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Gostivar vs Vardar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 101-75
29-14 23-17 27-19 22-25
Position#9
Record5-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game85.7
vs
Position#10
Record3-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game94.9
MacedoniaPrva LigaRound 19· Mladost Sports Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Gostivar v Vardar
09 Mar 2024
GOST101
VARD75
19 Dec 2020
GOST91
VARD53
25 Jan 2020
GOST77
VARD68
19 Mar 2019
GOST99
VARD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gostivar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vardar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GostivarMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGostivar
Date
Competition
Kozuv
#8
L
67-102
67
102
-35
60avg 69
A02/12
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
65-86
65
86
-21
56avg 69
H09/12
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
88-89
88
89
-1
79avg 69
A13/12
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
69-78
69
78
-9
56avg 69
H26/12
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
85-97
85
97
-12
84avg 69
A20/01
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
108-86
108
86
+22
109avg 69
H27/01
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
90-105
90
105
-15
84avg 69
A04/02
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
77-91
77
91
-14
64avg 69
H10/02
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
76-91
76
91
-15
59avg 69
A15/02
Macedonian Cup
Cair 2030
#4
L
78-89
78
89
-11
67avg 69
A02/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
17-22
16-32
17-22
15-25
23-20
17-24
10-17
29-26
6-23
26-20
27-20
10-25
18-19
19-16
22-18
23-26
14-25
18-19
30-27
29-17
27-29
29-20
23-20
24-28
17-30
24-24
25-23
13-28
14-16
22-18
28-29
24-23
16-31
16-20
20-17
22-20
20-25
21-19
15-25
171.7Avg total
80.3Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.785.7164.4-6.928%
Season at home (9)78.184.1162.2-6.033%
Season away (9)79.387.2166.6-7.922%
Last 10 (10)80.391.4171.7-11.110%
Last 5 (5)85.892.4178.2-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)72.685.4157.9-12.818%
vs Similar (3)90.077.7167.7+12.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)90.578.1168.6+12.488%
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VardarMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVardar
Date
Competition
Pelister
#3
L
74-116
74
116
-42
62avg 62
A26/11
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
61-96
61
96
-35
46avg 62
H02/12
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
66-116
66
116
-50
46avg 62
A10/12
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
L
81-89
81
89
-8
70avg 62
A16/12
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
89-104
89
104
-15
82avg 62
H23/12
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
82-92
82
92
-10
80avg 62
A20/01
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
60-102
60
102
-42
45avg 62
H27/01
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
58-101
58
101
-43
42avg 62
A03/02
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
L
74-80
74
80
-6
62avg 62
A10/02
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
78-92
78
92
-14
76avg 62
H02/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-31
20-28
13-30
23-27
12-34
23-24
16-23
10-15
19-34
19-29
18-25
10-28
19-21
25-24
21-20
16-24
24-26
20-31
24-24
21-23
18-27
17-22
23-27
24-16
18-23
11-30
23-23
8-26
9-28
18-27
19-25
12-21
17-16
24-17
18-20
15-27
22-21
19-21
22-23
15-27
171.1Avg total
72.3Scored
98.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.294.9169.1-20.717%
Season at home (9)76.396.1172.4-19.822%
Season away (9)72.093.7165.7-21.711%
Last 10 (10)72.398.8171.1-26.50%
Last 5 (5)70.493.4163.8-23.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)70.791.9162.6-21.28%
vs Similar (4)86.885.8172.5+1.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gostivar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -8.5-8.5Q2Q2: -6.8-6.8Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -8.0-8.0
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -8.5-8.5Q2Q2: -6.8-6.8Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -8.0-8.0
GostivarVardar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GostivarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kozuv
#8
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A02/12
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H09/12
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A13/12
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H26/12
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A20/01
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H27/01
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A04/02
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H10/02
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A15/02
Macedonian Cup
Cair 2030
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A02/03
Prva Liga
86.2Avg total
