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Brasilia vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 May 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 85-80
21-18 18-14 19-18 27-30
Position#5
Record31-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#4
Record31-11
FormLWLWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game78.9
BrazilNBBNBB - Quarter-finals· Arena BRB Nilson Nelson
Other2025-26
Meetings · Brasilia v Flamengo
04 Nov 2026
BRAS v FLAM
upcoming
15 May 2026
BRAS72
FLAM69
13 May 2026
BRAS88
FLAM96
05 May 2026
BRAS85
FLAM80
25 Mar 2026
BRAS89
FLAM87
08 Apr 2025
BRAS79
FLAM88
17 Feb 2024
BRAS74
FLAM86
23 Mar 2023
BRAS75
FLAM109
07 Dec 2021
BRAS60
FLAM69
18 Dec 2020
BRAS74
FLAM103
18 Oct 2019
BRAS81
FLAM86
15 Oct 2018
BRAS69
FLAM94
14 Jan 2017
BRAS95
FLAM83
17 Dec 2015
BRAS85
FLAM94
21 Mar 2015
BRAS95
FLAM106
25 Jan 2014
BRAS79
FLAM81
21 Feb 2013
BRAS82
FLAM70
05 Dec 2012
BRAS85
FLAM74
24 Mar 2012
BRAS93
FLAM74
23 Feb 2011
BRAS85
FLAM71
28 Nov 2010
BRAS96
FLAM86
21 Jun 2009
BRAS82
FLAM78
11 Jun 2009
BRAS74
FLAM81
01 May 2009
BRAS92
FLAM100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Mogi
#8
W
72-69 OT
72
69
+3
64avg 75
H23/03
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
89-87
89
87
+2
86avg 75
H25/03
NBB
Pato
#17
W
67-58
67
58
+9
52avg 75
A02/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
90-78
90
78
+12
89avg 75
H07/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
78-83 OT
78
83
-5
68avg 75
H14/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
94-65
94
65
+29
87avg 75
H18/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
73-64
73
64
+9
72avg 75
H22/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
78-70
78
70
+8
73avg 75
A25/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
63-66
63
66
-3
57avg 75
A27/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
71-70
71
70
+1
67avg 75
H30/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-11
12-20
13-18
20-13
23-23
28-21
13-19
25-24
16-13
14-13
20-20
17-12
20-20
18-21
30-20
22-17
24-15
11-18
19-24
18-15
31-23
17-14
21-14
25-14
23-15
11-20
19-15
20-14
20-23
26-14
17-20
15-13
20-20
11-8
17-20
15-18
15-24
22-9
19-18
15-19
148.5Avg total
77.5Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)80.671.5152.2+9.174%
Season at home (21)82.971.0153.9+12.090%
Season away (21)78.372.1150.5+6.257%
Last 10 (10)77.571.0148.5+6.580%
Last 5 (5)75.867.0142.8+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.087.5168.5-6.50%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.576.4153.9+1.150%
vs Weaker (20)79.268.0147.2+11.285%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
86-93
86
93
-7
72avg 80
H06/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
90-84
90
84
+6
86avg 80
H08/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
102-89
102
89
+13
95avg 80
A11/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
95-75
95
75
+20
92avg 80
H14/04
NBB
Boca Juniors
#2
L
58-81
58
81
-23
43avg 80
A18/04
Champions League Americas
Nacional
#1
L
65-94
65
94
-29
90avg 80
A18/04
Champions League Americas
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
102-72
102
72
+30
101avg 80
H22/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
83-84
83
84
-1
83avg 80
A25/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
90-77
90
77
+13
89avg 80
A27/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
104-77
104
77
+27
107avg 80
H30/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
20-16
24-26
18-28
34-15
29-23
8-25
19-21
22-22
25-18
29-21
26-28
25-19
25-16
12-14
33-26
9-19
18-25
14-17
17-20
16-23
10-31
17-22
22-18
23-23
28-23
23-15
28-11
30-17
18-24
16-24
19-19
23-15
30-16
20-29
17-17
22-18
21-28
33-10
28-21
170.1Avg total
87.5Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)88.278.9167.0+9.374%
Season at home (21)90.176.4166.6+13.786%
Season away (21)86.281.3167.5+4.962%
Last 10 (10)87.582.6170.1+4.960%
Last 5 (5)88.880.8169.6+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.088.8164.8-12.833%
vs Similar ◀ (7)87.983.6171.4+4.357%
vs Weaker (17)87.280.9168.1+6.465%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
BrasiliaFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#8
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H23/03
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H25/03
NBB
Pato
#17
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A02/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H07/04
NBB
Franca
#1
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H14/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H18/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H22/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A25/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A27/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H30/04
NBB
72.4Avg total
37.9Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.536.574.0+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.936.175.0+2.764%-
Last 30 away (16)36.436.873.2-0.444%-
