Flamengo vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Mar 2017

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 108-74

24-17 28-14 30-20 26-23

Position#1

Record20-6

FormLWWWW

Points / game87.9

Allowed / game78.6

Flamengo 🏆

Minas

Position#13

Record7-19

FormLLLLL

Points / game77.2

Allowed / game81.7

NBBRound 30

Other2016-17

Meetings · Flamengo v Minas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Minas winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Flamengo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vasco

77-78

-1

A28/01

NBB

Pinheiros

84-77 OT

A02/02

NBB

Mogi

96-87

H14/02

NBB

Campo Mourao

#10

79-69

+10

H16/02

NBB

Sorocabana

#14

90-58

+32

A21/02

NBB

Paulistano

96-103

103

-7

A23/02

NBB

Vasco

94-86

H11/03

NBB

Macae

#12

82-80

A14/03

NBB

Cearense

#11

94-81

+13

A22/03

NBB

Universo/Vitoria

93-87 OT

A24/03

NBB

22-11

16-24

21-29

18-14

14-13

13-18

23-17

18-20

18-19

21-20

30-29

27-19

19-16

16-11

19-17

25-25

21-22

23-10

20-10

26-16

20-25

24-26

27-18

25-34

25-22

18-19

25-23

26-22

26-21

22-12

23-26

11-21

21-18

26-12

20-22

27-29

17-17

19-17

22-18

19-25

169.1Avg total

88.5Scored

80.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	87.9	78.6	166.5	+9.3	77%
Season at home (12)	86.2	78.2	164.4	+8.1	75%
Season away (14)	89.3	79.0	168.3	+10.3	79%
Last 10 (10)	88.5	80.6	169.1	+7.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	91.8	87.4	179.2	+4.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	86.5	80.2	166.8	+6.2	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	88.3	78.7	167.0	+9.6	77%

This opponent (Minas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Minas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cearense

#11

62-66

-4

H01/02

NBB

Universo/Vitoria

78-82

-4

H03/02

NBB

Sorocabana

#14

68-61

H14/02

NBB

Paulistano

85-96

-11

H16/02

NBB

Pinheiros

92-95

-3

A24/02

NBB

Campo Mourao

#10

105-114 OT

105

114

-9

A07/03

NBB

Mogi

64-87

-23

A09/03

NBB

Brasilia

62-74

-12

H13/03

NBB

Bauru

77-89

-12

H23/03

NBB

Franca

80-84

-4

H25/03

NBB

7-14

17-17

17-16

21-19

14-22

17-26

25-14

22-20

18-13

8-9

19-19

23-20

21-34

22-24

17-25

25-13

22-17

25-16

13-29

32-33

18-25

18-16

27-15

20-27

11-27

19-15

18-23

16-22

15-13

14-24

10-23

23-14

19-21

16-25

22-25

20-18

23-17

17-19

21-17

19-31

162.1Avg total

77.3Scored

84.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	77.2	81.7	158.9	-4.5	27%
Season at home (14)	76.3	80.8	157.1	-4.5	29%
Season away (12)	78.2	82.8	161.1	-4.6	25%
Last 10 (10)	77.3	84.8	162.1	-7.5	10%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	89.6	167.2	-12.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	77.9	87.3	165.3	-9.4	7%
vs Similar (15)	74.3	74.3	148.6	+0.1	47%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FlamengoMinas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.1	38.6	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	18.1	38.7	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	18.2	38.5	+2.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.4	38.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.6	42.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	18.1	18.2	36.4	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.3	18.1	39.4	+3.2	68%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	20.2	37.8	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.8	20.5	38.3	-2.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	19.8	37.3	-2.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	20.3	37.1	-3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	20.6	37.8	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.9	21.7	40.6	-2.7	40%	-
vs Similar (15)	16.4	18.7	35.1	-2.3	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	16.5	35.5	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	16.0	35.2	+3.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	17.1	35.7	+1.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	16.9	36.7	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	17.2	39.0	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	17.6	17.2	34.9	+0.4	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	19.4	16.3	35.7	+3.1	68%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.4	37.3	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	20.7	38.0	-3.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	18.1	36.7	+0.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	19.1	36.4	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	19.8	36.6	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.5	21.5	40.0	-3.1	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.5	17.2	34.7	+0.3	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vasco

38-35

A28/01

NBB

Pinheiros

27-31

-4

A02/02

NBB

Mogi

39-39

H14/02

NBB

Campo Mourao

#10

35-27

H16/02

NBB

Sorocabana

#14

44-32

+12

A21/02

NBB

Paulistano

44-51

-7

A23/02

NBB

Vasco

43-41

H11/03

NBB

Macae

#12

48-33

+15

A14/03

NBB

Cearense

#11

47-30

+17

A22/03

NBB

Universo/Vitoria

36-34

A24/03

NBB

75.4Avg total

40.1Scored

35.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	34.7	74.0	+4.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.8	34.1	73.9	+5.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	35.3	74.2	+3.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	35.3	75.4	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	37.8	81.4	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	35.8	35.5	71.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	40.7	34.4	75.0	+6.3	77%	-

This opponent (Minas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cearense

