Flamengo vs Corinthians Paulista Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2020

Tip-off: 15:50

Postponed

Position#1

Record21-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game85.0

Allowed / game77.1

Flamengo

Corinthians Paulista

Position#7

Record13-13

FormLLWWL

Points / game82.3

Allowed / game78.9

NBBRound 21

Other2019-20

Meetings · Flamengo v Corinthians Paulista

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Corinthians Paulista win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Flamengo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Corinthians Paulista

72-68

A28/12

NBB

Brasilia

#13

94-77

+17

H25/01

NBB

Unifacisa

#10

83-77

H28/01

NBB

Minas

91-95 OT

-4

H01/02

NBB

Cearense

#15

78-71

H03/02

NBB

Pato

#16

86-71

+15

A05/02

NBB

Mogi

74-69

A08/02

NBB

Paulistano

#11

86-70

+16

A10/02

NBB

Pinheiros

93-82

+11

H03/03

NBB

Sao Jose

#14

102-97 OT

102

A05/03

NBB

18-26

24-7

8-24

22-11

22-19

32-16

15-20

25-22

18-22

18-15

19-21

28-19

23-16

13-12

24-27

16-21

24-17

15-13

22-13

17-28

22-19

19-17

26-16

19-19

22-24

20-21

14-14

18-10

24-20

19-12

22-13

21-25

23-18

25-22

24-18

21-24

24-27

23-14

28-21

11-24

163.6Avg total

85.9Scored

77.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	85.0	77.1	162.1	+7.9	88%
Season at home (12)	86.4	78.8	165.2	+7.6	75%
Season away (12)	83.6	75.4	159.0	+8.2	100%
Last 10 (10)	85.9	77.7	163.6	+8.2	90%
Last 5 (5)	88.2	77.8	166.0	+10.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	88.6	85.6	174.2	+3.0	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	83.9	74.3	158.2	+9.6	92%

This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Corinthians Paulista Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unifacisa

#10

70-77

-7

A21/01

NBB

Cearense

#15

84-78

A23/01

NBB

Franca

83-94

-11

A01/02

NBB

Bauru

#12

74-75

-1

A04/02

NBB

Rio Claro

88-79

H11/02

NBB

Pinheiros

78-81

-3

A15/02

NBB

Sao Paulo

80-89

-9

A29/02

NBB

Pato

#16

93-81

+12

H07/03

NBB

Mogi

78-70

H10/03

NBB

Minas

70-77

-7

H14/03

NBB

13-17

15-18

27-23

15-19

19-14

21-10

23-21

21-33

18-21

18-27

20-27

27-19

16-30

21-21

17-17

20-7

22-16

19-21

26-26

21-16

26-25

18-14

21-25

13-17

21-29

10-20

28-12

21-28

25-12

28-23

19-26

21-20

18-16

19-19

21-13

20-22

15-22

18-28

20-14

17-13

159.9Avg total

79.8Scored

80.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	82.3	78.9	161.3	+3.4	50%
Season at home (14)	85.1	78.1	163.2	+6.9	64%
Season away (12)	79.2	79.8	159.0	-0.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	79.8	80.1	159.9	-0.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	79.6	159.4	+0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	75.5	83.0	158.5	-7.5	0%
vs Similar (9)	78.8	79.9	158.7	-1.1	22%
vs Weaker (19)	84.1	73.0	157.1	+11.1	79%

This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FlamengoCorinthians Paulista

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.1	42.2	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	19.4	40.7	+1.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.9	20.9	43.9	+2.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	20.8	42.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.6	44.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	24.6	20.2	44.8	+4.4	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.5	20.1	41.6	+1.4	56%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.4	39.4	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	18.2	38.6	+2.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.8	18.6	40.4	+3.2	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.2	39.5	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	22.0	19.5	41.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.7	20.6	39.2	-1.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (19)	22.1	17.3	39.3	+4.8	84%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	16.4	38.1	+5.3	83%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	16.9	39.6	+5.9	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	15.9	36.4	+4.6	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	14.9	35.7	+5.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.2	38.4	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	21.2	15.4	36.6	+5.8	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.8	16.6	38.4	+5.2	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.9	38.7	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	19.7	39.9	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	17.9	37.3	+1.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.1	38.8	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.8	39.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	12.5	25.5	38.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.7	18.7	37.3	+0.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (19)	21.1	18.3	39.4	+2.8	63%	-

FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Corinthians Paulista

42-33

A28/12

NBB

Brasilia

#13

54-35

+19

H25/01

NBB

Unifacisa

#10

36-37

-1

H28/01

NBB

Minas

36-28

H01/02

NBB

Cearense

#15

39-30

H03/02

NBB

Pato

#16

41-36

A05/02

NBB

Mogi

42-45

-3

A08/02

NBB

Paulistano

#11

43-32

+11

A10/02

NBB

Pinheiros

48-40

H03/03

NBB

Sao Jose

#14

47-41

A05/03

NBB

78.5Avg total

42.8Scored

35.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.7	36.6	80.3	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.0	36.3	80.3	+7.7	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.4	36.9	80.3	+6.6	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	35.7	78.5	+7.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	38.8	83.0	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	45.8	35.6	81.4	+10.2	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	43.3	36.8	80.1	+6.6	76%	-

This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Corinthians PaulistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unifacisa

