Brasilia vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 22:15

Final 75-109

12-27 21-17 18-30 24-35

Position#15

Record7-19

FormLLWLL

Points / game79.1

Allowed / game85.7

Brasilia

Flamengo 🏆

Position#2

Record23-3

FormLWWWW

Points / game83.5

Allowed / game68.8

NBB

Other2022-23

Meetings · Brasilia v Flamengo

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Flamengo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brasilia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cearense

#14

80-82

-2

H09/01

NBB

Unifacisa

88-101

101

-13

H11/01

NBB

Bauru

70-72

-2

A16/01

NBB

Pinheiros

83-94

-11

A18/01

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

78-88

-10

H01/02

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

74-96

-22

H04/02

NBB

Minas

79-110

110

-31

A17/02

NBB

Cerrado

#17

86-65

+21

H02/03

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

94-100

100

-6

H04/03

NBB

Sao Paulo

72-88

-16

A10/03

NBB

22-14

21-20

17-27

20-21

18-39

22-24

29-17

19-21

15-21

11-18

28-27

16-6

17-27

13-26

25-27

28-14

20-17

17-21

22-28

19-22

24-28

19-12

17-31

14-25

15-32

21-28

24-19

19-31

25-14

19-20

31-15

11-16

19-21

26-27

22-18

27-34

29-24

11-31

21-14

11-19

170.0Avg total

80.4Scored

89.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	79.1	85.7	164.8	-6.6	27%
Season at home (13)	79.7	86.8	166.5	-7.1	15%
Season away (13)	78.5	84.7	163.2	-6.2	38%
Last 10 (10)	80.4	89.6	170.0	-9.2	10%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	91.8	172.8	-10.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	78.5	89.4	167.9	-10.9	14%
vs Similar (8)	82.2	76.4	158.6	+5.9	75%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Flamengo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unifacisa

80-78

A02/02

NBB

Instituto de Cordoba

79-71

A06/02

Champions League Americas

Penarol

92-74

+18

A07/02

Champions League Americas

Bauru

66-54

+12

H13/02

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

82-71

+11

A16/02

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

77-78

-1

A18/02

NBB

Minas

79-78

H01/03

NBB

U. De Concepcion

92-64

+28

A05/03

Champions League Americas

U. De Concepcion

88-86

H09/03

Champions League Americas

Cerrado

#17

102-70

102

+32

A21/03

NBB

32-22

17-18

12-21

19-17

29-18

18-16

17-25

15-12

22-18

24-22

23-22

23-12

19-15

18-16

20-11

9-12

13-14

19-20

21-18

29-19

15-26

21-20

22-10

19-22

19-23

23-14

20-20

17-21

21-14

24-17

29-20

18-13

12-21

20-23

26-24

30-18

26-12

27-15

21-22

28-21

156.1Avg total

83.7Scored

72.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	83.5	68.8	152.2	+14.7	88%
Season at home (13)	81.2	65.3	146.5	+15.9	92%
Season away (13)	85.7	72.2	157.9	+13.5	85%
Last 10 (10)	83.7	72.4	156.1	+11.3	90%
Last 5 (5)	87.6	75.2	162.8	+12.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	69.5	73.0	142.5	-3.5	50%
vs Similar (1)	59.0	69.0	128.0	-10.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	86.6	69.1	155.7	+17.5	92%

This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BrasiliaFlamengo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	23.0	44.4	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.3	23.0	45.3	-0.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.8	23.0	43.8	-2.2	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	23.7	44.1	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	23.8	46.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	21.4	25.2	46.6	-3.9	32%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.6	16.9	38.5	+4.8	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.0	38.3	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	18.2	37.1	+0.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.0	17.6	39.6	+4.4	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.3	39.1	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	16.0	32.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	14.0	19.0	33.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	20.9	18.0	39.0	+2.9	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	21.9	40.5	-3.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.0	20.8	39.8	-1.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.3	22.8	41.1	-4.5	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	22.7	40.7	-4.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	23.6	42.8	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	18.0	22.7	40.7	-4.7	27%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.5	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	16.6	37.9	+4.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	16.0	37.6	+5.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	17.4	38.1	+3.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	18.1	39.2	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	17.8	40.8	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	14.0	16.5	30.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	10.0	17.0	27.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.5	16.8	39.3	+5.7	77%	-

BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cearense

#14

43-34

H09/01

NBB

Unifacisa

40-63

-23

H11/01

NBB

Bauru

26-39

-13

A16/01

NBB

Pinheiros

30-53

-23

A18/01

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

37-38

-1

H01/02

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

43-40

H04/02

NBB

Minas

36-60

-24

A17/02

NBB

Cerrado

#17

44-34

+10

H02/03

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

45-48

-3

H04/03

NBB

Sao Paulo

40-55

-15

A10/03

NBB

84.8Avg total

38.4Scored

46.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	44.9	84.9	-4.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.3	43.8	85.1	-2.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.1	45.8	84.8	-6.7	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	46.4	84.8	-8.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	47.4	89.0	-5.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	39.4	47.9	87.3	-8.5	27%	-
vs Similar (8)	41.9	36.6	78.5	+5.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unifacisa

