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Missouri State vs Kennesaw State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 87-91
34-44 53-47
Position#223
Record13-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#113
Record14-11
FormWWLLL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game76.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Missouri State v Kennesaw State
28 Jan 2027
MISS v KENN
upcoming
18 Feb 2026
MISS87
KENN91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kennesaw State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#232
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H10/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A15/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
87-90 OT
87
90
-3
A17/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A23/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A24/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H29/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H31/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
78-79 OT
78
79
-1
H13/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-30
44-41
34-41
38-46
36-38
32-30
33-31
51-44
21-31
41-26
33-38
38-42
39-31
35-36
38-42
38-37
32-36
36-32
25-35
42-41
151.1Avg total
75.0Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.173.0148.1+2.252%
Season at home (15)78.470.9149.3+7.567%
Season away (10)70.276.1146.3-5.930%
Last 10 (10)75.076.1151.1-1.140%
Last 5 (5)73.276.2149.4-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)70.778.2148.9-7.510%
vs Similar (12)72.074.9146.9-2.942%
vs Weaker (5)66.458.6125.0+7.880%
This opponent (Kennesaw State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kennesaw StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#228
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H10/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H15/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
81-65
81
65
+16
A17/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A22/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A23/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H29/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
76-53
76
53
+23
H31/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A08/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H12/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
46-43
42-39
47-51
42-35
43-34
38-31
39-43
48-50
45-36
31-46
37-36
35-33
43-24
33-29
22-37
36-40
49-45
38-45
42-45
37-38
157.3Avg total
79.3Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)85.176.8162.0+8.356%
Season at home (14)91.173.8164.9+17.479%
Season away (11)77.580.7158.2-3.327%
Last 10 (10)79.378.0157.3+1.350%
Last 5 (5)74.474.4148.8+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.389.7174.0-5.333%
vs Similar (12)77.177.0154.1+0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.678.6164.2+7.062%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -2.7-2.71st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -0.6-0.6
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -2.7-2.71st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -0.6-0.6
Missouri StateKennesaw State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#232
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A15/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A17/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A23/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
21-31
21
31
-10
A24/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H29/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A07/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H13/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H14/02
NCAA
67.9Avg total
32.6Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.933.168.0+1.843%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.532.070.5+6.559%-
Last 30 away (13)30.234.564.6-4.323%-
Last 10 (10)32.635.367.9-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)33.436.469.8-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)32.136.969.0-4.810%-
vs Similar (12)34.933.067.9+1.958%-
vs Weaker (5)30.426.056.4+4.460%-
This opponent (Kennesaw State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kennesaw StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#228
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H15/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A17/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A22/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A23/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H29/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H31/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A08/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H12/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H14/02
NCAA
80.7Avg total
41.3Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.577.8+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.836.081.8+9.867%-
Last 30 away (15)34.838.973.7-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)41.339.480.7+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.476.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.043.783.7-3.733%-
vs Similar (12)36.839.476.2-2.742%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.236.577.7+4.854%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Missouri State wins
1
Kennesaw State wins
DateGameScore
08/01/26Kennesaw State v Missouri State90-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HDelaware67-76
13/02/26HLouisiana Tech78-79 OT
07/02/26ALiberty76-79
31/01/26HJacksonville State74-67
29/01/26HSam Houston St.71-80
24/01/26AUTEP62-57
23/01/26ANew Mexico State84-75
17/01/26AMiddle Tenn. St.87-90 OT
15/01/26AWestern Kentucky72-87
10/01/26HFlorida International79-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HSam Houston St.79-83
12/02/26HMiddle Tenn. St.87-90
08/02/26AJacksonville State58-77
31/01/26HNew Mexico State76-53
29/01/26HWestern Kentucky72-69
23/01/26ALouisiana Tech76-82
22/01/26ASam Houston St.87-93
17/01/26AWestern Kentucky81-65
15/01/26HFlorida International89-86
10/01/26HJacksonville State88-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL52%
HomeWLWLL67%
AwayLLWWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %52%67%30%
Points / game75.178.470.2
Allowed / game73.070.976.1
Point differential+2.2+7.5-5.9
Avg total148.1149.3146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%27%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %8%7%10%
Kennesaw State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL56%
HomeWWWLL79%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %56%79%27%
Points / game85.191.177.5
Allowed / game76.873.880.7
Point differential+8.3+17.4-3.3
Avg total162.0164.9158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %8%7%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2522388%78.967.7+11.2
2 Sam Houston St.2618869%82.873.8+9.0
3 Louisiana Tech26151158%69.564.7+4.7
4 Western Kentucky26151158%77.975.1+2.8
5 Kennesaw State25141156%85.176.8+8.3
6 New Mexico State25131252%75.971.0+4.9
7 Missouri State25131252%75.173.0+2.2
8 Jacksonville State26131350%72.667.3+5.3
9 Florida International25121348%81.677.8+3.8
10 Middle Tenn. St.26121446%75.273.1+2.1
11 UTEP26101638%69.871.8-2.0
12 Delaware2691735%67.772.5-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State345387
Kennesaw State444791
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