Flamengo vs Sao Jose Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 27 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 96-68

27-19 19-17 26-19 24-13

Position#2

Record24-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game84.4

Allowed / game69.0

Flamengo 🏆

Sao Jose

Position#10

Record13-15

FormLLWWL

Points / game81.0

Allowed / game81.7

NBB

Other2022-23

Meetings · Flamengo v Sao Jose

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sao Jose winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Flamengo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Instituto de Cordoba

79-71

A06/02

Champions League Americas

Penarol

92-74

+18

A07/02

Champions League Americas

Bauru

66-54

+12

H13/02

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

82-71

+11

A16/02

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

77-78

-1

A18/02

NBB

Minas

79-78

H01/03

NBB

U. De Concepcion

92-64

+28

A05/03

Champions League Americas

U. De Concepcion

88-86

H09/03

Champions League Americas

Cerrado

#17

102-70

102

+32

A21/03

NBB

Brasilia

#15

109-75

109

+34

A23/03

NBB

29-18

18-16

17-25

15-12

22-18

24-22

23-22

23-12

19-15

18-16

20-11

9-12

13-14

19-20

21-18

29-19

15-26

21-20

22-10

19-22

19-23

23-14

20-20

17-21

21-14

24-17

29-20

18-13

12-21

20-23

26-24

30-18

26-12

27-15

21-22

28-21

27-12

17-21

30-18

35-24

158.7Avg total

86.6Scored

72.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	84.4	69.0	153.4	+15.4	89%
Season at home (13)	81.2	65.3	146.5	+15.9	92%
Season away (14)	87.4	72.4	159.8	+14.9	86%
Last 10 (10)	86.6	72.1	158.7	+14.5	90%
Last 5 (5)	94.0	74.6	168.6	+19.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	69.5	73.0	142.5	-3.5	50%
vs Similar (1)	59.0	69.0	128.0	-10.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	87.7	69.3	157.0	+18.4	92%

This opponent (Sao Jose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sao Jose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cearense

#14

90-71

+19

A16/01

NBB

Unifacisa

88-79

A18/01

NBB

Minas

89-96

-7

H30/01

NBB

Bauru

66-93

-27

H03/02

NBB

Pinheiros

94-92

H06/02

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

76-79

-3

A14/02

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

68-80

-12

A16/02

NBB

Brasilia

#15

100-94

100

A04/03

NBB

Cerrado

#17

96-64

+32

A06/03

NBB

Paulistano

71-77

-6

H23/03

NBB

20-24

23-13

18-14

29-20

24-24

26-24

22-18

16-13

19-21

31-26

18-29

21-20

13-29

16-28

16-17

21-19

28-21

17-27

22-19

27-25

14-22

24-21

18-21

20-15

22-17

16-27

14-24

16-12

21-19

27-26

18-22

34-27

28-13

25-25

27-11

16-15

13-18

28-23

16-22

14-14

166.3Avg total

83.8Scored

82.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	81.0	81.7	162.6	-0.7	46%
Season at home (15)	83.5	80.9	164.3	+2.6	53%
Season away (13)	78.1	82.6	160.7	-4.5	38%
Last 10 (10)	83.8	82.5	166.3	+1.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.2	78.8	161.0	+3.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	76.1	89.8	165.9	-13.8	17%
vs Similar (8)	80.0	78.6	158.6	+1.4	50%
vs Weaker (10)	90.3	74.6	164.9	+15.7	90%

This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FlamengoSao Jose

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	17.7	38.3	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	18.1	37.0	+0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	17.3	39.6	+5.1	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	17.3	37.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	16.4	37.4	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	16.0	32.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	14.0	19.0	33.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.3	17.7	39.0	+3.5	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.1	40.5	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	19.7	40.2	+0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.8	37.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.3	22.3	41.7	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.8	19.5	38.2	-0.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.0	17.9	40.9	+5.1	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	16.9	37.8	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	16.3	37.5	+4.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	17.6	38.1	+2.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	18.4	39.5	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.0	40.2	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	14.0	16.5	30.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	10.0	17.0	27.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.0	17.2	39.2	+4.9	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.8	42.5	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	21.8	42.1	-1.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	21.9	43.1	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	24.0	47.3	-0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	24.4	48.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.3	24.0	43.3	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.2	21.9	43.1	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.0	19.1	41.1	+2.9	50%	-

FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Instituto de Cordoba

47-34

+13

A06/02

Champions League Americas

Penarol

46-40

A07/02

Champions League Americas

Bauru

37-31

H13/02

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

32-34

-2

A16/02

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

36-46

-10

A18/02

NBB

Minas

42-37

H01/03

NBB

U. De Concepcion

45-31

+14

A05/03

Champions League Americas

U. De Concepcion

32-44

-12

H09/03

Champions League Americas

Cerrado

#17

53-27

+26

A21/03

NBB

Brasilia

#15

44-33

+11

A23/03

NBB

77.1Avg total

41.4Scored

35.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	34.6	76.1	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	34.4	74.5	+5.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.9	34.9	77.7	+8.0	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	35.7	77.1	+5.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	34.4	77.6	+8.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	30.5	32.5	63.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	24.0	36.0	60.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	43.3	34.9	78.2	+8.4	85%	-

This opponent (Sao Jose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cearense

#14

43-37

A16/01

NBB

Unifacisa

50-48

A18/01

NBB

Minas

50-47

H30/01

NBB

Bauru

29-57

-28

H03/02

NBB

Pinheiros

45-48

-3

H06/02

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

38-43

-5

A14/02

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

38-44

-6

A16/02

NBB

Brasilia

#15

48-45

A04/03

NBB

Cerrado

#17

53-38

+15

A06/03

NBB

Paulistano

41-41

H23/03

NBB

88.3Avg total

43.5Scored

44.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	41.9	83.0	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.9	41.4	82.3	-0.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.4	42.4	83.9	-1.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	44.8	88.3	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	42.2	85.8	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	38.7	46.3	85.0	-7.7	17%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.0	41.4	81.4	-1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	45.0	37.0	82.0	+8.0	90%	-

