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Florida vs Tennessee Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 91-67
41-28 50-39
Position#28
Record10-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game71.2
Florida 🏆
USA
vs
Tennessee
USA
Position#67
Record11-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game65.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Florida v Tennessee
10 Jan 2026
FLOR91
TENN67
16 Mar 2025
FLOR86
TENN77
07 Jan 2025
FLOR73
TENN43
01 Feb 2023
FLOR67
TENN54
19 Jan 2021
FLOR75
TENN49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tennessee winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#77
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H27/11
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H28/11
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A03/12
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A10/12
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H13/12
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
102-61
102
61
+41
H17/12
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
90-60
90
60
+30
H21/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
W
94-72
94
72
+22
H29/12
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A04/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
92-77
92
77
+15
H07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
44-39
36-45
45-39
45-39
24-36
42-31
32-39
41-38
30-27
50-43
47-23
55-38
43-31
47-29
53-27
41-45
39-39
35-37
41-40
51-37
156.3Avg total
84.1Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)84.871.2156.0+13.667%
Season at home (11)88.468.6157.0+19.791%
Season away (4)75.078.2153.2-3.20%
Last 10 (10)84.172.2156.3+11.960%
Last 5 (5)90.469.2159.6+21.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)78.074.3152.3+3.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)87.572.6160.2+14.983%
This opponent (Tennessee) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TennesseeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
85-60
85
60
+25
H24/11
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A25/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H27/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A03/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
62-75
62
75
-13
H07/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
83-62
83
62
+21
H17/12
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#370
W
94-52
94
52
+42
H21/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
105-54
105
54
+51
H31/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A03/01
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
56-30
29-30
35-39
41-34
41-34
35-47
30-32
30-30
34-32
28-43
34-27
49-35
52-19
42-33
41-25
64-29
36-37
39-49
48-33
37-38
147.7Avg total
80.1Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.465.7149.1+17.773%
Season at home (12)86.763.7150.3+23.083%
Season away (3)70.373.7144.0-3.333%
Last 10 (10)80.167.6147.7+12.560%
Last 5 (5)88.465.0153.4+23.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)66.275.8142.0-9.525%
vs Similar (12)78.168.0146.1+10.175%
vs Weaker (14)81.363.8145.1+17.586%
This opponent (Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: +9.9+9.92nd half2nd half: +6.1+6.12nd half: +2.6+2.6
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: +9.9+9.92nd half2nd half: +6.1+6.12nd half: +2.6+2.6
FloridaTennessee
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#77
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H27/11
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H28/11
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A03/12
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A10/12
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H13/12
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H17/12
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H21/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H29/12
NCAA
Missouri
#111
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A04/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H07/01
NCAA
73.8Avg total
39.8Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.634.975.5+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (21)43.032.375.4+10.790%-
Last 30 away (9)34.941.075.9-6.111%-
Last 10 (10)39.834.073.8+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.632.076.6+12.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)36.039.775.7-3.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.833.875.5+8.075%-
This opponent (Tennessee) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TennesseeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
56-30
56
30
+26
H24/11
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A25/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H27/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A03/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H07/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H17/12
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#370
W
52-19
52
19
+33
H21/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H31/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A03/01
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H07/01
NCAA
71.5Avg total
40.7Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.631.068.6+6.667%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.829.870.6+10.984%-
Last 30 away (11)32.033.065.0-1.036%-
Last 10 (10)40.730.871.5+9.970%-
Last 5 (5)42.228.270.4+14.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)28.536.064.5-7.525%-
vs Similar (12)38.230.468.6+7.767%-
vs Weaker (14)39.630.169.7+9.679%-
This opponent (Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Florida wins
6
Tennessee wins
DateGameScore
16/03/25Florida v Tennessee86-77
01/02/25Tennessee v Florida64-44
08/01/25Florida v Tennessee73-43
16/01/24Tennessee v Florida85-66
02/02/23Florida v Tennessee67-54
26/01/22Tennessee v Florida78-71
12/03/21Tennessee v Florida78-66
07/03/21Tennessee v Florida65-54
20/01/21Florida v Tennessee75-49
29/02/20Tennessee v Florida63-58
Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/26HGeorgia92-77
04/01/26AMissouri74-76
29/12/25HDartmouth94-72
21/12/25HColgate90-60
17/12/25HSt. Francis (PA)102-61
13/12/25HGeorge Washington80-70
10/12/25AUconn73-77
03/12/25ADuke66-67
28/11/25HProvidence90-78
27/11/25HTCU80-84
Tennesseelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/26HTexas85-71
03/01/26AArkansas75-86
31/12/25HSouth Carolina St105-54
21/12/25HGardner Webb94-52
17/12/25HLouisville83-62
07/12/25HIllinois62-75
03/12/25ASyracuse60-62
27/11/25HKansas76-81
25/11/25AHouston76-73
24/11/25HRutgers85-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15114
Win %67%91%0%
Points / game84.888.475.0
Allowed / game71.268.678.2
Point differential+13.6+19.7-3.2
Avg total156.0157.0153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%82%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tennessee
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW73%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15123
Win %73%83%33%
Points / game83.486.770.3
Allowed / game65.763.773.7
Point differential+17.7+23.0-3.3
Avg total149.1150.3144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%83%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt15150100%93.672.0+21.6
2 Georgia1513287%97.975.2+22.7
3 Texas A&M1512380%94.477.5+16.9
4 Arkansas1512380%90.575.7+14.8
5 LSU1512380%86.571.7+14.7
6 Missouri1512380%82.571.4+11.1
7 Tennessee1511473%83.465.7+17.7
8 Oklahoma1511473%85.072.2+12.8
9 Alabama1511473%93.982.1+11.8
10 Mississippi St.1511473%81.974.7+7.1
11 Florida1510567%84.871.2+13.6
12 South Carolina1510567%80.169.2+10.9
13 Kentucky159660%83.169.5+13.5
14 Texas159660%87.574.2+13.3
15 Auburn159660%87.079.5+7.5
16 Ole Miss158753%75.169.6+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida415091
Tennessee283967
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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