#10

28-35

-7

A21/01

NBB

Cearense

#15

40-24

+16

A23/01

NBB

Franca

36-48

-12

A01/02

NBB

Bauru

#12

37-51

-14

A04/02

NBB

Rio Claro

41-37

H11/02

NBB

Pinheiros

44-39

A15/02

NBB

Sao Paulo

31-49

-18

A29/02

NBB

Pato

#16

53-35

+18

H07/03

NBB

Mogi

37-35

H10/03

NBB

Minas

33-50

-17

H14/03

NBB

78.3Avg total

38.0Scored

40.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	37.3	78.1	+3.6	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.6	37.9	78.5	+2.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.1	36.5	77.6	+4.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	40.3	78.3	-2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	41.6	81.2	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	34.5	45.0	79.5	-10.5	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.3	39.2	76.6	-1.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (19)	43.2	35.5	78.7	+7.6	84%	-

This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.9	39.1	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	19.4	40.9	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.8	18.3	37.1	+0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	16.4	39.2	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	21.6	21.6	43.2	+0.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	19.9	18.4	38.3	+1.6	52%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.9	39.4	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	18.3	39.4	+2.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	19.5	39.5	+0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	20.4	42.6	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.0	39.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	22.0	17.5	39.5	+4.5	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.1	19.3	42.4	+3.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (19)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.7	39.4	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	19.9	39.0	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	19.6	39.9	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.3	40.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.4	38.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	18.2	24.6	42.8	-6.4	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.6	40.1	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	17.8	37.9	+2.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	21.7	42.6	-0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.0	38.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	19.0	20.5	39.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.3	21.3	39.7	-3.0	22%	-
vs Weaker (19)	21.7	18.7	40.4	+3.0	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	38.6	78.5	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.6	39.3	79.9	+1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.1	37.9	77.0	+1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	39.0	79.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	36.8	77.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	39.8	46.2	86.0	-6.4	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	39.9	37.1	77.0	+2.8	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	38.5	79.5	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.2	36.1	77.3	+5.2	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.9	41.2	82.1	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	39.8	81.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	38.0	78.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	41.0	38.0	79.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (9)	41.4	40.7	82.1	+0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (19)	40.9	37.5	78.4	+3.4	68%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Flamengo wins

Corinthians Paulista wins

Date	Game	Score
28/12/19	Corinthians Paulista v Flamengo	68-72
20/04/19	Flamengo v Corinthians Paulista	91-65
17/04/19	Flamengo v Corinthians Paulista	79-60
13/04/19	Corinthians Paulista v Flamengo	73-92
12/01/19	Corinthians Paulista v Flamengo	68-91
03/11/18	Flamengo v Corinthians Paulista	72-64

Flamengolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/03/20	A	Sao Jose	102-97 OT
03/03/20	H	Pinheiros	93-82
10/02/20	A	Paulistano	86-70
08/02/20	A	Mogi	74-69
05/02/20	A	Pato	86-71
03/02/20	H	Cearense	78-71
01/02/20	H	Minas	91-95 OT
28/01/20	H	Unifacisa	83-77
25/01/20	H	Brasilia	94-77
28/12/19	A	Corinthians Paulista	72-68

Corinthians Paulistalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/03/20	H	Minas	70-77
10/03/20	H	Mogi	78-70
07/03/20	H	Pato	93-81
29/02/20	A	Sao Paulo	80-89
15/02/20	A	Pinheiros	78-81
11/02/20	H	Rio Claro	88-79
04/02/20	A	Bauru	74-75
01/02/20	A	Franca	83-94
23/01/20	A	Cearense	84-78
21/01/20	A	Unifacisa	70-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo

NBB 2019-20

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	88%
Home	WWLWW	75%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	88%	75%	100%
Points / game	85.0	86.4	83.6
Allowed / game	77.1	78.8	75.4
Point differential	+7.9	+7.6	+8.2
Avg total	162.1	165.2	159.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	42%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (10)	33% (3)	100% (7)
Overtime %	8%	8%	8%

Corinthians Paulista

NBB 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	50%
Home	WWWWL	64%
Away	WLLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	14	12
Win %	50%	64%	33%
Points / game	82.3	85.1	79.2
Allowed / game	78.9	78.1	79.8
Point differential	+3.4	+6.9	-0.7
Avg total	161.3	163.2	159.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	50%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (6)	0% (3)	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Flamengo	24	21	3	88%	85.0	77.1	+7.9
2	Franca	25	20	5	80%	87.4	79.0	+8.4
3	Sao Paulo	26	20	6	77%	88.5	81.6	+6.9
4	Minas	26	17	9	65%	86.6	81.4	+5.2
5	Mogi	26	16	10	62%	82.8	81.4	+1.3
6	Pinheiros	27	15	12	56%	81.6	79.9	+1.7
7	Corinthians Paulista	26	13	13	50%	82.3	78.9	+3.4
8	Rio Claro	26	13	13	50%	84.4	86.7	-2.2
9	Botafogo	26	13	13	50%	78.4	80.7	-2.3
10	Unifacisa	27	13	14	48%	83.2	81.0	+2.2
11	Paulistano	25	11	14	44%	81.7	83.1	-1.4
12	Bauru	26	11	15	42%	80.2	81.0	-0.8
13	Brasilia	26	8	18	31%	76.0	85.9	-10.0
14	Sao Jose	27	7	20	26%	86.3	92.1	-5.8
15	Cearense	26	5	21	19%	76.3	81.0	-4.7
16	Pato	25	4	21	16%	71.0	80.2	-9.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Flamengo vs Corinthians Paulista Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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