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Finland vs Poland Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Sep 2022
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 89-59
26-16 18-14 20-14 25-15
Position#16
Record3-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game79.0
Finland 🏆
vs
Position#18
Record4-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game76.7
EuropeEuroBasketRound 2
Other2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Finland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFinland
Date
Competition
Georgia
#26
W
78-70
78
70
+8
no box
A21/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#33
L
62-72
62
72
-10
no box
A25/11
World Cup
Croatia
#66
W
77-71
77
71
+6
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
86-76
86
76
+10
no box
H25/02
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
83-79
83
79
+4
no box
A28/02
World Cup
Sweden
#33
W
85-69
85
69
+16
no box
H30/06
World Cup
Croatia
#66
W
81-79
81
79
+2
no box
A03/07
World Cup
Israel
#52
W
79-73
79
73
+6
no box
H25/08
World Cup
Estonia
#55
W
76-68
76
68
+8
no box
A28/08
World Cup
Israel
#10
L
87-89 OT
87
89
-2
no box
A02/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-17
19-13
8-27
21-13
11-14
8-17
14-16
29-25
14-15
20-19
25-21
18-16
13-14
19-17
26-26
28-19
26-16
26-15
12-18
19-30
19-29
24-17
26-8
16-15
21-17
22-17
17-27
21-18
22-19
25-18
11-19
21-17
23-21
24-15
10-18
19-14
27-16
13-24
18-21
21-18
154.0Avg total
79.4Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.479.0155.4-2.643%
Season at home (3)78.385.0163.3-6.733%
Season away (4)75.074.5149.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)79.474.6154.0+4.880%
Last 5 (5)81.675.6157.2+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)70.377.5147.8-7.220%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.076.2155.2+2.875%
vs Weaker (8)80.576.0156.5+4.575%
This opponent (Poland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoland
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#5
L
69-88
69
88
-19
no box
A03/07
Olympic Games
Israel
#52
L
61-69
61
69
-8
no box
A25/11
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
69-72
69
72
-3
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Estonia
#55
L
71-75
71
75
-4
no box
A25/02
World Cup
Estonia
#55
W
70-68
70
68
+2
no box
H28/02
World Cup
Israel
#52
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
no box
H30/06
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
83-93
83
93
-10
no box
A03/07
World Cup
Croatia
#7
L
69-72
69
72
-3
66avg 78
H25/08
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
91-55
91
55
+36
90avg 78
A28/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
W
99-84
99
84
+15
no box
H02/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
26-23
6-16
18-26
21-12
6-19
12-18
22-20
13-16
17-24
21-21
18-11
14-15
22-32
18-13
17-15
12-21
26-21
17-14
15-12
18-12
24-24
15-19
21-23
19-19
17-21
20-17
27-36
15-11
16-10
16-28
22-23
25-8
11-17
29-10
26-20
29-18
17-28
23-17
30-21
153.3Avg total
77.2Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.176.7160.9+7.457%
Season at home (4)86.582.2168.8+4.250%
Season away (3)81.069.3150.3+11.767%
Last 10 (10)77.276.1153.3+1.140%
Last 5 (5)86.477.8164.2+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)76.682.6159.3-6.029%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.774.1160.8+12.682%
vs Weaker (5)76.070.0146.0+6.080%
This opponent (Finland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
FinlandPoland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FinlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#26
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A21/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#33
L
19-31
19
31
-12
A25/11
World Cup
Croatia
#66
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H28/11
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H25/02
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
52-31
52
31
+21
A28/02
World Cup
Sweden
#33
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H30/06
World Cup
Croatia
#66
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A03/07
World Cup
Israel
#52
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H25/08
World Cup
Estonia
#55
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A28/08
World Cup
Israel
#10
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A02/09
EuroBasket
75.6Avg total
40.6Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.436.072.4+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.435.372.6+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)35.636.772.2-1.144%-
