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Florida vs Tennessee Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-77
39-30 47-47
Position#6
Record29-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game69.0
Florida 🏆
USA
vs
Position#23
Record27-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game62.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Florida v Tennessee
10 Jan 2026
FLOR91
TENN67
16 Mar 2025
FLOR86
TENN77
07 Jan 2025
FLOR73
TENN43
01 Feb 2023
FLOR67
TENN54
19 Jan 2021
FLOR75
TENN49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tennessee winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#116
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A12/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
88-67
88
67
+21
H16/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
85-63
85
63
+22
H19/02
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
79-65
79
65
+14
A22/02
NCAA
Georgia
#120
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A26/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H02/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
W
99-94
99
94
+5
A06/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H08/03
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
95-81
95
81
+14
H14/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
W
104-82
104
82
+22
H15/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-34
48-34
37-33
51-34
46-24
39-39
31-37
48-28
35-51
48-37
45-34
44-36
41-40
58-54
38-31
52-40
50-37
45-44
47-45
57-37
164.2Avg total
89.3Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)85.469.0154.4+16.488%
Season at home (22)87.865.4153.2+22.495%
Season away (11)80.676.2156.8+4.573%
Last 10 (10)89.374.9164.2+14.490%
Last 5 (5)95.479.6175.0+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)90.081.0171.0+9.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)84.968.7153.6+16.386%
This opponent (Tennessee) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TennesseeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#136
W
70-52
70
52
+18
A08/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A12/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H15/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A22/02
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
65-59
65
59
+6
A26/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H01/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A06/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H08/03
NCAA
Texas
#168
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H14/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A15/03
NCAA
1H
2H
45-25
25-27
26-33
38-42
31-44
50-32
36-32
41-37
26-23
39-36
38-42
41-34
41-36
35-42
34-34
41-31
41-38
42-34
32-33
38-32
142.7Avg total
74.0Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)74.762.3137.0+12.382%
Season at home (21)78.960.4139.2+18.595%
Season away (12)67.365.8133.1+1.658%
Last 10 (10)74.068.7142.7+5.380%
Last 5 (5)76.671.2147.8+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)53.558.5112.0-5.050%
vs Similar (8)69.468.0137.4+1.462%
vs Weaker (20)77.761.0138.7+16.790%
This opponent (Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +10.7+10.72nd half: +4.3+4.3
-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +10.7+10.72nd half: +4.3+4.3
FloridaTennessee
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#116
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A12/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H16/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H19/02
NCAA
LSU
#255
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A22/02
NCAA
Georgia
#120
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A26/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A06/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H08/03
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H14/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H15/03
NCAA
76.9Avg total
40.3Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.832.272.0+7.573%-
Last 30 at home (19)42.129.871.9+12.389%-
Last 30 away (11)35.736.472.1-0.645%-
Last 10 (10)40.336.676.9+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)44.237.481.6+6.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)48.038.086.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)39.532.071.5+7.472%-
This opponent (Tennessee) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TennesseeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#136
W
45-25
45
25
+20
A08/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A12/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H15/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A22/02
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
26-23
26
23
+3
A26/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H01/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A06/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H08/03
NCAA
Texas
#168
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H14/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A15/03
NCAA
69.0Avg total
35.0Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.929.563.4+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.628.764.3+6.968%-
Last 30 away (11)30.930.961.8+0.055%-
Last 10 (10)35.034.069.0+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.236.673.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)19.527.547.0-8.050%-
vs Similar (8)30.431.561.9-1.138%-
vs Weaker (20)36.728.965.6+7.875%-
This opponent (Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Florida wins
6
Tennessee wins
DateGameScore
01/02/25Tennessee v Florida64-44
08/01/25Florida v Tennessee73-43
16/01/24Tennessee v Florida85-66
02/02/23Florida v Tennessee67-54
26/01/22Tennessee v Florida78-71
12/03/21Tennessee v Florida78-66
07/03/21Tennessee v Florida65-54
20/01/21Florida v Tennessee75-49
29/02/20Tennessee v Florida63-58
Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25HAlabama104-82
14/03/25HMissouri95-81
08/03/25HOle Miss90-71
06/03/25AAlabama99-94
02/03/25HTexas A&M89-70
26/02/25AGeorgia83-88
22/02/25ALSU79-65
19/02/25HOklahoma85-63
16/02/25HSouth Carolina88-67
12/02/25AMississippi St.81-68
Tennesseelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25AAuburn70-65
14/03/25HTexas83-72
08/03/25HSouth Carolina75-65
06/03/25AOle Miss76-78
01/03/25HAlabama79-76
26/02/25ALSU65-59
22/02/25ATexas A&M77-69
15/02/25HVanderbilt81-76
12/02/25AKentucky64-75
08/02/25AOklahoma70-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayWWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games332211
Win %88%95%73%
Points / game85.487.880.6
Allowed / game69.065.476.2
Point differential+16.4+22.4+4.5
Avg total154.4153.2156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%91%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tennessee
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW82%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayLWWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games332112
Win %82%95%58%
Points / game74.778.967.3
Allowed / game62.360.465.8
Point differential+12.3+18.5+1.6
Avg total137.0139.2133.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%81%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)75% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida3329488%85.469.0+16.4
2 Auburn3328585%83.869.6+14.2
3 Tennessee3327682%74.762.3+12.3
4 Alabama3325876%91.181.4+9.7
5 Texas A&M32221069%74.367.9+6.4
6 Missouri33221167%84.573.8+10.6
7 Kentucky33221167%85.377.9+7.4
8 Ole Miss33221167%77.271.7+5.5
9 Mississippi St.33211264%79.874.2+5.6
10 Georgia32201262%75.669.3+6.2
11 Vanderbilt32201262%79.674.8+4.8
12 Arkansas33201361%76.671.2+5.5
13 Oklahoma33201361%78.874.8+4.0
14 Texas34191556%78.472.2+6.2
15 LSU32141844%73.873.6+0.2
16 South Carolina32122038%69.871.4-1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida394786
Tennessee304777
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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