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Finland vs Croatia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Sep 2022
Tip-off: 12:45
Final 94-86
20-21 25-22 22-22 27-21
Position#16
Record6-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game78.8
Finland 🏆
vs
Position#12
Record7-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game71.6
EuropeEuroBasket
Other2022
Meetings · Finland v Croatia
11 Sep 2022
FINL94
CROA86
28 Nov 2021
FINL77
CROA71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Finland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Croatia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFinland
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#24
W
83-79
83
79
+4
no box
A28/02
World Cup
Sweden
#33
W
85-69
85
69
+16
no box
H30/06
World Cup
Croatia
#66
W
81-79
81
79
+2
no box
A03/07
World Cup
Israel
#52
W
79-73
79
73
+6
no box
H25/08
World Cup
Estonia
#55
W
76-68
76
68
+8
no box
A28/08
World Cup
Israel
#10
L
87-89 OT
87
89
-2
no box
A02/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#18
W
89-59
89
59
+30
no box
H03/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#3
L
70-100
70
100
-30
no box
A05/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
W
98-88
98
88
+10
no box
H06/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#35
W
88-67
88
67
+21
no box
H08/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
26-15
12-18
19-30
19-29
24-17
26-8
16-15
21-17
22-17
17-27
21-18
22-19
25-18
11-19
21-17
23-21
24-15
10-18
19-14
27-16
13-24
18-21
21-18
26-16
18-14
20-14
25-15
22-33
12-29
14-14
22-24
29-18
22-27
21-14
26-29
26-11
22-20
28-18
12-18
160.7Avg total
83.6Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.078.8158.8+1.255%
Season at home (6)85.078.2163.2+6.867%
Season away (5)74.079.6153.6-5.640%
Last 10 (10)83.677.1160.7+6.580%
Last 5 (5)86.480.6167.0+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.679.6150.1-9.022%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.674.4154.0+5.275%
vs Weaker (9)83.376.9160.2+6.478%
This opponent (Croatia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCroatia
Date
Competition
Sweden
#33
W
105-98 OT
105
98
+7
no box
A28/02
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
69-97
69
97
-28
no box
A30/06
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
79-81
79
81
-2
no box
H03/07
World Cup
Poland
#24
W
72-69
72
69
+3
71avg 78
A25/08
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
84-53
84
53
+31
86avg 78
H28/08
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
L
85-89
85
89
-4
no box
H02/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
86-65
86
65
+21
no box
A03/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
W
73-70
73
70
+3
no box
H05/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A06/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
W
90-85
90
85
+5
no box
H08/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
12-20
24-18
29-20
8-33
27-21
16-22
18-21
17-21
17-22
27-17
18-21
11-15
10-16
28-16
23-22
22-10
28-16
20-15
14-12
16-24
14-22
32-24
23-19
20-17
17-14
35-9
14-25
20-16
13-13
20-19
20-22
17-22
17-20
25-13
17-26
21-21
24-21
22-25
23-18
160.7Avg total
81.9Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.571.6149.1+5.864%
Season at home (6)76.071.2147.2+4.867%
Season away (5)79.272.2151.4+7.060%
Last 10 (10)81.978.8160.7+3.160%
Last 5 (5)82.078.0160.0+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.782.3157.0-7.615%
vs Similar ◀ (7)78.179.1157.3-1.043%
vs Weaker (10)76.564.2140.7+12.390%
This opponent (Finland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +7.1+7.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +7.1+7.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
FinlandCroatia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FinlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#24
W
52-31
52
31
+21
A28/02
World Cup
Sweden
#33
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H30/06
World Cup
Croatia
#66
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A03/07
World Cup
Israel
#52
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H25/08
World Cup
Estonia
#55
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A28/08
World Cup
Israel
#10
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A02/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#18
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H03/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#3
L
34-62
34
62
-28
A05/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H06/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#35
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H08/09
EuroBasket
84.1Avg total
44.9Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.836.874.6+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.834.874.5+5.069%-