37.8Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.942.281.1-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.940.779.6-1.844%-
Last 30 away (14)38.943.982.9-5.029%-
Last 10 (10)37.848.486.2-10.610%-
Last 5 (5)41.249.490.6-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)34.443.978.3-9.512%-
vs Similar (3)44.040.084.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)47.538.986.4+8.675%-
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VardarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pelister
#3
L
38-59
38
59
-21
A26/11
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
35-58
35
58
-23
H02/12
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
38-63
38
63
-25
A10/12
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A16/12
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H23/12
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A20/01
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H27/01
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
27-55
27
55
-28
A03/02
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A10/02
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H02/03
Prva Liga
88.6Avg total
37.2Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.446.584.0-9.117%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.447.985.3-10.517%-
Last 30 away (17)37.545.583.0-8.118%-
Last 10 (10)37.251.488.6-14.210%-
Last 5 (5)34.646.481.0-11.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.847.284.0-10.416%-
vs Similar (4)41.542.584.0-1.025%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gostivar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gostivartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gostivar: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.624.0
56.3%
53.9%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.6
30.3%
32.2%19.8
🏀 Free throws16.511.5
69.7%
70.3%11.5
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vardartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vardar: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.8
48.7%
53.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.3
30.3%
32.2%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.911.8
62.4%
70.3%11.8
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gostivar
LLLLWLLLLL
Vardar
LLLLLLLLLL
#9
League position
#10
-14.7
Net rating
-33.5
97.7
Offensive rating
88.7
112.3
Defensive rating
122.2
52.6%
Effective FG%
47.4%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
60.1%
19.2%
Turnover %
22.7%
19.0%
Off. rebound %
23.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.3%
3-point %
30.3%
52.6%
Assist %
60.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence97.7 · 88.7Defence112.3 · 122.2Shooting52.6% · 47.4%3-point %30.3% · 30.3%Ball care19.2% · 22.7%Off. rebounds19.0% · 23.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)10% · 0%
■ Gostivar   ■ Vardar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Gostivar wins
0
Vardar wins
DateGameScore
18/11/23Vardar v Gostivar75-90
24/03/21Vardar v Gostivar105-106
19/12/20Gostivar v Vardar91-53
25/01/20Gostivar v Vardar77-68
02/11/19Vardar v Gostivar55-86
19/03/19Gostivar v Vardar99-66
24/11/18Vardar v Gostivar80-82
Gostivarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24ACair 203078-89
15/02/24AMZT Skopje76-91
10/02/24HTFT Skopje77-91
04/02/24AFeniks 201090-105
27/01/24HOhrid108-86
20/01/24ATikvesh85-97
26/12/23HMZT Skopje69-78
13/12/23APelister88-89
09/12/23HRabotnicki65-86
02/12/23AKozuv67-102
Vardarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HKozuv78-92
10/02/24AFMP Akademija74-80
03/02/24ARabotnicki58-101
27/01/24HCair 203060-102
20/01/24ATFT Skopje82-92
23/12/23HFeniks 201089-104
16/12/23AOhrid81-89
10/12/23ATikvesh66-116
02/12/23HMZT Skopje61-96
26/11/23APelister74-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gostivar
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL28%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %28%33%22%
Points / game78.778.179.3
Allowed / game85.784.187.2
Point differential-6.9-6.0-7.9
Avg total164.4162.2166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%11%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vardar
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLLLLL22%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %17%22%11%
Points / game74.276.372.0
Allowed / game94.996.193.7
Point differential-20.7-19.8-21.7
Avg total169.1172.4165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rabotnicki1915479%88.773.8+14.9
2 MZT Skopje1915479%80.668.5+12.2
3 Tikvesh1913668%86.875.5+11.3
4 Pelister1913668%83.274.5+8.7
5 Cair 20301913668%83.877.3+6.5
6 TFT Skopje1912763%74.471.1+3.3
7 Feniks 20101911858%83.378.6+4.6
8 Gostivar1851328%78.785.7-6.9
9 Kozuv1951426%77.679.0-1.4
10 Ohrid1941521%74.188.6-14.6
11 FMP Akademija1941521%75.094.4-19.4
12 Vardar1831517%74.294.9-20.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gostivar29232722101
Vardar1417192575
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