Last 10 (10)37.934.572.4+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.234.073.2+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.538.073.5-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.440.976.2-5.512%-
vs Weaker (20)38.634.673.2+4.070%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H06/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
63-38
63
38
+25
H08/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A11/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H14/04
NBB
Boca Juniors
#2
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A18/04
Champions League Americas
Nacional
#1
L
26-54
26
54
-28
A18/04
Champions League Americas
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H22/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A25/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A27/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H30/04
NBB
86.6Avg total
45.2Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.641.786.4+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.041.289.2+6.869%-
Last 30 away (14)40.842.383.1-1.550%-
Last 10 (10)45.241.486.6+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.687.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.347.887.2-8.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)46.740.787.4+6.057%-
vs Weaker (17)45.640.085.6+5.671%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.3
51.3%
52.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.6
33.3%
32.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.812.1
68.0%
72.8%12.1
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.719.4
59.3%
52.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.811.8
36.0%
32.5%35.4
🏀 Free throws19.913.8
69.3%
72.8%13.8
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brasilia
WLWWWLWWWW
Flamengo
WWLWLLWWWL
#5
League position
#4
+7.5
Net rating
+9.4
89.8
Offensive rating
99.6
82.3
Defensive rating
90.2
50.7%
Effective FG%
56.6%
46.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
16.2%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.3%
3-point %
36.0%
62.4%
Assist %
64.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence89.8 · 99.6Defence82.3 · 90.2Shooting50.7% · 56.6%3-point %33.3% · 36.0%Ball care16.2% · 14.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Brasilia   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Brasilia wins
8
Flamengo wins
DateGameScore
25/03/26Brasilia v Flamengo89-87
20/11/25Flamengo v Brasilia83-85
08/04/25Brasilia v Flamengo79-88
07/12/24Flamengo v Brasilia90-84
17/02/24Brasilia v Flamengo74-86
16/11/23Flamengo v Brasilia92-55
23/03/23Brasilia v Flamengo75-109
01/12/22Flamengo v Brasilia72-50
18/04/22Flamengo v Brasilia113-83
07/12/21Brasilia v Flamengo60-69
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/26HCaxias do Sul71-70
27/04/26ACaxias do Sul63-66
25/04/26ACaxias do Sul78-70
22/04/26HCaxias do Sul73-64
18/04/26HBauru94-65
14/04/26HFranca78-83 OT
07/04/26HSao Jose90-78
02/04/26APato67-58
25/03/26HFlamengo89-87
23/03/26HMogi72-69 OT
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/26HUniao Corinthians104-77
27/04/26AUniao Corinthians90-77
25/04/26AUniao Corinthians83-84
22/04/26HUniao Corinthians102-72
18/04/26ANacional65-94
18/04/26ABoca Juniors58-81
14/04/26HVasco95-75
11/04/26ABotafogo102-89
08/04/26HCruzeiro90-84
06/04/26HMinas86-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW74%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayWLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %74%90%57%
Points / game80.682.978.3
Allowed / game71.571.072.1
Point differential+9.1+12.0+6.2
Avg total152.2153.9150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%52%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)75% (8)33% (6)
Overtime %10%10%10%
Flamengo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW74%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayLLWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %74%86%62%
Points / game88.290.186.2
Allowed / game78.976.481.3
Point differential+9.3+13.7+4.9
Avg total167.0166.6167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%52%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)75% (4)38% (8)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca4235783%90.777.2+13.5
2 Pinheiros4234881%86.175.1+11.0
3 Minas43321174%88.882.4+6.4
4 Flamengo42311174%88.278.9+9.3
5 Brasilia42311174%80.671.5+9.1
6 Corinthians Paulista43311272%84.979.2+5.7
7 Paulistano43271663%83.278.5+4.7
8 Mogi42251760%77.171.8+5.3
9 Sao Jose41221954%81.380.4+0.9
10 Bauru42222052%80.679.9+0.7
11 Unifacisa42212150%81.080.3+0.8
12 Uniao Corinthians42202248%79.983.1-3.2
13 Caxias do Sul42182443%73.476.2-2.9
14 Cruzeiro42142833%81.186.4-5.3
15 Rio Claro41122929%78.985.8-7.0
16 Botafogo41103124%73.684.1-10.5
17 Pato3873118%71.980.8-8.9
18 Osasco3873118%76.187.8-11.8
19 Cearense3873118%76.288.9-12.7
20 Vasco3863216%71.581.4-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brasilia2118192785
Flamengo1814183080
← all games of the day
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