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Finland vs Estonia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 14 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 91-71
21-16 18-25 27-15 25-15
Position#22
Record7-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game75.7
Finland 🏆
vs
Position#55
Record2-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game81.9
EuropeWorld CupRound 10
Other2023
Meetings · Finland v Estonia
30 Nov 2026
FINL v ESTO
upcoming
14 Nov 2022
FINL91
ESTO71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Finland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Israel
#52
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H25/08
World Cup
Estonia
#55
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A28/08
World Cup
Israel
#10
L
87-89 OT
87
89
-2
A02/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#18
W
89-59
89
59
+30
H03/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#3
L
70-100
70
100
-30
A05/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
W
98-88
98
88
+10
H06/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#35
W
88-67
88
67
+21
H08/09
EuroBasket
Croatia
#12
W
94-86
94
86
+8
H11/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#1
L
90-100
90
100
-10
A13/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#2
L
80-94
80
94
-14
A11/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
25-18
11-19
21-17
23-21
24-15
10-18
19-14
27-16
13-24
18-21
21-18
26-16
18-14
20-14
25-15
22-33
12-29
14-14
22-24
29-18
22-27
21-14
26-29
26-11
22-20
28-18
12-18
20-21
25-22
22-22
27-21
30-19
22-24
15-30
23-27
19-22
17-22
16-25
28-25
167.5Avg total
85.1Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.875.7154.4+3.178%
Season at home (4)81.872.2154.0+9.5100%
Season away (5)76.478.4154.8-2.060%
Last 10 (10)85.182.4167.5+2.760%
Last 5 (5)90.087.0177.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.282.7155.9-9.518%
vs Similar (11)83.576.8160.3+6.682%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)84.276.4160.6+7.988%
This opponent (Estonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany
#2
L
57-88
57
88
-31
H30/06
World Cup
Israel
#52
L
77-96
77
96
-19
A03/07
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
83-104
83
104
-21
A25/08
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H28/08
World Cup
Italy
#11
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A02/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H03/09
EuroBasket
Croatia
#12
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A05/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
94-62
94
62
+32
H06/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
L
69-90
69
90
-21
H08/09
EuroBasket
Sweden
#33
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H11/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-18
11-13
16-36
19-21
22-29
22-19
13-24
20-24
23-27
15-29
25-21
20-27
21-23
15-24
18-10
14-19
18-21
15-31
19-17
10-14
21-15
14-18
26-23
12-18
16-20
13-13
19-20
22-20
24-18
25-18
29-17
16-9
21-27
15-24
13-26
20-13
13-27
24-12
24-20
21-28
156.8Avg total
73.5Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.081.9153.9-9.922%
Season at home (5)70.280.2150.4-10.020%
Season away (4)74.284.0158.2-9.825%
Last 10 (10)73.583.3156.8-9.810%
Last 5 (5)77.677.2154.8+0.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)71.381.7153.0-10.323%
vs Similar (4)75.073.2148.2+1.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Finland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
FinlandEstonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FinlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Israel
#52
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H25/08
World Cup
Estonia
#55
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A28/08
World Cup
Israel
#10
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A02/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#18
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H03/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#3
L
34-62
34
62
-28
A05/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H06/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#35
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H08/09
EuroBasket
Croatia
#12
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H11/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#1
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A13/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A11/11
World Cup
85.5Avg total
44.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.638.076.6+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.736.377.0+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)36.539.776.2-3.340%-
Last 10 (10)44.441.185.5+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)46.441.287.6+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.940.573.4-7.527%-
vs Similar (11)40.036.476.4+3.664%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.536.981.4+7.675%-
This opponent (Estonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany
#2
L
22-31
22
31
-9
H30/06
World Cup
Israel
#52
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A03/07
