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Flamengo vs Corinthians Paulista Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 May 2025
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 85-82
22-25 17-20 25-22 21-15
Position#3
Record30-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game75.9
vs
Position#8
Record21-19
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game80.3
BrazilNBBNBB - Quarter-finals· Maracanãzinho
Other2024-25
Meetings · Flamengo v Corinthians Paulista
15 Dec 2026
FLAM v CORI
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
FLAM94
CORI88
15 May 2025
FLAM85
CORI82
13 May 2025
FLAM73
CORI90
24 Oct 2024
FLAM70
CORI83
06 Apr 2024
FLAM88
CORI58
19 Jan 2023
FLAM90
CORI64
22 Mar 2022
FLAM76
CORI71
18 Mar 2021
FLAM98
CORI85
28 Mar 2020
FLAM v CORI
upcoming
20 Apr 2019
FLAM91
CORI65
17 Apr 2019
FLAM79
CORI60
03 Nov 2018
FLAM72
CORI64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Corinthians Paulista winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
W
88-84
88
84
+4
77avg 81
A13/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
91-97
91
97
-6
92avg 81
A15/04
NBB
Franca
#2
W
91-67
91
67
+24
85avg 81
H19/04
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#4
W
83-57
83
57
+26
75avg 81
H20/04
Champions League Americas
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
98-52
98
52
+46
103avg 81
A23/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
76-78
76
78
-2
71avg 81
H27/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
80-77
80
77
+3
72avg 81
H30/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
86-63
86
63
+23
86avg 81
A02/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
94-88
94
88
+6
86avg 81
A10/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
73-90
73
90
-17
68avg 81
H13/05
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
30-24
19-16
18-27
27-23
29-32
15-26
20-16
22-18
20-11
23-11
26-27
30-13
19-16
11-16
23-12
20-15
29-18
24-2
25-17
9-16
25-18
22-22
20-22
22-19
26-14
13-19
19-25
20-15
20-13
23-21
23-14
25-21
18-29
28-17
23-21
22-26
16-22
14-24
21-18
161.3Avg total
86.0Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)84.775.9160.5+8.875%
Season at home (20)83.075.2158.2+7.875%
Season away (20)86.376.5162.9+9.875%
Last 10 (10)86.075.3161.3+10.770%
Last 5 (5)81.879.2161.0+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)80.595.5176.0-15.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)86.875.2162.0+11.681%
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulista
Date
Competition
Cearense
#17
L
67-79
67
79
-12
67avg 76
A07/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
83-74
83
74
+9
75avg 76
A10/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
92avg 76
H16/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
111-81
111
81
+30
110avg 76
H18/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
97-93
97
93
+4
94avg 76
H25/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
71-93
71
93
-22
60avg 76
A28/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
92-80
92
80
+12
86avg 76
A30/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
79-72
79
72
+7
50avg 76
H03/05
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
88-94
88
94
-6
89avg 76
H10/05
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
90-73
90
73
+17
87avg 76
A13/05
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-15
13-22
25-25
19-17
24-19
16-12
25-15
18-28
17-16
23-14
16-27
23-22
42-13
18-21
17-21
34-26
32-19
25-24
22-30
18-20
22-25
19-27
10-21
20-20
29-12
26-24
17-16
20-28
8-26
33-10
19-26
19-10
21-25
29-18
17-28
21-23
26-22
22-16
24-14
18-21
171.8Avg total
88.1Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)82.380.3162.7+2.052%
Season at home (20)86.884.1170.9+2.755%
Season away (20)77.876.6154.4+1.250%
Last 10 (10)88.183.7171.8+4.470%
Last 5 (5)84.082.4166.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)86.883.0169.8+3.860%
vs Similar (16)79.879.8159.5+0.044%
vs Weaker (9)85.078.2163.2+6.878%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
FlamengoCorinthians Paulista
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A13/04
NBB
Franca
#2
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A15/04
NBB
Franca
#2
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H19/04
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#4
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H20/04
Champions League Americas
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A23/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H27/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H30/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A02/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A10/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H13/05
NBB
83.0Avg total
