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Flamengo vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 86-93
24-23 20-16 24-26 18-28
Position#4
Record25-9
FormWWLLL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Minas 🏆
Brazil
Position#3
Record26-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game82.1
BrazilNBB· Maracanãzinho
Other2025-26
Meetings · Flamengo v Minas
06 Apr 2026
FLAM86
MINA93
30 Nov 2024
FLAM70
MINA81
13 Oct 2023
FLAM70
MINA87
01 Mar 2023
FLAM79
MINA78
12 May 2022
FLAM76
MINA67
06 Apr 2022
FLAM83
MINA85
18 Jan 2022
FLAM63
MINA71
20 Nov 2021
FLAM99
MINA63
25 Mar 2021
FLAM70
MINA61
03 Feb 2021
FLAM79
MINA69
10 Nov 2020
FLAM102
MINA68
31 Jan 2020
FLAM91
MINA95
09 Mar 2019
FLAM82
MINA60
19 Apr 2018
FLAM97
MINA92
17 Apr 2018
FLAM101
MINA74
03 Mar 2018
FLAM96
MINA84
29 Mar 2017
FLAM108
MINA74
27 Mar 2016
FLAM76
MINA65
03 Feb 2015
FLAM77
MINA59
03 Feb 2014
FLAM90
MINA59
02 Feb 2013
FLAM90
MINA77
06 Mar 2012
FLAM99
MINA89
18 Mar 2011
FLAM84
MINA71
13 May 2009
FLAM84
MINA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Flamengo
3.3out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 86.2
87.4▲ 1.2
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.9
82.2▲ 2.3
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 58%
62%▲ 5%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.9
21.2▲ 2.3
🔥 Form · Minas
5.5out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.9
90.8▲ 5.9
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.0
81.6▲ 2.6
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
60%▲ 4%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.7
22.0▲ 3.3
FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
91-89
91
89
+2
H19/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
79-92
79
92
-13
H21/02
NBB
Astros
#3
W
101-99
101
99
+2
H06/03
Champions League Americas
Astros
#3
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A14/03
Champions League Americas
Pinheiros
#2
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H19/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
101-71
101
71
+30
H20/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H23/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
87-89
87
89
-2
A25/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
91-96
91
96
-5
A31/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A02/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-22
23-18
15-29
23-20
13-23
21-24
29-20
16-25
33-19
23-26
22-21
23-33
25-16
18-24
12-17
22-18
20-30
21-15
17-16
22-14
18-13
26-20
30-19
27-19
26-21
16-21
18-11
24-26
23-23
21-28
19-13
24-25
21-22
29-27
18-15
23-32
18-19
15-13
21-23
20-21
170.6Avg total
86.5Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)86.878.3165.1+8.574%
Season at home (16)88.575.2163.8+13.288%
Season away (18)85.380.9166.2+4.361%
Last 10 (10)86.584.1170.6+2.460%
Last 5 (5)87.482.2169.6+5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.286.6165.8-7.440%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.282.2167.4+3.067%
vs Weaker (16)86.179.2165.3+6.862%
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
83-104
83
104
-21
A22/02
NBB
Franca
#4
L
90-98
90
98
-8
H08/03
Champions League Americas
Franca
#4
W
110-101
110
101
+9
A11/03
Champions League Americas
Franca
#4
L
91-103
91
103
-12
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
92-82
92
82
+10
H17/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H19/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A22/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
85-91
85
91
-6
A24/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
101-88
101
88
+13
H01/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
109-88
109
88
+21
A04/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-29
24-30
19-31
23-14
13-23
26-30
21-17
30-28
23-23
22-26
33-22
32-30
23-27
21-25
21-32
26-19
21-21
27-21
34-16
10-24
24-29
18-16
21-9
18-21
31-20
12-19
18-18
17-9
22-29
26-24
14-15
23-23
22-21
31-12
25-27
23-28
26-24
31-19
29-24
23-21
181.6Avg total
92.0Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)87.782.1169.8+5.576%
Season at home (17)86.979.6166.5+7.388%
Season away (17)88.584.7173.2+3.865%
Last 10 (10)92.089.6181.6+2.460%
Last 5 (5)90.881.6172.4+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)85.390.3175.6-5.029%
vs Similar ◀ (6)85.589.5175.0-4.033%
vs Weaker (17)90.180.5170.6+9.594%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
FlamengoMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H19/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H21/02
NBB
Astros
#3
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H06/03
Champions League Americas
Astros
#3
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A14/03
Champions League Americas
Pinheiros
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H19/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H20/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H23/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A25/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A31/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A02/04
NBB
86.4Avg total
