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FMP Akademija vs Vardar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-74
16-17 17-24 20-18 27-15
Position#11
Record3-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game95.8
vs
Position#10
Record3-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game96.0
MacedoniaPrva LigaRound 17· Nevena Georgieva Dunja
Other2023-24
Meetings · FMP Akademija v Vardar
25 Apr 2024
FMP 72
VARD85
10 Feb 2024
FMP 80
VARD74
20 Mar 2021
FMP 78
VARD63
23 Nov 2019
FMP 95
VARD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Akademija winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vardar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP AkademijaMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkademija
Date
Competition
Rabotnicki
#2
L
68-98
68
98
-30
50avg 64
H11/11
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
W
93-83
93
83
+10
88avg 64
H18/11
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
W
92-90
92
90
+2
88avg 64
A25/11
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
85-112
85
112
-27
68avg 64
H02/12
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
72-79
72
79
-7
61avg 64
A07/12
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
77-94
77
94
-17
61avg 64
A17/12
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
96-88
96
88
+8
94avg 64
H24/12
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
76-109
76
109
-33
54avg 64
A21/01
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
62-90
62
90
-28
45avg 64
H24/01
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
73-103
73
103
-30
57avg 64
A03/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
5-26
28-27
14-21
25-20
28-20
25-23
15-20
26-22
20-24
26-19
20-25
18-24
16-26
24-31
27-31
10-19
16-16
32-23
14-21
28-30
24-26
15-22
10-16
25-27
31-17
16-26
24-18
9-32
19-24
23-29
25-24
10-28
16-18
22-18
14-26
17-23
21-20
23-25
12-35
174.0Avg total
79.4Scored
94.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.195.8172.8-18.719%
Season at home (8)77.8100.0177.8-22.225%
Season away (8)76.491.5167.9-15.112%
Last 10 (10)79.494.6174.0-15.230%
Last 5 (5)76.896.8173.6-20.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)76.395.1171.4-18.811%
vs Similar ◀ (6)82.388.7171.0-6.333%
vs Weaker (6)95.582.3177.8+13.2100%
This opponent (Vardar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VardarMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVardar
Date
Competition
Kozuv
#8
L
57-78
57
78
-21
46avg 62
A11/11
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
75-90
75
90
-15
56avg 62
H18/11
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
74-116
74
116
-42
62avg 62
A26/11
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
61-96
61
96
-35
46avg 62
H02/12
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
66-116
66
116
-50
46avg 62
A10/12
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
L
81-89
81
89
-8
70avg 62
A16/12
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
89-104
89
104
-15
82avg 62
H23/12
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
82-92
82
92
-10
80avg 62
A20/01
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
60-102
60
102
-42
45avg 62
H27/01
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
58-101
58
101
-43
42avg 62
A03/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-20
19-25
18-20
11-13
15-25
12-20
27-20
21-25
18-31
20-28
13-30
23-27
12-34
23-24
16-23
10-15
19-34
19-29
18-25
10-28
19-21
25-24
21-20
16-24
24-26
20-31
24-24
21-23
18-27
17-22
23-27
24-16
18-23
11-30
23-23
8-26
9-28
18-27
19-25
12-21
168.7Avg total
70.3Scored
98.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)73.996.0169.9-22.119%
Season at home (8)76.196.6172.8-20.525%
Season away (8)71.895.4167.1-23.612%
Last 10 (10)70.398.4168.7-28.10%
Last 5 (5)74.097.6171.6-23.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)71.792.2163.9-20.511%
vs Similar ◀ (3)91.087.7178.7+3.367%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (FMP Akademija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: -10.8-10.8Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -7.6-7.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: -6.2-6.2
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: -10.8-10.8Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -7.6-7.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: -6.2-6.2
FMP AkademijaVardar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP AkademijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rabotnicki
#2
L
26-50
26
50
-24
H11/11
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H18/11
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A25/11
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H02/12
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A07/12
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A17/12
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H24/12
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
28-56
28
56
-28
A21/01
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
26-46
26
46
-20
H24/01