Last 30 away (14)35.539.174.6-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)44.939.284.1+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.441.685.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.439.870.2-9.322%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.834.373.1+4.467%-
vs Weaker (9)43.837.180.9+6.767%-
This opponent (Croatia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CroatiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sweden
#33
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A28/02
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A30/06
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H03/07
World Cup
Poland
#24
L
21-31
21
31
-10
A25/08
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H28/08
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H02/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A03/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H05/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A06/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H08/09
EuroBasket
73.0Avg total
34.5Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.736.574.2+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.933.972.8+5.164%-
Last 30 away (16)36.638.875.4-2.244%-
Last 10 (10)34.538.573.0-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)35.838.073.8-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.240.376.5-4.231%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.740.379.0-1.643%-
vs Weaker (10)38.928.967.8+10.090%-
This opponent (Finland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Finlandtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Croatiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.521.0
59.2%
-42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.56.5
25.5%
-19.5
🏀 Free throws23.016.5
71.7%
-16.5
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Finland wins
0
Croatia wins
DateGameScore
03/07/22Croatia v Finland79-81
28/11/21Finland v Croatia77-71
Finlandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/09/22HNetherlands88-67
06/09/22HCzech Republic98-88
05/09/22ASerbia70-100
03/09/22HPoland89-59
02/09/22AIsrael87-89 OT
28/08/22AEstonia76-68
25/08/22HIsrael79-73
03/07/22ACroatia81-79
30/06/22HSweden85-69
28/02/22ASlovenia83-79
Croatialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/09/22HUkraine90-85
06/09/22AItaly76-81
05/09/22HEstonia73-70
03/09/22AGreat Britain86-65
02/09/22HGreece85-89
28/08/22HSwitzerland84-53
25/08/22APoland72-69
03/07/22HFinland79-81
30/06/22ASlovenia69-97
28/02/22ASweden105-98 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Finland
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW55%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game80.085.074.0
Allowed / game78.878.279.6
Point differential+1.2+6.8-5.6
Avg total158.8163.2153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
Croatia
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW64%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game77.576.079.2
Allowed / game71.671.272.2
Point differential+5.8+4.8+7.0
Avg total149.1147.2151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%33%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia119282%89.274.4+14.8
2 Greece119282%83.277.5+5.7
3 Spain129375%86.275.8+10.3
4 Slovenia129375%85.278.2+7.0
5 Belgium1611569%79.472.7+6.7
6 Russia64267%76.767.5+9.2
7 Denmark1812667%79.576.6+2.9
8 France128467%77.875.8+2.0
9 Italy117464%83.577.3+6.3
10 Croatia117464%77.571.6+5.8
11 Bosnia & Herzegovina117464%79.174.6+4.5
12 Israel117464%80.178.0+2.1
13 Ukraine127558%79.775.3+4.3
14 Poland127558%80.979.4+1.5
15 Great Britain1911858%75.775.7-0.1
16 North Macedonia148657%78.177.2+0.9
17 Finland116555%80.078.8+1.2
18 Belarus84450%78.073.9+4.1
19 Germany126650%84.080.9+3.1
20 Lithuania126650%85.582.5+3.0
21 Armenia42250%74.874.0+0.8
22 Turkey126650%78.477.7+0.8
23 Portugal126650%74.275.0-0.8
24 Montenegro126650%74.976.5-1.6
25 Romania147750%73.778.5-4.8
26 Georgia115645%80.885.6-4.8
27 Sweden104640%74.374.6-0.3
28 Iceland83538%79.981.9-2.0
29 Slovakia83538%75.078.5-3.5
30 Czech Republic114736%81.587.6-6.1
31 Hungary114736%74.584.0-9.5
32 Switzerland145936%82.084.3-2.3
33 Austria103730%74.578.4-3.9
34 Estonia113827%75.280.6-5.5
35 Netherlands113827%69.476.3-6.9
36 Bulgaria113827%77.688.1-10.5
37 Luxembourg82625%72.583.4-10.9
38 Latvia61517%79.080.0-1.0
39 Cyprus1221017%66.376.8-10.4
40 Kosovo81712%78.883.6-4.9
41 Albania8080%65.283.1-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 41 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Finland2025222794
Croatia2122222186
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