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FMP Akademija vs Gostivar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 82-102
16-24 28-22 11-35 27-21
Position#11
Record4-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game94.4
vs
Position#9
Record6-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game85.1
MacedoniaPrva LigaRound 20· Nevena Georgieva Dunja
Other2023-24
Meetings · FMP Akademija v Gostivar
16 Mar 2024
FMP 82
GOST102
05 Nov 2022
FMP 83
GOST93
27 Mar 2022
FMP 82
GOST70
31 Oct 2020
FMP 84
GOST75
14 Dec 2019
FMP 58
GOST67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Akademija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gostivar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP AkademijaMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkademija
Date
Competition
Pelister
#3
L
85-112
85
112
-27
68avg 62
H02/12
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
72-79
72
79
-7
61avg 62
A07/12
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
77-94
77
94
-17
61avg 62
A17/12
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
96-88
96
88
+8
94avg 62
H24/12
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
76-109
76
109
-33
54avg 62
A21/01
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
62-90
62
90
-28
45avg 62
H24/01
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
73-103
73
103
-30
57avg 62
A03/02
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
W
80-74
80
74
+6
73avg 62
H10/02
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
52-99
52
99
-47
28avg 62
A03/03
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
60-88
60
88
-28
50avg 62
A09/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
16-26
24-31
27-31
10-19
16-16
32-23
14-21
28-30
24-26
15-22
10-16
25-27
31-17
16-26
24-18
9-32
19-24
23-29
25-24
10-28
16-18
22-18
14-26
17-23
21-20
23-25
12-35
16-17
17-24
20-18
27-15
10-24
7-23
24-27
11-25
22-26
17-21
12-20
9-21
166.9Avg total
73.3Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.094.4169.4-19.421%
Season at home (9)78.097.1175.1-19.133%
Season away (10)72.391.9164.2-19.610%
Last 10 (10)73.393.6166.9-20.320%
Last 5 (5)65.490.8156.2-25.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)73.195.3168.4-22.212%
vs Similar (7)82.086.6168.6-4.643%
vs Weaker (6)95.582.3177.8+13.2100%
This opponent (Gostivar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GostivarMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGostivar
Date
Competition
Rabotnicki
#2
L
65-86
65
86
-21
56avg 70
H09/12
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
88-89
88
89
-1
79avg 70
A13/12
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
69-78
69
78
-9
56avg 70
H26/12
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
85-97
85
97
-12
84avg 70
A20/01
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
108-86
108
86
+22
109avg 70
H27/01
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
90-105
90
105
-15
84avg 70
A04/02
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
77-91
77
91
-14
64avg 70
H10/02
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
76-91
76
91
-15
59avg 70
A15/02
Macedonian Cup
Cair 2030
#4
L
78-89
78
89
-11
67avg 70
A02/03
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
W
101-75
101
75
+26
98avg 70
H09/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
23-20
17-24
10-17
29-26
6-23
26-20
27-20
10-25
18-19
19-16
22-18
23-26
14-25
18-19
30-27
29-17
27-29
29-20
23-20
24-28
17-30
24-24
25-23
13-28
14-16
22-18
28-29
24-23
16-31
16-20
20-17
22-20
20-25
21-19
15-25
29-14
23-17
27-19
22-25
172.4Avg total
83.7Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.985.1165.0-5.232%
Season at home (10)80.483.2163.6-2.840%
Season away (9)79.387.2166.6-7.922%
Last 10 (10)83.788.7172.4-5.020%
Last 5 (5)84.490.2174.6-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)72.685.4157.9-12.818%
vs Similar (3)90.077.7167.7+12.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)91.777.8169.4+13.989%
This opponent (FMP Akademija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -8.5-8.5Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -5.9-5.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -8.5-8.5Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -5.9-5.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
FMP AkademijaGostivar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP AkademijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pelister
#3
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H02/12
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A07/12
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A17/12
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H24/12
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
28-56
28
56
-28
A21/01
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
26-46
26
46
-20
H24/01
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A03/02
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H10/02
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
