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Florida State vs North Florida Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 91-75
46-33 45-42
Position#196
Record4-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game74.6
vs
Position#201
Record7-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game72.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Florida State v North Florida
19 Dec 2023
FLOR91
NORT75
20 Jan 2022
FLOR86
NORT73
02 Dec 2020
FLOR86
NORT58
17 Dec 2019
FLOR98
NORT81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Florida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#241
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H07/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#227
W
94-67
94
67
+27
H10/11
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
W
94-67
94
67
+27
H14/11
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
68-89
68
89
-21
A18/11
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A20/11
NCAA
Colorado
#47
W
77-71 OT
77
71
+6
H21/11
NCAA
Georgia
#197
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H30/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A02/12
NCAA
South Florida
#20
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A09/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-21
29-40
49-34
45-33
50-30
44-37
22-52
46-37
42-35
41-40
27-30
33-30
25-21
41-47
35-29
35-49
24-38
48-50
18-25
39-43
147.3Avg total
74.1Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.774.6150.2+1.144%
Season at home (5)77.668.2145.8+9.460%
Season away (4)73.282.5155.8-9.225%
Last 10 (10)74.173.2147.3+0.940%
Last 5 (5)68.474.6143.0-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)70.678.3149.0-7.732%
vs Similar ◀ (4)80.869.2150.0+11.550%
vs Weaker (1)81.078.0159.0+3.0100%
This opponent (North Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina St
#266
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A14/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#232
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H17/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H18/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H18/11
NCAA
LSU
#182
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A25/11
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
78-103
78
103
-25
A30/11
NCAA
High Point
#29
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H02/12
NCAA
Edward Waters
#655
W
99-47
99
47
+52
H06/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H09/12
NCAA
Trinity Baptist
#585
W
113-72
113
72
+41
H16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-45
51-42
34-28
35-53
36-32
44-42
38-28
29-30
18-36
45-39
43-47
35-56
40-37
39-49
44-30
55-17
27-34
37-22
43-36
70-36
152.8Avg total
78.9Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.272.0152.2+8.258%
Season at home (8)82.966.1149.0+16.875%
Season away (4)74.883.8158.5-9.025%
Last 10 (10)78.973.9152.8+5.050%
Last 5 (5)86.672.8159.4+13.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.482.8165.2-0.356%
vs Similar ◀ (12)69.674.5144.1-4.933%
vs Weaker (8)82.971.9154.8+11.062%
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: +5.4+5.4
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: +5.4+5.4
Florida StateNorth Florida
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#241
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H07/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#227
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H10/11
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H14/11
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
22-52
22
52
-30
A18/11
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A20/11
NCAA
Colorado
#47
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H21/11
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
25-21
25
21
+4
H30/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A02/12
NCAA
South Florida
#20
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A09/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
L
18-25
18
25
-7
H17/12
NCAA
63.8Avg total
32.3Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.636.869.5-4.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.934.267.1-1.447%-
Last 30 away (13)32.340.272.5-7.938%-
Last 10 (10)32.331.563.8+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)25.828.654.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)31.337.869.2-6.536%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)37.830.868.5+7.075%-
vs Weaker (1)45.036.081.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (North Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina St
#266
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A14/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#232
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H17/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H18/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H18/11
NCAA
LSU
#182
L
18-36
18
36
-18
A25/11
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A30/11
NCAA
High Point
#29
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H02/12
NCAA
Edward Waters
#655
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H06/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H09/12
NCAA
Trinity Baptist
#585
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H16/12
NCAA
70.2Avg total
34.9Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.635.772.3+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.634.172.8+4.576%-
Last 30 away (13)33.937.771.6-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)34.935.370.2-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.436.876.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.637.679.1+4.078%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)33.734.968.6-1.242%-
vs Weaker (8)34.535.469.9-0.950%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Florida State wins
0
North Florida wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HSMU Mustangs57-68
09/12/23ASouth Florida72-88
02/12/23ANorth Carolina70-78
30/11/23HGeorgia66-68
21/11/23HColorado77-71 OT
20/11/23AUNLV83-75
18/11/23AFlorida68-89
14/11/23HCentral Michigan94-67
10/11/23HKennesaw State94-67
07/03/23HGeorgia Tech60-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HTrinity Baptist113-72
09/12/23HGeorgia Southern64-56
06/12/23HEdward Waters99-47
02/12/23HHigh Point79-86
30/11/23AIowa78-103
25/11/23ALSU63-75
18/11/23HMaine Black Bears67-58
18/11/23HNorthwestern St.80-74
17/11/23HPresbyterian69-81
14/11/23ASouth Carolina St77-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL44%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game75.777.673.2
Allowed / game74.668.282.5
Point differential+1.1+9.4-9.2
Avg total150.2145.8155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %11%20%0%
North Florida
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW58%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %58%75%25%
Points / game80.282.974.8
Allowed / game72.066.183.8
Point differential+8.2+16.8-9.0
Avg total152.2149.0158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson109190%78.569.3+9.2
2 Virginia119282%65.655.5+10.2
3 Pittsburgh118373%82.864.8+18.0
4 Virginia Tech118373%74.065.3+8.7
5 Miami (FL)118373%80.772.3+8.5
6 Boston College118373%78.971.0+7.9
7 Syracuse118373%77.770.1+7.6
8 Duke107370%81.666.1+15.5
9 Wake Forest107370%79.968.4+11.5
10 North Carolina107370%84.975.0+9.9
11 NC State107370%79.370.6+8.7
12 Georgia Tech96367%72.271.4+0.8
13 SMU Mustangs117464%73.862.8+11.0
14 Stanford95456%80.474.7+5.8
15 Louisville115645%74.573.6+0.8
16 Florida State94544%75.774.6+1.1
17 Notre Dame114736%62.867.5-4.7
18 California103730%76.576.8-0.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jacksonville75271%76.771.9+4.9
2 Stetson127558%78.868.7+10.2
3 North Florida127558%80.272.0+8.2
4 Lipscomb137654%79.274.5+4.8
5 North Alabama126650%78.873.7+5.2
6 Austin Peay136746%66.864.1+2.7
7 Queens Royals136746%80.879.2+1.7
8 Eastern Kentucky104640%86.875.9+10.9
9 Bellarmine124833%70.068.2+1.8
10 Florida Gulf Coast134931%67.471.9-4.5
11 Central Arkansas123925%70.476.5-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida State464591
North Florida334275
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