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South Florida vs Florida State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 88-72
38-24 50-48
Position#20
Record2-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game67.2
vs
Position#196
Record4-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game73.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · South Florida v Florida State
09 Dec 2023
SOUT88
FLOR72
21 Dec 2019
SOUT60
FLOR66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#327
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H26/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
72-56
72
56
+16
H02/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
49-69
49
69
-20
A05/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
L
58-73
58
73
-15
H09/03
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
96-52
96
52
+44
H10/11
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
63-68
63
68
-5
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H19/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H23/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#122
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A01/12
NCAA
UMass
#87
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-38
45-29
35-20
37-36
33-36
16-33
33-41
25-32
47-23
49-29
29-31
34-37
32-22
42-43
29-31
30-39
23-44
40-38
23-30
33-36
132.9Avg total
66.1Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)68.567.2135.7+1.333%
Season at home (4)73.063.8136.8+9.250%
Season away (2)59.574.0133.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)66.166.8132.9-0.740%
Last 5 (5)63.070.2133.2-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.882.6160.4-4.938%
vs Similar (13)66.269.8135.9-3.638%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)78.166.9145.0+11.267%
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#117
L
66-77
66
77
-11
H28/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
60-82
60
82
-22
A04/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H07/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#227
W
94-67
94
67
+27
H10/11
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
W
94-67
94
67
+27
H14/11
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
68-89
68
89
-21
A18/11
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A20/11
NCAA
Colorado
#47
W
77-71 OT
77
71
+6
H21/11
NCAA
Georgia
#197
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H30/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-43
41-34
30-39
30-43
31-21
29-40
49-34
45-33
50-30
44-37
22-52
46-37
42-35
41-40
27-30
33-30
25-21
41-47
35-29
35-49
147.3Avg total
73.8Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.973.6152.4+5.357%
Season at home (4)82.868.2151.0+14.575%
Season away (3)73.780.7154.3-7.033%
Last 10 (10)73.873.5147.3+0.340%
Last 5 (5)72.876.2149.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)70.677.7148.2-7.133%
vs Similar (4)80.869.2150.0+11.550%
vs Weaker (2)78.065.5143.5+12.5100%
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -0.5-0.5
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -0.5-0.5
South FloridaFlorida State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
South FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#327
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H26/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
35-20
35
20
+15
H02/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A05/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H09/03
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H10/11
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H19/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H23/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#122
L
23-44
23
44
-21
A01/12
NCAA
UMass
#87
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A02/12
NCAA
62.6Avg total
31.0Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.634.870.4+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.832.867.6+2.150%-
Last 30 away (12)36.737.974.6-1.242%-
Last 10 (10)31.031.662.6-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)27.231.658.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.640.579.1-1.938%-
vs Similar (13)32.933.466.3-0.546%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)36.731.968.6+4.856%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#117
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H28/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A04/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H07/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#227
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H10/11
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H14/11
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
22-52
22
52
-30
A18/11
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A20/11
NCAA
Colorado
#47
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H21/11
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
25-21
25
21
+4
H30/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A02/12
NCAA
67.0Avg total
33.6Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.236.269.4-3.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.934.268.1-0.253%-
Last 30 away (13)32.238.971.1-6.846%-
Last 10 (10)33.633.467.0+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)30.233.463.6-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)31.837.769.5-5.942%-
vs Similar (4)37.830.868.5+7.075%-
vs Weaker (2)40.530.070.5+10.5100%-
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
South Florida wins
1
Florida State wins
DateGameScore
21/12/19South Florida v Florida State60-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23AUMass56-66
01/12/23AHofstra63-82
23/11/23HMaine Black Bears59-70
19/11/23HNorthern Iowa74-65
16/11/23HCentral Michigan63-68
10/11/23HSouth Carolina St96-52
09/03/23HEast Carolina58-73
05/03/23AWichita State49-69
02/03/23HTulsa72-56
26/02/23HSMU Mustangs71-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23ANorth Carolina70-78
30/11/23HGeorgia66-68
21/11/23HColorado77-71 OT
20/11/23AUNLV83-75
18/11/23AFlorida68-89
14/11/23HCentral Michigan94-67
10/11/23HKennesaw State94-67
07/03/23HGeorgia Tech60-61
04/03/23AVirginia Tech60-82
28/02/23HNorth Carolina66-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Florida
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game68.573.059.5
Allowed / game67.263.874.0
Point differential+1.3+9.2-14.5
Avg total135.7136.8133.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Florida State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL57%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game78.982.873.7
Allowed / game73.668.280.7
Point differential+5.3+14.5-7.0
Avg total152.4151.0154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida Atlantic97278%84.470.6+13.9
2 Wichita State97278%79.370.1+9.2
3 Tulane86275%86.979.2+7.6
4 Memphis86275%79.574.0+5.5
5 Tulsa75271%79.669.4+10.1
6 North Texas85362%69.958.2+11.6
7 Charlotte85362%68.261.9+6.4
8 Temple85362%78.972.5+6.4
9 East Carolina106460%75.070.4+4.6
10 UAB84450%73.174.9-1.8
11 UTSA Roadrunners84450%78.182.4-4.2
12 South Florida62433%68.567.2+1.3
13 Rice93633%72.879.0-6.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson880100%79.268.5+10.8
2 Virginia98189%68.053.2+14.8
3 Miami (FL)97278%82.369.8+12.6
4 North Carolina97278%85.173.7+11.4
5 NC State86275%80.270.0+10.2
6 Boston College107370%78.270.1+8.1
7 Virginia Tech107370%74.166.7+7.4
8 Syracuse107370%77.270.8+6.4
9 Pittsburgh96367%82.665.8+16.8
10 Duke85362%80.967.1+13.8
11 Wake Forest85362%78.570.8+7.8
12 SMU Mustangs106460%74.463.4+11.0
13 Florida State74357%78.973.6+5.3
14 Georgia Tech74357%71.173.3-2.1
15 Stanford84450%80.276.0+4.2
16 Louisville84450%75.474.6+0.8
17 Notre Dame84450%64.966.0-1.1
18 California93633%76.375.6+0.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
South Florida385088
Florida State244872
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