Last 10 (10)40.635.075.6+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)44.038.682.6+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)29.737.667.3-7.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.334.873.2+3.567%-
vs Weaker (8)41.935.977.8+6.062%-
This opponent (Poland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A03/07
Olympic Games
Israel
#52
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A25/11
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H28/11
World Cup
Estonia
#55
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A25/02
World Cup
Estonia
#55
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H28/02
World Cup
Israel
#52
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H30/06
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A03/07
World Cup
Croatia
#7
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H25/08
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A28/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H02/09
EuroBasket
74.1Avg total
36.7Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.138.577.6+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.438.678.0+0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)38.738.477.1+0.343%-
Last 10 (10)36.737.474.1-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.233.671.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.140.778.8-2.636%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.835.777.5+6.173%-
vs Weaker (5)36.038.474.4-2.420%-
This opponent (Finland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Finlandtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Polandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poland: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.0
48.7%
-38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
-30.0
🏀 Free throws16.011.0
68.8%
-11.0
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Finland wins
0
Poland wins
DateGameScore
20/08/16Poland v Finland71-80
Finlandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/09/22AIsrael87-89 OT
28/08/22AEstonia76-68
25/08/22HIsrael79-73
03/07/22ACroatia81-79
30/06/22HSweden85-69
28/02/22ASlovenia83-79
25/02/22HSlovenia86-76
28/11/21HCroatia77-71
25/11/21ASweden62-72
21/02/21AGeorgia78-70
Polandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/09/22HCzech Republic99-84
28/08/22AAustria91-55
25/08/22HCroatia69-72
03/07/22AGermany83-93
30/06/22HIsrael90-85 OT
28/02/22HEstonia70-68
25/02/22AEstonia71-75
28/11/21HGermany69-72
25/11/21AIsrael61-69
03/07/21ALithuania69-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Finland
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game76.478.375.0
Allowed / game79.085.074.5
Point differential-2.6-6.7+0.5
Avg total155.4163.3149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %14%0%25%
Poland
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game84.186.581.0
Allowed / game76.782.269.3
Point differential+7.4+4.2+11.7
Avg total160.9168.8150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%25%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bosnia & Herzegovina76186%79.066.9+12.1
2 Israel76186%82.375.6+6.7
3 Belgium129375%80.270.3+9.9
4 Great Britain1511473%78.571.7+6.8
5 Serbia75271%87.976.1+11.7
6 Spain75271%87.976.4+11.4
7 Ukraine75271%78.367.9+10.4
8 Italy75271%84.978.4+6.4
9 Slovenia75271%80.374.1+6.1
10 Greece75271%78.378.0+0.3
11 Russia64267%76.767.5+9.2
12 Denmark1812667%79.576.6+2.9
13 Poland74357%84.176.7+7.4
14 Croatia74357%75.369.6+5.7
15 Lithuania74357%82.681.1+1.4
16 France74357%75.474.3+1.1
17 North Macedonia148657%78.177.2+0.9
18 Turkey74357%74.976.4-1.6
19 Georgia74357%83.485.1-1.7
20 Hungary74357%74.778.6-3.9
21 Belarus84450%78.073.9+4.1
22 Armenia42250%74.874.0+0.8
23 Portugal126650%74.275.0-0.8
24 Montenegro84450%72.974.6-1.8
25 Romania147750%73.778.5-4.8
26 Finland73443%76.479.0-2.6
27 Netherlands73443%68.673.4-4.9
28 Sweden104640%74.374.6-0.3
29 Iceland83538%79.981.9-2.0
30 Slovakia83538%75.078.5-3.5
31 Switzerland145936%82.084.3-2.3
32 Austria103730%74.578.4-3.9
33 Germany72529%76.677.7-1.1
34 Czech Republic72529%80.789.7-9.0
35 Estonia72529%74.484.0-9.6
36 Bulgaria72529%73.486.9-13.4
37 Luxembourg82625%72.583.4-10.9
38 Latvia61517%79.080.0-1.0
39 Cyprus1221017%66.376.8-10.4
40 Kosovo81712%78.883.6-4.9
41 Albania8080%65.283.1-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 41 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Finland2618202589
Poland1614141559
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