
FERR69
09 Mar 2021
BOCA64
FERR67
16 Dec 2019
BOCA68
FERR69
28 Jan 2019
BOCA76
FERR65
01 Oct 2018
BOCA64
FERR81
18 Feb 2018
BOCA77
FERR71
21 Sep 2017
BOCA76
FERR83
19 Dec 2016
BOCA67
FERR75
13 Oct 2016
BOCA77
FERR83
27 Apr 2016
BOCA84
FERR61
08 Oct 2015
BOCA70
FERR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ferro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#1
L
61-96
61
96
-35
48avg 75
A14/01
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
83-63
83
63
+20
82avg 75
A15/01
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#2
W
90-75
90
75
+15
80avg 75
A18/01
Super Cup
La Union
#18
W
97-91
97
91
+6
96avg 75
H21/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
90-86
90
86
+4
88avg 75
A26/01
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
W
79-77
79
77
+2
68avg 75
A29/01
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
83-79
83
79
+4
76avg 75
H01/02
Liga A
Flamengo
#1
W
96-71
96
71
+25
97avg 75
H09/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
114-70
114
70
+44
120avg 75
H12/02
Champions League Americas
San Lorenzo
#14
L
75-76
75
76
-1
58avg 75
H15/02
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
14-30
12-20
14-19
22-17
24-14
16-18
21-14
21-13
21-20
21-24
27-18
29-27
23-22
20-21
25-21
26-23
14-25
27-12
23-26
17-24
21-16
22-6
19-31
27-18
19-22
18-14
19-25
24-17
32-15
28-12
12-27
30-13
21-21
33-16
30-20
16-21
21-20
17-12
21-23
165.2Avg total
86.8Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.376.3157.6+5.075%
Season at home (9)83.872.9156.7+10.989%
Season away (11)79.379.2158.5+0.164%
Last 10 (10)86.878.4165.2+8.480%
Last 5 (5)89.474.6164.0+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.379.0154.3-3.733%
vs Similar (11)78.175.0153.1+3.191%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.774.7160.4+10.973%
This opponent (Ferro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFerro
Date
Competition
Riachuelo
#6
L
81-91
81
91
-10
75avg 73
A12/12
Liga A
La Union
#18
L
99-100
99
100
-1
96avg 73
H18/12
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
W
88-81
88
81
+7
79avg 73
H08/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
W
88-84
88
84
+4
80avg 73
H11/01
Liga A
Argentino
#20
L
84-89
84
89
-5
74avg 73
A25/01
Liga A
Zarate
#19
W
80-66
80
66
+14
75avg 73
A26/01
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
69avg 73
H31/01
Liga A
Atenas
#13
W
84-79
84
79
+5
77avg 73
H07/02
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
W
93-77
93
77
+16
84avg 73
H08/02
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
W
93-89
93
89
+4
81avg 73
A12/02
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-33
15-25
19-17
25-16
27-17
23-27
22-26
27-30
30-23
16-22
22-21
20-15
23-21
27-20
19-21
19-22
15-15
22-21
21-31
26-22
18-22
19-17
20-14
23-13
16-22
30-17
16-27
17-13
18-22
20-24
21-12
25-21
26-22
26-15
12-13
29-27
23-18
26-19
19-28
25-24
172.7Avg total
87.8Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.384.1166.5-1.850%
Season at home (12)84.683.4168.0+1.258%
Season away (10)79.685.0164.6-5.440%
Last 10 (10)87.884.9172.7+2.960%
Last 5 (5)87.680.8168.4+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)79.589.2168.8-9.838%
vs Similar (20)84.281.7165.9+2.565%
vs Weaker (2)82.077.5159.5+4.550%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.3+3.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.3+3.3
Boca JuniorsFerro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#1
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A14/01
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A15/01
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#2
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A18/01
Super Cup
La Union
#18
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H21/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A26/01
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A29/01
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H01/02
Liga A
Flamengo
#1
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H09/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H12/02
Champions League Americas
San Lorenzo
#14
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H15/02
Liga A
84.8Avg total
44.3Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.038.180.0+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.134.078.1+10.179%-