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A25/08
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H28/08
World Cup
Italy
#11
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A02/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H03/09
EuroBasket
Croatia
#12
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A05/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H06/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H08/09
EuroBasket
Sweden
#33
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H11/11
World Cup
78.5Avg total
35.9Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.239.475.6-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.839.074.8-3.238%-
Last 30 away (14)36.739.976.6-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)35.942.678.5-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.475.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)35.839.775.5-3.931%-
vs Similar (4)39.037.576.5+1.575%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Finland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Finland wins
0
Estonia wins
DateGameScore
28/08/22Estonia v Finland68-76
Finlandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/22AGermany80-94
13/09/22ASpain90-100
11/09/22HCroatia94-86
08/09/22HNetherlands88-67
06/09/22HCzech Republic98-88
05/09/22ASerbia70-100
03/09/22HPoland89-59
02/09/22AIsrael87-89 OT
28/08/22AEstonia76-68
25/08/22HIsrael79-73
Estonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/22HSweden82-87
08/09/22HGreece69-90
06/09/22HGreat Britain94-62
05/09/22ACroatia70-73
03/09/22HUkraine73-74
02/09/22AItaly62-83
28/08/22HFinland68-76
25/08/22ASlovenia83-104
03/07/22AIsrael77-96
30/06/22HGermany57-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Finland
World Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL78%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%100%60%
Points / game78.881.876.4
Allowed / game75.772.278.4
Point differential+3.1+9.5-2.0
Avg total154.4154.0154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estonia
World Cup 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%20%25%
Points / game72.070.274.2
Allowed / game81.980.284.0
Point differential-9.9-10.0-9.8
Avg total153.9150.4158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Canada10100100%102.668.1+34.5
2 Russia330100%87.070.7+16.3
3 Ivory Coast990100%76.466.2+10.2
4 Latvia1312192%85.871.6+14.2
5 Australia109190%81.255.3+25.9
6 Lebanon109190%88.965.7+23.2
7 Spain98189%85.067.4+17.6
8 South Sudan98189%75.762.2+13.4
9 Germany98189%80.669.6+11.0
10 China108280%80.265.9+14.3
11 France97278%82.162.7+19.4
12 Egypt97278%74.459.0+15.4
13 Angola97278%73.661.2+12.3
14 Lithuania97278%78.373.6+4.8
15 Finland97278%78.875.7+3.1
16 Montenegro1310377%77.971.3+6.6
17 New Zealand86275%88.866.9+21.9
18 Mexico75271%83.678.0+5.6
19 Puerto Rico75271%79.075.4+3.6
20 Dominican Republic107370%81.372.0+9.3
21 Venezuela107370%75.566.2+9.3
22 Argentina107370%78.671.4+7.2
23 Belarus128467%80.267.2+13.0
24 Senegal96367%72.664.0+8.6
25 Slovenia96367%84.079.7+4.3
26 Serbia96367%77.974.8+3.1
27 Italy96367%89.187.2+1.9
28 Brazil85362%84.671.0+13.6
29 Greece85362%78.275.2+3.0
30 Philippines85362%75.672.6+3.0
31 Uruguay85362%72.873.0-0.2
32 Iran106460%72.164.2+7.9
33 Jordan106460%75.771.4+4.3
34 Georgia106460%80.078.9+1.1
35 Iceland1911858%81.980.9+1.0
36 Nigeria95456%71.265.2+6.0
37 Belgium95456%72.468.9+3.6
38 Tunisia95456%63.061.6+1.4
39 Bosnia & Herzegovina95456%80.082.4-2.4
40 Sweden137654%83.876.8+7.0
41 Ukraine105550%81.578.5+3.0
42 Cape Verde84450%71.168.8+2.4
43 Portugal168850%70.971.6-0.7
44 Switzerland42250%62.263.2-1.0
45 Japan105550%72.674.5-1.9
46 Kazakhstan105550%66.770.3-3.6
47 D.R. Congo94544%55.060.4-5.4
48 Hungary94544%70.879.9-9.1
49 Saudi Arabia104640%68.473.0-4.6
50 Mali52340%42.047.2-5.2
51 Turkey83538%77.576.5+1.0
52 Colombia83538%79.589.8-10.2
53 Israel93633%77.177.9-0.8
54 Poland62433%74.077.0-3.0
55 Czech Republic93633%75.680.6-5.0
56 Kosovo62433%75.885.2-9.3
57 Slovakia1651131%68.976.7-7.8
58 Bahamas103730%79.590.0-10.5
59 Cameroon92722%61.667.8-6.2
60 Uganda92722%65.974.9-9.0
61 Guinea92722%63.973.3-9.4
62 Estonia92722%72.081.9-9.9
63 North Macedonia102820%64.375.8-11.5
64 Luxembourg102820%76.388.1-11.8
65 Panama102820%66.778.5-11.8
66 Bahrain102820%63.882.6-18.8
67 Bulgaria61517%74.379.2-4.8
68 Croatia61517%77.083.2-6.2
69 Rwanda61517%56.765.2-8.5
70 Chile61517%66.075.7-9.7
71 Syria61517%69.379.3-10.0
72 Central African Republic61517%61.275.2-14.0
73 Albania61517%65.282.2-17.0
74 Cyprus61517%59.080.2-21.2
75 Great Britain71614%70.380.6-10.3
76 Cuba4040%65.072.8-7.8
77 Netherlands8080%71.681.5-9.9
78 Denmark4040%69.584.5-15.0
79 Romania4040%69.889.5-19.8
80 Chinese Taipei6060%61.090.7-29.7
81 India8080%61.090.8-29.8
82 United States Virgin Islands6060%64.796.2-31.5
83 Indonesia6060%58.590.2-31.7
84 Paraguay6060%55.086.8-31.8
85 Kenya6060%42.574.8-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 85 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Finland2118272591
Estonia1625151571
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