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A03/02
Prva Liga
85.1Avg total
38.5Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.345.585.9-5.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.545.585.0-6.140%-
Last 30 away (15)41.245.586.7-4.340%-
Last 10 (10)38.546.685.1-8.120%-
Last 5 (5)40.049.089.0-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)36.847.684.4-10.711%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.343.285.5-0.867%-
vs Weaker (6)48.841.890.7+7.0100%-
This opponent (Vardar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VardarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kozuv
#8
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A11/11
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H18/11
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
38-59
38
59
-21
A26/11
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
35-58
35
58
-23
H02/12
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
38-63
38
63
-25
A10/12
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A16/12
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H23/12
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A20/01
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H27/01
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
27-55
27
55
-28
A03/02
Prva Liga
87.4Avg total
34.5Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.547.484.9-10.017%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.848.886.6-11.123%-
Last 30 away (16)37.246.383.6-9.112%-
Last 10 (10)34.552.987.4-18.40%-
Last 5 (5)35.851.887.6-16.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)37.047.784.7-10.719%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)41.745.787.3-4.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (FMP Akademija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Akademijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Akademija: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.4
49.1%
53.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.2
32.9%
32.2%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.514.3
69.8%
70.3%14.3
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vardartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vardar: 69.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.717.6
48.0%
53.9%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.5
31.0%
32.2%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.211.6
63.7%
70.3%11.6
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Akademija
LLLWLLLWWL
Vardar
LLLLLLLLLL
#11
League position
#10
-19.9
Net rating
-35.2
100.0
Offensive rating
85.9
119.9
Defensive rating
121.2
49.2%
Effective FG%
47.4%
59.7%
Opp. effective FG%
60.6%
17.0%
Turnover %
23.2%
22.2%
Off. rebound %
19.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.9%
3-point %
31.0%
53.6%
Assist %
56.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 85.9Defence119.9 · 121.2Shooting49.2% · 47.4%3-point %32.9% · 31.0%Ball care17.0% · 23.2%Off. rebounds22.2% · 19.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 0%
■ FMP Akademija   ■ Vardar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
FMP Akademija wins
2
Vardar wins
DateGameScore
05/11/23Vardar v FMP Akademija102-91
20/03/21FMP Akademija v Vardar78-63
16/12/20Vardar v FMP Akademija79-82
01/03/20Vardar v FMP Akademija79-77
23/11/19FMP Akademija v Vardar95-66
FMP Akademijalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24ACair 203073-103
24/01/24HTFT Skopje62-90
21/01/24AFeniks 201076-109
24/12/23HOhrid96-88
17/12/23ATikvesh77-94
07/12/23AMZT Skopje72-79
02/12/23HPelister85-112
25/11/23AGostivar92-90
18/11/23HKozuv93-83
11/11/23HRabotnicki68-98
Vardarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24ARabotnicki58-101
27/01/24HCair 203060-102
20/01/24ATFT Skopje82-92
23/12/23HFeniks 201089-104
16/12/23AOhrid81-89
10/12/23ATikvesh66-116
02/12/23HMZT Skopje61-96
26/11/23APelister74-116
18/11/23HGostivar75-90
11/11/23AKozuv57-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Akademija
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL19%
HomeLWLWL25%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %19%25%12%
Points / game77.177.876.4
Allowed / game95.8100.091.5
Point differential-18.7-22.2-15.1
Avg total172.8177.8167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vardar
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %19%25%12%
Points / game73.976.171.8
Allowed / game96.096.695.4
Point differential-22.1-20.5-23.6
Avg total169.9172.8167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 MZT Skopje1613381%81.569.0+12.5
2 Rabotnicki1612475%86.572.7+13.8
3 Tikvesh1612475%87.774.8+12.9
4 Pelister1712571%84.175.5+8.6
5 Cair 20301712571%85.276.8+8.4
6 TFT Skopje1711665%75.471.0+4.4
7 Feniks 20101710759%84.878.9+5.9
8 Gostivar1751229%78.885.5-6.7
9 Ohrid1631319%72.988.8-15.9
10 FMP Akademija1631319%77.195.8-18.7
11 Vardar1631319%73.996.0-22.1
12 Kozuv1731418%76.180.2-4.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Akademija1617202780
Vardar1724181574
← all games of the day
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