#11

24-31

-7

H01/02

NBB

Universo/Vitoria

31-48

-17

H03/02

NBB

Sorocabana

#14

26-22

H14/02

NBB

Paulistano

43-58

-15

H16/02

NBB

Pinheiros

47-33

+14

A24/02

NBB

Campo Mourao

#10

36-41

-5

A07/03

NBB

Mogi

30-42

-12

A09/03

NBB

Brasilia

29-37

-8

H13/03

NBB

Bauru

35-46

-11

H23/03

NBB

Franca

40-36

H25/03

NBB

73.5Avg total

34.1Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.6	39.5	75.2	-3.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.1	41.2	76.3	-6.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.1	37.9	74.0	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.1	39.4	73.5	-5.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	40.4	74.4	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	37.4	43.2	80.6	-5.8	27%	-
vs Similar (15)	33.9	35.9	69.7	-2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.5	20.5	44.9	+4.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.3	20.1	44.3	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.7	20.9	45.5	+3.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	20.9	43.9	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	21.4	44.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	26.1	20.8	46.9	+5.4	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	23.9	20.4	44.2	+3.5	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	19.6	38.3	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	20.0	37.4	-2.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.6	39.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.7	21.6	40.3	-2.9	40%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.4	18.0	35.4	-0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.8	43.5	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	22.5	44.3	-0.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	21.2	42.6	+0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	22.5	44.7	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	26.2	47.8	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	21.6	21.4	43.0	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.6	22.0	43.6	-0.4	41%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.2	41.7	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	19.7	41.2	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	20.6	42.2	+1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	21.7	43.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	22.4	42.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	21.9	22.5	44.4	-0.7	40%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.2	17.8	39.0	+3.4	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.1	42.3	88.4	+3.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.1	42.5	88.7	+3.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.1	42.1	88.1	+4.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.2	43.4	88.6	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	47.6	92.6	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	47.8	42.1	89.9	+5.6	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	45.5	42.4	87.9	+3.1	45%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	40.0	79.5	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	39.3	79.5	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.0	40.6	79.6	-1.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	42.3	83.3	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	43.0	82.2	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	40.5	44.1	84.7	-3.6	27%	-
vs Similar (15)	38.6	35.8	74.4	+2.8	73%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Flamengo wins

Minas wins

Date	Game	Score
12/01/17	Minas v Flamengo	60-89
27/03/16	Flamengo v Minas	76-65
15/12/15	Minas v Flamengo	74-81
03/02/15	Flamengo v Minas	77-59
18/11/14	Minas v Flamengo	78-76
03/02/14	Flamengo v Minas	90-59
05/12/13	Minas v Flamengo	84-66
02/02/13	Flamengo v Minas	90-77
21/01/13	Minas v Flamengo	90-105
06/03/12	Flamengo v Minas	99-89

Flamengolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/03/17	A	Universo/Vitoria	93-87 OT
22/03/17	A	Cearense	94-81
14/03/17	A	Macae	82-80
11/03/17	H	Vasco	94-86
23/02/17	A	Paulistano	96-103
21/02/17	A	Sorocabana	90-58
16/02/17	H	Campo Mourao	79-69
14/02/17	H	Mogi	96-87
02/02/17	A	Pinheiros	84-77 OT
28/01/17	A	Vasco	77-78

Minaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/03/17	H	Franca	80-84
23/03/17	H	Bauru	77-89
13/03/17	H	Brasilia	62-74
09/03/17	A	Mogi	64-87
07/03/17	A	Campo Mourao	105-114 OT
24/02/17	A	Pinheiros	92-95
16/02/17	H	Paulistano	85-96
14/02/17	H	Sorocabana	68-61
03/02/17	H	Universo/Vitoria	78-82
01/02/17	H	Cearense	62-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo

NBB 2016-17

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	77%
Home	LLWWW	75%
Away	WLWWW	79%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	12	14
Win %	77%	75%	79%
Points / game	87.9	86.2	89.3
Allowed / game	78.6	78.2	79.0
Point differential	+9.3	+8.1	+10.3
Avg total	166.5	164.4	168.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	33%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	0% (1)	75% (4)
Overtime %	19%	17%	21%

Minas

NBB 2016-17

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	27%
Home	WLLLL	29%
Away	WLLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	14	12
Win %	27%	29%	25%
Points / game	77.2	76.3	78.2
Allowed / game	81.7	80.8	82.8
Point differential	-4.5	-4.5	-4.6
Avg total	158.9	157.1	161.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	7%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (7)	0% (4)	0% (3)
Overtime %	8%	7%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Flamengo	26	20	6	77%	87.9	78.6	+9.3
2	Mogi	26	19	7	73%	81.1	74.1	+7.0
3	Brasilia	27	18	9	67%	81.8	77.2	+4.6
4	Bauru	26	17	9	65%	80.5	74.8	+5.7
5	Franca	26	17	9	65%	81.3	80.0	+1.3
6	Universo/Vitoria	26	15	11	58%	76.7	75.4	+1.3
7	Pinheiros	26	15	11	58%	81.1	80.8	+0.3
8	Paulistano	26	14	12	54%	81.7	77.4	+4.3
9	Campo Mourao	26	13	13	50%	78.6	80.1	-1.5
10	Vasco	27	13	14	48%	74.7	78.1	-3.4
11	Cearense	26	11	15	42%	76.3	78.5	-2.2
12	Minas	26	7	19	27%	77.2	81.7	-4.5
13	Macae	27	7	20	26%	74.7	79.5	-4.8
14	Sorocabana	26	6	20	23%	69.1	77.9	-8.8
15	Caxias do Sul	27	5	22	19%	72.3	80.5	-8.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Flamengo	24	28	30	26	108
Minas	17	14	20	23	74

← all games of the day

Flamengo vs Minas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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