PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Flamengo vs Pinheiros Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 23 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game70.7
vs
Position#3
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game70.2
BrazilNBB· Maracanãzinho
Other2026-27
Meetings · Flamengo v Pinheiros
23 Dec 2026
FLAM v PINH
upcoming
19 Mar 2026
FLAM80
PINH75
26 Oct 2024
FLAM66
PINH61
08 Apr 2024
FLAM73
PINH59
10 Jan 2023
FLAM70
PINH66
09 Jan 2022
FLAM81
PINH64
14 Mar 2021
FLAM100
PINH63
03 Mar 2020
FLAM93
PINH82
01 Nov 2018
FLAM61
PINH74
07 Jan 2018
FLAM72
PINH68
05 May 2017
FLAM75
PINH78
26 Apr 2017
FLAM79
PINH90
24 Apr 2017
FLAM83
PINH73
17 Nov 2016
FLAM96
PINH88
10 Dec 2015
FLAM79
PINH83
01 Feb 2014
FLAM71
PINH80
26 Jan 2013
FLAM102
PINH85
28 Nov 2012
FLAM107
PINH77
21 Nov 2011
FLAM84
PINH87
12 Dec 2010
FLAM88
PINH90
19 May 2009
FLAM87
PINH84
18 May 2009
FLAM92
PINH85
25 Mar 2009
FLAM86
PINH81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pinheiros win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
90-77
90
77
+13
89avg 79
A27/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
104-77
104
77
+27
107avg 79
H30/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
80-85
80
85
-5
68avg 79
A05/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
83-66
83
66
+17
74avg 79
H08/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
90-98
90
98
-8
78avg 79
H10/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
96-88
96
88
+8
84avg 79
A13/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
69-72
69
72
-3
60avg 79
A15/05
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
81-82
81
82
-1
78avg 79
H18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 79
H20/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#16
W
77-59
77
59
+18
no box
H30/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
30-16
20-29
17-17
22-18
21-28
33-10
28-21
18-21
14-18
18-19
30-27
19-15
28-18
23-19
13-14
24-20
26-24
23-31
17-23
23-23
26-19
25-27
22-19
12-21
22-22
19-14
16-15
19-20
17-23
22-18
23-21
22-14
27-22
20-21
12-14
17-15
18-12
28-9
14-23
162.6Avg total
85.1Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.770.7150.3+9.067%
Season at home (3)79.770.7150.3+9.067%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.177.5162.6+7.660%
Last 5 (5)80.874.4155.2+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.287.2162.5-12.050%
vs Similar ◀ (9)84.783.9168.6+0.844%
vs Weaker (17)88.279.2167.5+9.065%
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPinheiros
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
74avg 74
A23/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
88-76
88
76
+12
77avg 74
H26/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
56avg 74
A31/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
75-78
75
78
-3
57avg 74
H02/06
NBB
Franca
#1
W
94-92
94
92
+2
83avg 74
H04/06
NBB
Franca
#1
L
76-85
76
85
-9
69avg 74
A07/06
NBB
Unifacisa
#2
L
65-81
65
81
-16
49avg 74
A19/10
NBB
Cearense
#18
W
98-63
98
63
+35
102avg 74
A22/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#11
W
75-63
75
63
+12
68avg 74
H27/10
NBB
Osasco
#13
W
89-74
89
74
+15
74avg 74
A29/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
30-8
20-18
11-28
21-18
35-20
23-13
9-25
27-20
18-23
11-26
17-13
21-24
7-21
17-11
30-22
19-24
28-19
27-32
20-17
24-18
22-32
8-10
22-25
19-19
11-23
15-19
20-20
24-15
22-17
26-18
26-13
22-13
13-10
24-22
16-18
25-21
24-18
26-19
14-16
159.0Avg total
81.5Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.870.2152.0+11.575%
Season at home (1)75.063.0138.0+12.0100%
Season away (3)84.072.7156.7+11.367%
Last 10 (10)81.577.5159.0+4.060%
Last 5 (5)80.673.2153.8+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)78.483.3161.7-4.929%
vs Weaker (23)86.274.3160.5+11.987%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.2-1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.2-1.2
FlamengoPinheiros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A27/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H30/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A05/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H08/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H10/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A13/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A15/05
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H20/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#16
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H30/10
NBB
81.2Avg total
