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Florida International vs Missouri State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position-
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position-
Record-
FormWLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Florida International v Missouri State
16 Jan 2027
FLOR v MISS
upcoming
10 Mar 2026
FLOR72
MISS75
21 Feb 2026
FLOR70
MISS67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida International win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida InternationalUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#151
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A07/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H13/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H14/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
A19/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
67-100
67
100
-33
A27/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A28/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H06/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H07/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H10/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
38-30
0-0
32-50
0-0
30-29
0-0
36-39
0-0
33-31
0-0
44-33
0-0
40-41
0-0
40-39
0-0
29-22
0-0
41-45
0-0
31-50
0-0
36-50
0-0
41-40
0-0
43-36
0-0
34-33
0-0
33-40
0-0
45-33
0-0
47-34
0-0
36-31
0-0
36-44
151.4Avg total
75.4Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.476.0151.4-0.640%
Last 5 (5)76.478.2154.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.091.7171.7-11.70%
vs Similar (19)78.475.4153.7+3.058%
vs Weaker (5)88.873.0161.8+15.860%
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H14/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
87-91
87
91
-4
H19/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A27/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
81-86
81
86
-5
A28/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H06/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H07/03
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A10/03
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A11/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A13/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
25-35
0-0
42-41
0-0
34-44
0-0
53-47
0-0
22-29
0-0
45-41
0-0
38-37
0-0
32-35
0-0
34-43
0-0
47-43
0-0
43-38
0-0
44-36
0-0
27-37
0-0
36-38
0-0
31-36
0-0
44-36
0-0
33-37
0-0
44-32
0-0
27-30
0-0
39-39
149.4Avg total
74.0Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.075.4149.4-1.430%
Last 5 (5)73.671.8145.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.582.5160.0-5.025%
vs Similar (16)73.774.9148.6-1.244%
vs Weaker (5)66.458.6125.0+7.880%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +3.8+3.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +3.8+3.8
Florida InternationalMissouri State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Florida InternationalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#151
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A07/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H13/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H14/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A19/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H21/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A27/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A28/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H06/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H07/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H10/03
NCAA
69.7Avg total
35.7Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.035.974.9+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.733.473.1+6.283%-
Last 30 away (12)37.939.777.6-1.842%-
Last 10 (10)35.734.069.7+1.780%-
Last 5 (5)37.437.474.8+0.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.842.781.5-3.833%-
vs Similar (19)37.733.771.4+4.079%-
vs Weaker (5)44.036.480.4+7.660%-
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H14/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H19/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A27/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A28/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H06/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H07/03
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A10/03
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A11/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A13/03
NCAA
68.0Avg total
31.4Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.434.368.8+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.533.170.6+4.360%-
Last 30 away (15)31.435.566.9-4.120%-
Last 10 (10)31.436.668.0-5.220%-
Last 5 (5)32.235.667.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.640.574.1-6.90%-
vs Similar (16)34.533.968.4+0.650%-
vs Weaker (5)30.426.056.4+4.460%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Florida International wins
2
Missouri State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/26HMissouri State72-75
07/03/26HWestern Kentucky92-67
06/03/26HMiddle Tenn. St.67-73
28/02/26ALouisiana Tech84-76
27/02/26ASam Houston St.67-100
21/02/26HMissouri State70-67
19/02/26ALiberty89-90 OT
14/02/26HLouisiana Tech77-64
13/02/26HDelaware66-68
07/02/26AWestern Kentucky70-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26ALouisiana Tech66-69
11/03/26ALiberty77-69
10/03/26AFlorida International75-72
07/03/26HMiddle Tenn. St.63-75
06/03/26HWestern Kentucky87-74
28/02/26ASam Houston St.81-86
27/02/26ALouisiana Tech70-72
21/02/26AFlorida International67-70
19/02/26HKennesaw State87-91
14/02/26HDelaware67-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida International
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Missouri State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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