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Florida International vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 70-67
0-0 29-22 0-0 41-45
Position#232
Record12-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#223
Record13-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game73.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Florida International v Missouri State
16 Jan 2027
FLOR v MISS
upcoming
10 Mar 2026
FLOR72
MISS75
21 Feb 2026
FLOR70
MISS67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida International winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida InternationalUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#113
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A15/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
63-76
63
76
-13
H17/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A23/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A24/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H29/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
88-84 OT
88
84
+4
A05/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A07/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H13/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H14/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
A19/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
51-47
0-0
35-42
0-0
35-34
0-0
28-42
0-0
39-47
0-0
38-36
0-0
40-31
0-0
41-47
0-0
32-24
0-0
42-54
0-0
39-38
0-0
36-37
0-0
38-30
0-0
32-50
0-0
30-29
0-0
36-39
0-0
33-31
0-0
44-33
0-0
40-41
0-0
40-39
156.1Avg total
77.1Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)81.878.2160.1+3.646%
Season at home (15)84.972.5157.5+12.467%
Season away (11)77.686.0163.6-8.418%
Last 10 (10)77.179.0156.1-1.930%
Last 5 (5)78.077.2155.2+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.986.1160.0-12.20%
vs Similar ◀ (16)77.275.7152.9+1.556%
vs Weaker (5)88.873.0161.8+15.860%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#151
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A15/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
87-90 OT
87
90
-3
A17/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A23/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A24/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H29/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H31/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
78-79 OT
78
79
-1
H13/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H14/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
87-91
87
91
-4
H19/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-41
0-0
38-46
0-0
36-38
0-0
32-30
0-0
33-31
0-0
51-44
0-0
21-31
0-0
41-26
0-0
33-38
0-0
38-42
0-0
39-31
0-0
35-36
0-0
38-42
0-0
38-37
0-0
32-36
0-0
36-32
0-0
25-35
0-0
42-41
0-0
34-44
0-0
53-47
153.9Avg total
75.8Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)75.673.7149.2+1.950%
Season at home (16)78.972.1151.1+6.862%
Season away (10)70.276.1146.3-5.930%
Last 10 (10)75.878.1153.9-2.330%
Last 5 (5)76.478.4154.8-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.279.4151.5-7.29%
vs Similar ◀ (11)72.775.7148.5-3.045%
vs Weaker (5)66.458.6125.0+7.880%
This opponent (Florida International) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +2.3+2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +2.3+2.3
Florida InternationalMissouri State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Florida InternationalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#113
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A15/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H17/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A23/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A24/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H29/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A05/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A07/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H13/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H14/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A19/02
NCAA
72.9Avg total
37.7Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.835.973.7+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.333.875.1+7.580%-
Last 30 away (15)34.338.072.3-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)37.735.272.9+2.580%-
Last 5 (5)36.033.869.8+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.240.574.8-6.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)36.934.271.1+2.862%-
vs Weaker (5)44.036.480.4+7.660%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#151
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A15/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A17/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A23/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
21-31
21
31
-10
A24/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H29/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A07/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H13/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H14/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H19/02
NCAA
69.2Avg total
32.5Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.033.768.7+1.440%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.332.770.9+5.656%-
Last 30 away (12)30.235.265.3-5.017%-
Last 10 (10)32.536.769.2-4.220%-
Last 5 (5)33.637.671.2-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.337.569.8-5.39%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.433.669.0+1.755%-
vs Weaker (5)30.426.056.4+4.460%-
This opponent (Florida International) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Florida International wins
1
Missouri State wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Missouri State v Florida International79-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26ALiberty89-90 OT
14/02/26HLouisiana Tech77-64
13/02/26HDelaware66-68
07/02/26AWestern Kentucky70-80
05/02/26AMiddle Tenn. St.88-84 OT
29/01/26HJacksonville State74-78
24/01/26ANew Mexico State81-78
23/01/26AUTEP77-83
17/01/26HSam Houston St.63-76
15/01/26AKennesaw State86-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26HKennesaw State87-91
14/02/26HDelaware67-76
13/02/26HLouisiana Tech78-79 OT
07/02/26ALiberty76-79
31/01/26HJacksonville State74-67
29/01/26HSam Houston St.71-80
24/01/26AUTEP62-57
23/01/26ANew Mexico State84-75
17/01/26AMiddle Tenn. St.87-90 OT
15/01/26AWestern Kentucky72-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida International
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL46%
HomeWLLLW67%
AwayLWWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %46%67%18%
Points / game81.884.977.6
Allowed / game78.272.586.0
Point differential+3.6+12.4-8.4
Avg total160.1157.5163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%53%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %12%7%18%
Missouri State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeLWLLL62%
AwayLLWWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261610
Win %50%62%30%
Points / game75.678.970.2
Allowed / game73.772.176.1
Point differential+1.9+6.8-5.9
Avg total149.2151.1146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %8%6%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2623388%79.368.5+10.8
2 Sam Houston St.2618869%82.873.8+9.0
3 Kennesaw State26151158%85.377.2+8.1
4 Louisiana Tech26151158%69.564.7+4.7
5 Western Kentucky26151158%77.975.1+2.8
6 New Mexico State25131252%75.971.0+4.9
7 Jacksonville State26131350%72.667.3+5.3
8 Missouri State26131350%75.673.7+1.9
9 Middle Tenn. St.27131448%75.372.9+2.5
10 Florida International26121446%81.878.2+3.6
11 UTEP26101638%69.871.8-2.0
12 Delaware2791833%67.672.7-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Florida International02904170
Missouri State02204567
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