42.8Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.041.185.1+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.439.886.2+6.571%-
Last 30 away (13)40.842.883.7-2.054%-
Last 10 (10)42.838.481.2+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.278.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.045.883.8-7.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.841.885.6+2.056%-
vs Weaker (17)45.539.785.2+5.871%-
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A23/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H26/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A31/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H02/06
NBB
Franca
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H04/06
NBB
Franca
#1
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A07/06
NBB
Unifacisa
#2
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A19/10
NBB
Cearense
#18
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A22/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#11
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H27/10
NBB
Osasco
#13
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A29/10
NBB
80.6Avg total
42.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.639.982.5+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.439.282.6+4.269%-
Last 30 away (17)42.140.482.4+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)42.438.280.6+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.278.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.044.686.6-2.657%-
vs Weaker (23)42.838.481.3+4.461%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.6
55.5%
49.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.011.6
34.1%
31.7%34.8
🏀 Free throws17.211.7
68.0%
71.2%11.7
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.316.7
51.7%
49.9%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.1
34.4%
31.7%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.412.7
69.0%
71.2%12.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
WWLLWLWLWW
Pinheiros
WWWLLWLLWW
#7
League position
#3
+7.6
Net rating
+6.1
95.8
Offensive rating
94.5
88.2
Defensive rating
88.4
53.4%
Effective FG%
51.6%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
14.8%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.1%
3-point %
34.4%
66.0%
Assist %
53.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.8 · 94.5Defence88.2 · 88.4Shooting53.4% · 51.6%3-point %34.1% · 34.4%Ball care14.8% · 15.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Flamengo   ■ Pinheiros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Flamengo wins
2
Pinheiros wins
DateGameScore
19/03/26Flamengo v Pinheiros80-75
03/12/25Pinheiros v Flamengo83-67
18/01/25Pinheiros v Flamengo65-86
26/10/24Flamengo v Pinheiros66-61
08/04/24Flamengo v Pinheiros73-59
27/12/23Pinheiros v Flamengo83-88
10/01/23Flamengo v Pinheiros70-66
03/11/22Pinheiros v Flamengo65-74
16/04/22Pinheiros v Flamengo92-80
09/01/22Flamengo v Pinheiros81-64
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HCaxias do Sul77-59
20/10/26HBotafogo81-71
18/10/26HBauru81-82
15/05/26ABrasilia69-72
13/05/26ABrasilia96-88
10/05/26HBrasilia90-98
08/05/26HBrasilia83-66
05/05/26ABrasilia80-85
30/04/26HUniao Corinthians104-77
27/04/26AUniao Corinthians90-77
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26AOsasco89-74
27/10/26HUniao Corinthians75-63
22/10/26ACearense98-63
19/10/26AUnifacisa65-81
07/06/26AFranca76-85
04/06/26HFranca94-92
02/06/26HFranca75-78
31/05/26AFranca73-82
26/05/26HCorinthians Paulista88-76
23/05/26ACorinthians Paulista82-81 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLWW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game79.779.7-
Allowed / game70.770.7-
Point differential+9.0+9.0-
Avg total150.3150.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Pinheiros
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game81.875.084.0
Allowed / game70.263.072.7
Point differential+11.5+12.0+11.3
Avg total152.0138.0156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas440100%88.065.8+22.2
2 Unifacisa43175%86.074.0+12.0
3 Pinheiros43175%81.870.2+11.5
4 Mogi43175%78.873.5+5.2
5 Brasilia43175%86.286.2+0.0
6 Paulistano43175%75.275.5-0.2
7 Flamengo32167%79.770.7+9.0
8 Franca42250%72.569.0+3.5
9 Cruzeiro42250%75.575.2+0.2
10 Bauru42250%75.277.8-2.5
11 Uniao Corinthians42250%76.079.2-3.2
12 Corinthians Paulista31233%81.078.7+2.3
13 Osasco31233%79.084.7-5.7
14 Botafogo41325%80.884.8-4.0
15 Pato41325%74.082.5-8.5
16 Caxias do Sul4040%67.077.8-10.8
17 Sao Jose3030%70.090.0-20.0
18 Cearense2020%66.095.5-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.