Last 30 away (16)40.141.681.7-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)44.340.584.8+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)45.637.483.0+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.040.782.7+1.367%-
vs Similar (11)37.838.175.9-0.345%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.037.982.9+7.173%-
This opponent (Ferro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Riachuelo
#6
L
37-58
37
58
-21
A12/12
Liga A
La Union
#18
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H18/12
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H08/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H11/01
Liga A
Argentino
#20
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A25/01
Liga A
Zarate
#19
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A26/01
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H31/01
Liga A
Atenas
#13
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H07/02
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H08/02
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A12/02
Liga A
86.4Avg total
44.2Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.842.985.6-0.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.641.986.5+2.865%-
Last 30 away (13)40.344.284.5-3.846%-
Last 10 (10)44.242.286.4+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)44.439.684.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.546.987.4-6.438%-
vs Similar (20)44.241.886.0+2.565%-
vs Weaker (2)37.037.574.5-0.550%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.9
56.4%
53.8%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.0
36.1%
32.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.312.5
76.7%
71.7%12.5
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ferrotheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Boca Juniors wins
3
Ferro wins
DateGameScore
04/12/24Ferro v Boca Juniors82-97
04/04/24Ferro v Boca Juniors69-70
08/10/23Boca Juniors v Ferro77-66
01/02/23Boca Juniors v Ferro68-69
30/10/22Ferro v Boca Juniors99-96
17/04/22Ferro v Boca Juniors58-78
19/03/22Boca Juniors v Ferro95-59
28/09/21Boca Juniors v Ferro97-69
10/03/21Boca Juniors v Ferro64-67
11/11/20Ferro v Boca Juniors60-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25HSan Lorenzo75-76
12/02/25HToros del Chiriqui114-70
09/02/25HFlamengo96-71
01/02/25HRegatas83-79
29/01/25AIndependiente de Oliva79-77
26/01/25AInstituto de Cordoba90-86
21/01/25HLa Union97-91
18/01/25AQuimsa90-75
15/01/25AToros del Chiriqui83-63
14/01/25AFlamengo61-96
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/25AObera TC93-89
08/02/25HIndependiente de Oliva93-77
07/02/25HAtenas84-79
31/01/25HRegatas88-93 OT
26/01/25AZarate80-66
25/01/25AArgentino84-89
11/01/25HGimnasia88-84
08/01/25HObera TC88-81
18/12/24HLa Union99-100
12/12/24ARiachuelo81-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayLWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %75%89%64%
Points / game81.383.879.3
Allowed / game76.372.979.2
Point differential+5.0+10.9+0.1
Avg total157.7156.7158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)75% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ferro
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW50%
HomeWWLWW58%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %50%58%40%
Points / game82.384.679.6
Allowed / game84.183.485.0
Point differential-1.8+1.2-5.4
Avg total166.5168.0164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%8%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)50% (8)67% (3)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boca Juniors2015575%81.376.3+5.0
2 Instituto de Cordoba2115671%79.368.7+10.6
3 Riachuelo2014670%83.076.0+7.0
4 Obras Sanitarias2215768%82.477.8+4.5
5 Obera TC2013765%84.079.6+4.4
6 Quimsa2112957%83.777.5+6.2
7 Union De Santa Fe23131057%79.783.7-4.0
8 Penarol21111052%82.479.6+2.9
9 San Martin22111150%75.273.5+1.7
10 Atenas24121250%78.879.6-0.8
11 Olimpico22111150%80.282.0-1.8
12 Ferro22111150%82.384.1-1.8
13 Regatas23111248%80.282.2-2.0
14 San Lorenzo21101148%76.178.4-2.3
15 Gimnasia2191243%81.378.4+3.0
16 Platense2281436%79.482.0-2.6
17 Independiente de Oliva2481633%82.885.5-2.8
18 La Union2171433%84.788.5-3.9
19 Zarate2171433%70.980.7-9.8
20 Argentino2341917%72.883.4-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boca Juniors2223201580
Ferro2316211777
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