45.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.639.783.3+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.137.581.6+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)43.141.984.9+1.253%-
Last 10 (10)45.038.083.0+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.679.2+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)47.051.098.0-4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)43.338.882.1+4.559%-
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#17
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A07/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A10/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H16/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
60-34
60
34
+26
H18/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H25/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A28/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
55-36
55
36
+19
A30/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H03/05
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H10/05
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A13/05
NBB
83.5Avg total
45.5Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.281.2+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.640.384.9+4.464%-
Last 30 away (16)39.638.377.9+1.356%-
Last 10 (10)45.538.083.5+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)47.041.088.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)48.243.091.2+5.280%-
vs Similar (16)40.339.179.4+1.256%-
vs Weaker (9)41.437.378.8+4.156%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.320.3
55.9%
50.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.311.4
37.6%
33.0%34.2
🏀 Free throws14.210.4
73.2%
72.7%10.4
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Corinthians Paulistatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Corinthians Paulista: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.421.6
59.3%
50.9%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.7
34.1%
33.0%32.1
🏀 Free throws16.811.8
70.2%
72.7%11.8
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
LWWWLWWWLW
Corinthians Paulista
WLWWLWWWWL
#3
League position
#8
+14.4
Net rating
+5.4
114.6
Offensive rating
112.6
100.2
Defensive rating
107.2
56.2%
Effective FG%
55.5%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
16.9%
Turnover %
17.3%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.6%
3-point %
34.1%
59.6%
Assist %
63.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 112.6Defence100.2 · 107.2Shooting56.2% · 55.5%3-point %37.6% · 34.1%Ball care16.9% · 17.3%Off. rebounds32.2% · 30.3%Free throws0.21 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Flamengo   ■ Corinthians Paulista
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/25HCorinthians Paulista73-90
10/05/25ACorinthians Paulista94-88
02/05/25ACaxias do Sul86-63
30/04/25HCaxias do Sul80-77
27/04/25HCaxias do Sul76-78
23/04/25ACaxias do Sul98-52
20/04/25HBoca Juniors83-57
19/04/25HFranca91-67
15/04/25AFranca91-97
13/04/25ABauru88-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/25AFlamengo90-73
10/05/25HFlamengo88-94
03/05/25HUniao Corinthians79-72
30/04/25AUniao Corinthians92-80
28/04/25AUniao Corinthians71-93
25/04/25HUniao Corinthians97-93
18/04/25HUniao Corinthians111-81
16/04/25HCaxias do Sul103-98 OT
10/04/25AUnifacisa83-74
07/04/25ACearense67-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL75%
HomeWWLWL75%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402020
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game84.783.086.3
Allowed / game75.975.276.5
Point differential+8.8+7.8+9.8
Avg total160.5158.2162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%45%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Corinthians Paulista
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW52%
HomeWWWWL55%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402020
Win %52%55%50%
Points / game82.386.877.8
Allowed / game80.384.176.6
Point differential+2.0+2.7+1.2
Avg total162.7170.9154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)43% (7)25% (4)
Overtime %2%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas4035588%82.670.8+11.8
2 Flamengo40301075%84.775.9+8.8
3 Franca39291074%85.175.8+9.2
4 Bauru42251760%79.477.6+1.8
5 Pinheiros41231856%76.474.4+2.0
6 Brasilia38201853%79.979.6+0.3
7 Corinthians Paulista40211952%82.380.3+2.0
8 Vasco41212051%77.277.3-0.1
9 Uniao Corinthians38191950%78.780.9-2.1
10 Sao Jose38182047%78.478.8-0.4
11 Unifacisa39182146%74.775.3-0.6
12 Paulistano39172244%76.876.4+0.5
13 Sao Paulo41162539%76.379.5-3.2
14 Pato37132435%81.384.2-2.9
15 Caxias do Sul38122632%73.681.5-7.9
16 Mogi37112630%73.781.3-7.6
17 Cearense34102429%72.178.0-5.9
18 Botafogo34102429%73.182.1-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo2217252185
Corinthians Paulista2520221582
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