17-47
17
47
-30
A03/03
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A09/03
Prva Liga
81.4Avg total
34.9Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.545.084.4-5.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.144.283.4-5.143%-
Last 30 away (16)39.845.685.4-5.938%-
Last 10 (10)34.946.581.4-11.610%-
Last 5 (5)30.644.875.4-14.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)35.546.982.5-11.412%-
vs Similar (7)41.042.983.9-1.957%-
vs Weaker (6)48.841.890.7+7.0100%-
This opponent (Gostivar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GostivarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rabotnicki
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H09/12
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A13/12
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H26/12
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A20/01
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H27/01
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A04/02
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H10/02
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A15/02
Macedonian Cup
Cair 2030
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A02/03
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H09/03
Prva Liga
86.3Avg total
39.6Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.642.181.7-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.240.480.7-0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)38.943.982.9-5.029%-
Last 10 (10)39.646.786.3-7.120%-
Last 5 (5)40.446.486.8-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)34.443.978.3-9.512%-
vs Similar (3)44.040.084.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)48.038.086.0+10.078%-
This opponent (FMP Akademija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Akademijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Akademija: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.417.9
45.4%
53.9%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.5
28.8%
32.2%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.613.8
70.4%
70.3%13.8
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gostivartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gostivar: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.624.0
56.3%
53.9%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.5
32.2%
32.2%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.612.4
70.5%
70.3%12.4
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Akademija
LLWLLLWLLL
Gostivar
WLLLLWLLLL
#11
League position
#9
-27.4
Net rating
-6.6
91.9
Offensive rating
100.7
119.3
Defensive rating
107.2
44.6%
Effective FG%
53.5%
58.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.8%
22.1%
Off. rebound %
18.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
28.8%
3-point %
32.2%
52.8%
Assist %
53.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence91.9 · 100.7Defence119.3 · 107.2Shooting44.6% · 53.5%3-point %28.8% · 32.2%Ball care17.6% · 17.8%Off. rebounds22.1% · 18.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ FMP Akademija   ■ Gostivar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
FMP Akademija wins
5
Gostivar wins
FMP Akademijalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24AKozuv60-88
03/03/24ARabotnicki52-99
10/02/24HVardar80-74
03/02/24ACair 203073-103
24/01/24HTFT Skopje62-90
21/01/24AFeniks 201076-109
24/12/23HOhrid96-88
17/12/23ATikvesh77-94
07/12/23AMZT Skopje72-79
02/12/23HPelister85-112
Gostivarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HVardar101-75
02/03/24ACair 203078-89
15/02/24AMZT Skopje76-91
10/02/24HTFT Skopje77-91
04/02/24AFeniks 201090-105
27/01/24HOhrid108-86
20/01/24ATikvesh85-97
26/12/23HMZT Skopje69-78
13/12/23APelister88-89
09/12/23HRabotnicki65-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Akademija
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL21%
HomeWLWLW33%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %21%33%10%
Points / game75.078.072.3
Allowed / game94.497.191.9
Point differential-19.4-19.1-19.6
Avg total169.4175.1164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gostivar
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW32%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %32%40%22%
Points / game79.980.479.3
Allowed / game85.183.287.2
Point differential-5.2-2.8-7.9
Avg total165.0163.6166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%20%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rabotnicki1915479%88.773.8+14.9
2 MZT Skopje1915479%80.668.5+12.2
3 Pelister2014670%83.374.5+8.8
4 Cair 20301913668%83.877.3+6.5
5 Tikvesh2013765%85.275.3+9.9
6 TFT Skopje2013765%74.370.3+4.0
7 Feniks 20101911858%83.378.6+4.6
8 Gostivar1961332%79.985.1-5.2
9 Kozuv1951426%77.679.0-1.4
10 Ohrid1941521%74.188.6-14.6
11 FMP Akademija1941521%75.094.4-19.4
12 Vardar2031715%74.294.8-20.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Akademija1628112782
Gostivar24223521102
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