44.0Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.940.684.5+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.139.585.7+6.667%-
Last 30 away (15)41.741.783.3+0.047%-
Last 10 (10)44.042.486.4+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.641.484.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.443.886.2-1.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)45.341.686.9+3.844%-
vs Weaker (16)43.639.182.6+4.569%-
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A22/02
NBB
Franca
#4
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H08/03
Champions League Americas
Franca
#4
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A11/03
Champions League Americas
Franca
#4
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H17/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H19/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A22/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A24/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H01/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A04/04
NBB
92.8Avg total
46.0Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.044.389.3+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.941.086.9+4.962%-
Last 30 away (17)44.246.891.1-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)46.046.892.8-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)48.642.691.2+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.746.686.3-6.90%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)45.850.796.5-4.817%-
vs Weaker (17)46.841.187.9+5.771%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.416.4
52.2%
52.2%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.813.2
39.1%
32.5%39.6
🏀 Free throws18.514.1
76.2%
72.8%14.1
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.221.2
57.0%
52.2%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.8
37.6%
32.5%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.716.2
71.4%
72.8%16.2
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
LLLWWWWWLW
Minas
WWLWWWLWLL
#4
League position
#3
+3.6
Net rating
+3.4
100.7
Offensive rating
101.9
97.1
Defensive rating
98.6
55.5%
Effective FG%
56.8%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
14.9%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
39.1%
3-point %
37.6%
63.5%
Assist %
64.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 101.9Defence97.1 · 98.6Shooting55.5% · 56.8%3-point %39.1% · 37.6%Ball care14.9% · 14.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Flamengo   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Flamengo wins
4
Minas wins
DateGameScore
23/12/25Minas v Flamengo85-87
19/03/25Minas v Flamengo94-70
01/02/25Minas v Flamengo61-64
30/11/24Flamengo v Minas70-81
11/01/24Minas v Flamengo86-78
13/10/23Flamengo v Minas70-87
14/04/23Minas v Flamengo75-80
01/03/23Flamengo v Minas79-78
15/10/22Minas v Flamengo73-85
17/05/22Minas v Flamengo80-91
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/26ACaxias do Sul74-76
31/03/26AUniao Corinthians91-96
25/03/26ABrasilia87-89
23/03/26HPaulistano84-79
20/03/26HOsasco101-71
19/03/26HPinheiros80-75
14/03/26AAstros77-75
06/03/26HAstros101-99
21/02/26HBauru79-92
19/02/26HFranca91-89
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26AVasco109-88
01/04/26HCruzeiro101-88
24/03/26APinheiros85-91
22/03/26AOsasco78-66
19/03/26HCaxias do Sul81-75
17/03/26HUniao Corinthians92-82
12/03/26AFranca91-103
11/03/26AFranca110-101
08/03/26HFranca90-98
22/02/26APaulistano83-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL74%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayLLLLL61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341618
Win %74%88%61%
Points / game86.888.585.3
Allowed / game78.375.280.9
Point differential+8.5+13.2+4.3
Avg total165.1163.8166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)75% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Minas
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW76%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLWLW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %76%88%65%
Points / game87.786.988.5
Allowed / game82.179.684.7
Point differential+5.5+7.3+3.8
Avg total169.8166.5173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%29%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)71% (7)80% (5)
Overtime %9%12%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3529683%90.777.1+13.7
2 Pinheiros3629781%85.574.6+10.9
3 Minas3426876%87.782.1+5.5
4 Brasilia3526974%81.171.7+9.4
5 Flamengo3425974%86.878.3+8.5
6 Corinthians Paulista34241071%84.278.6+5.6
7 Paulistano35221363%83.478.1+5.3
8 Sao Jose34201459%82.680.4+2.2
9 Bauru36211558%81.979.0+2.9
10 Mogi35191654%76.170.9+5.2
11 Uniao Corinthians34181653%79.881.4-1.6
12 Unifacisa34171750%81.580.6+0.9
13 Caxias do Sul35161946%73.976.8-2.9
14 Cruzeiro33112233%79.785.6-6.0
15 Rio Claro36112531%78.185.8-7.7
16 Botafogo3492526%72.682.4-9.8
17 Pato3472721%72.879.8-7.0
18 Cearense3672919%76.789.1-12.3
19 Vasco3553014%70.580.7-10.2
20 Osasco3553014%75.588.1-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo2420241886
Minas2316262893
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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