49-40

A02/02

NBB

Instituto de Cordoba

47-34

+13

A06/02

Champions League Americas

Penarol

46-40

A07/02

Champions League Americas

Bauru

37-31

H13/02

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

32-34

-2

A16/02

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

36-46

-10

A18/02

NBB

Minas

42-37

H01/03

NBB

U. De Concepcion

45-31

+14

A05/03

Champions League Americas

U. De Concepcion

32-44

-12

H09/03

Champions League Americas

Cerrado

#17

53-27

+26

A21/03

NBB

78.3Avg total

41.9Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	34.6	76.1	+6.9	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.4	34.2	74.7	+6.2	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.8	35.0	77.8	+7.8	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	36.4	78.3	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	37.0	78.6	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	30.5	32.5	63.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	24.0	36.0	60.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	43.4	34.8	78.2	+8.5	85%	-

This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.5	39.7	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.8	21.7	40.5	-2.9	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.5	19.5	39.1	+0.0	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	22.3	45.9	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.4	42.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	18.5	21.1	39.7	-2.6	41%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.0	18.6	39.6	+2.4	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.0	38.9	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	16.9	37.4	+3.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.2	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.3	40.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.2	42.8	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	100%	-
vs Similar (1)	17.0	13.0	30.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.4	18.2	39.6	+3.3	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.3	40.2	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.6	21.3	40.9	-1.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.1	19.5	39.6	+0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.9	39.3	-2.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	25.0	41.4	-8.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	20.6	20.3	40.9	+0.3	55%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.0	20.2	38.2	-2.2	12%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	16.6	38.1	+4.9	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.5	15.6	37.1	+5.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	17.7	39.3	+3.9	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	16.7	37.4	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.0	41.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	20.5	38.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.8	16.1	37.8	+5.7	85%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	40.8	79.9	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.4	43.0	81.4	-4.6	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.6	39.1	78.7	+0.6	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	43.2	85.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	44.4	83.8	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	39.1	41.5	80.6	-2.3	27%	-
vs Similar (8)	39.0	38.9	77.9	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	34.6	77.1	+7.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.0	32.6	74.6	+9.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.0	36.9	79.9	+6.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	36.0	77.8	+5.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	38.2	84.2	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.0	40.5	79.5	-1.5	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	35.0	33.0	68.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	43.2	34.2	77.4	+9.0	69%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Brasilia wins

Flamengo wins

Date	Game	Score
01/12/22	Flamengo v Brasilia	72-50
18/04/22	Flamengo v Brasilia	113-83
07/12/21	Brasilia v Flamengo	60-69
31/01/21	Flamengo v Brasilia	115-58
18/12/20	Brasilia v Flamengo	74-103
25/01/20	Flamengo v Brasilia	94-77
19/10/19	Brasilia v Flamengo	81-86
24/03/19	Flamengo v Brasilia	97-54
15/10/18	Brasilia v Flamengo	69-94
01/04/17	Flamengo v Brasilia	71-77

Brasilialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/03/23	A	Sao Paulo	72-88
04/03/23	H	Sao Jose	94-100
02/03/23	H	Cerrado	86-65
17/02/23	A	Minas	79-110
04/02/23	H	Uniao Corinthians	74-96
01/02/23	H	Caxias do Sul	78-88
18/01/23	A	Pinheiros	83-94
16/01/23	A	Bauru	70-72
11/01/23	H	Unifacisa	88-101
09/01/23	H	Cearense	80-82

Flamengolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/03/23	A	Cerrado	102-70
09/03/23	H	U. De Concepcion	88-86
05/03/23	A	U. De Concepcion	92-64
01/03/23	H	Minas	79-78
18/02/23	A	Uniao Corinthians	77-78
16/02/23	A	Caxias do Sul	82-71
13/02/23	H	Bauru	66-54
07/02/23	A	Penarol	92-74
06/02/23	A	Instituto de Cordoba	79-71
02/02/23	A	Unifacisa	80-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	27%
Home	LLLWL	15%
Away	LLLLL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	27%	15%	38%
Points / game	79.1	79.7	78.5
Allowed / game	85.7	86.8	84.7
Point differential	-6.6	-7.1	-6.2
Avg total	164.8	166.5	163.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	15%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	0% (2)	60% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Flamengo

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	88%
Home	WWWWW	92%
Away	WWWLW	85%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	88%	92%	85%
Points / game	83.5	81.2	85.7
Allowed / game	68.8	65.3	72.2
Point differential	+14.7	+15.9	+13.5
Avg total	152.2	146.5	157.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	65%	69%	62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	26	26	0	100%	90.4	77.7	+12.7
2	Flamengo	26	23	3	88%	83.5	68.8	+14.7
3	Sao Paulo	28	21	7	75%	86.9	78.9	+8.0
4	Minas	26	18	8	69%	85.9	78.3	+7.7
5	Paulistano	27	18	9	67%	77.0	72.6	+4.4
6	Pinheiros	28	17	11	61%	80.5	77.8	+2.7
7	Bauru	28	15	13	54%	77.4	71.5	+5.8
8	Corinthians Paulista	27	14	13	52%	81.0	79.5	+1.5
9	Sao Jose	27	13	14	48%	81.3	81.9	-0.5
10	Unifacisa	28	13	15	46%	78.3	80.5	-2.2
11	Caxias do Sul	26	11	15	42%	74.0	75.8	-1.8
12	Uniao Corinthians	26	9	17	35%	78.8	82.1	-3.3
13	Cearense	28	8	20	29%	73.0	83.5	-10.4
14	Brasilia	26	7	19	27%	79.1	85.7	-6.6
15	Pato	29	7	22	24%	76.3	84.9	-8.7
16	Rio Claro	27	6	21	22%	75.6	87.3	-11.7
17	Cerrado	27	4	23	15%	81.6	92.4	-10.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Brasilia	12	21	18	24	75
Flamengo	27	17	30	35	109

← all games of the day

Brasilia vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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