This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	18.2	39.7	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	17.2	38.3	+3.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	19.1	41.1	+2.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	19.0	41.9	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	20.8	46.0	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	100%	-
vs Similar (1)	17.0	13.0	30.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.2	18.3	40.5	+3.8	58%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.2	40.1	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	20.1	41.7	+1.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	20.4	38.3	-2.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.7	38.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.0	38.6	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.6	21.6	39.2	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.2	20.2	41.5	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.5	18.6	40.1	+2.9	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	16.6	38.5	+5.3	80%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	15.1	36.5	+6.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	18.1	40.6	+4.3	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	17.4	39.7	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	19.4	45.0	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	20.5	38.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.2	16.1	38.3	+6.2	88%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.6	40.5	+1.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	19.8	41.7	+2.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	19.4	39.1	+0.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.0	39.4	+3.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.6	36.6	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.8	21.9	41.8	-2.1	42%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.8	17.0	35.8	+1.8	88%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.8	19.0	42.8	+4.8	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	34.8	78.3	+8.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	32.3	74.8	+10.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.5	37.3	81.7	+7.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.2	36.4	81.6	+8.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.8	40.2	91.0	+10.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.0	40.5	79.5	-1.5	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	35.0	33.0	68.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	44.4	34.4	78.8	+10.0	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	39.9	80.6	+0.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.4	39.9	83.4	+3.5	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.6	39.8	77.4	-2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	37.7	78.0	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	36.6	75.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	37.4	43.5	80.9	-6.1	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.0	37.2	77.2	+2.8	88%	-
vs Weaker (10)	45.3	37.6	82.9	+7.7	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Flamengo wins

Sao Jose wins

Date	Game	Score
06/12/22	Sao Jose v Flamengo	74-84
05/03/20	Sao Jose v Flamengo	97-102 OT
16/12/19	Flamengo v Sao Jose	103-83
18/01/19	Flamengo v Sao Jose	96-83
14/11/18	Sao Jose v Flamengo	57-64
23/03/16	Sao Jose v Flamengo	80-88
20/12/15	Flamengo v Sao Jose	94-77
06/05/15	Flamengo v Sao Jose	98-64
30/04/15	Sao Jose v Flamengo	81-76
28/04/15	Sao Jose v Flamengo	68-86

Flamengolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/03/23	A	Brasilia	109-75
21/03/23	A	Cerrado	102-70
09/03/23	H	U. De Concepcion	88-86
05/03/23	A	U. De Concepcion	92-64
01/03/23	H	Minas	79-78
18/02/23	A	Uniao Corinthians	77-78
16/02/23	A	Caxias do Sul	82-71
13/02/23	H	Bauru	66-54
07/02/23	A	Penarol	92-74
06/02/23	A	Instituto de Cordoba	79-71

Sao Joselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/03/23	H	Paulistano	71-77
06/03/23	A	Cerrado	96-64
04/03/23	A	Brasilia	100-94
16/02/23	A	Uniao Corinthians	68-80
14/02/23	A	Caxias do Sul	76-79
06/02/23	H	Pinheiros	94-92
03/02/23	H	Bauru	66-93
30/01/23	H	Minas	89-96
18/01/23	A	Unifacisa	88-79
16/01/23	A	Cearense	90-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	89%
Home	WWWWW	92%
Away	WWLWW	86%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	89%	92%	86%
Points / game	84.4	81.2	87.4
Allowed / game	69.0	65.3	72.4
Point differential	+15.4	+15.9	+14.9
Avg total	153.4	146.5	159.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	69%	64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Sao Jose

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	46%
Home	WLLWL	53%
Away	WLLWW	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	15	13
Win %	46%	53%	38%
Points / game	81.0	83.5	78.1
Allowed / game	81.7	80.9	82.6
Point differential	-0.7	+2.6	-4.5
Avg total	162.6	164.3	160.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	20%	23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	67% (3)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	28	28	0	100%	90.2	77.8	+12.4
2	Flamengo	27	24	3	89%	84.4	69.0	+15.4
3	Sao Paulo	28	21	7	75%	86.9	78.9	+8.0
4	Minas	27	19	8	70%	86.3	78.3	+8.0
5	Paulistano	28	19	9	68%	77.0	72.5	+4.5
6	Pinheiros	29	18	11	62%	80.9	77.8	+3.1
7	Bauru	29	16	13	55%	77.5	71.5	+6.0
8	Corinthians Paulista	28	15	13	54%	81.0	79.4	+1.6
9	Sao Jose	28	13	15	46%	81.0	81.7	-0.7
10	Unifacisa	29	13	16	45%	78.1	80.6	-2.5
11	Caxias do Sul	27	11	16	41%	74.0	76.3	-2.3
12	Uniao Corinthians	28	9	19	32%	78.9	82.2	-3.3
13	Cearense	29	8	21	28%	73.2	83.8	-10.6
14	Brasilia	27	7	20	26%	79.0	86.6	-7.6
15	Pato	29	7	22	24%	76.3	84.9	-8.7
16	Rio Claro	28	6	22	21%	75.7	87.7	-12.0
17	Cerrado	27	4	23	15%	81.6	92.4	-10.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Flamengo	27	19	26	24	96
Sao Jose	19	17	19	13	68

← all games of the day

Flamengo vs Sao Jose Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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