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FMP Beograd vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Sep 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-64
20-17 12-17 23-13 21-17
Position#6
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
FMP Beograd 🏆
vs
Breogan
Position#45
Record-
FormLWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Quarter-finals
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
93-60
93
60
+33
92avg 73
A20/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#9
W
90-82
90
82
+8
86avg 73
H26/03
ABA League
Split
#13
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
no box
A02/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
77-79
77
79
-2
67avg 73
H08/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
82-90
82
90
-8
77avg 73
A11/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
75-77
75
77
-2
66avg 73
H22/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
70-76
70
76
-6
62avg 73
A30/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
74-79
74
79
-5
69avg 73
H04/05
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
71-110
71
110
-39
no box
A17/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
59-71
59
71
-12
no box
H19/06
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-13
25-15
19-16
19-16
19-25
18-20
25-14
28-23
20-18
18-21
14-13
22-22
14-19
20-24
23-19
20-17
25-21
25-30
12-24
20-15
23-24
11-21
24-15
17-17
14-24
15-13
21-15
20-24
25-25
21-15
10-19
18-20
18-24
11-29
23-26
19-31
9-15
22-19
14-25
14-12
159.0Avg total
78.1Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.180.9159.0-2.830%
Last 5 (5)69.882.6152.4-12.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.085.1161.1-9.18%
vs Similar (7)76.477.3153.7-0.957%
vs Weaker (10)87.680.0167.6+7.680%
BreoganLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
80-78
80
78
+2
67avg 77
H26/03
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#18
W
105-96
105
96
+9
99avg 77
H03/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
78-96
78
96
-18
70avg 77
A09/04
ACB
Manresa
#6
W
98-94
98
94
+4
102avg 77
H14/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
65-90
65
90
-25
52avg 77
A17/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
L
82-85
82
85
-3
76avg 77
H23/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
86-84
86
84
+2
81avg 77
A01/05
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
72-74
72
74
-2
57avg 77
H07/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
65-88
65
88
-23
58avg 77
A10/05
ACB
Unicaja
#12
W
93-84
93
84
+9
93avg 77
H14/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
14-21
23-16
22-24
30-21
18-23
23-25
34-27
17-19
17-21
19-33
25-23
27-32
26-17
21-19
24-26
13-26
16-27
16-24
20-13
14-15
22-20
20-22
26-28
21-20
19-24
22-24
24-16
26-15
22-15
18-22
6-22
21-21
9-21
17-24
18-22
29-12
26-20
22-24
16-28
169.3Avg total
82.4Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.486.9169.3-4.550%
Last 5 (5)79.683.0162.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.381.0150.3-11.70%
vs Similar (22)85.086.9172.0-1.955%
vs Weaker (4)85.886.0171.8-0.225%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
FMP BeogradBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
55-28
55
28
+27
A20/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H26/03
ABA League
Split
#13
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A02/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H08/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A11/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H22/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A30/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H04/05
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A17/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H19/06
Super League
79.8Avg total
38.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.781.7-1.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.141.682.7-0.533%-
Last 30 away (15)39.141.780.8-2.727%-
Last 10 (10)38.341.579.8-3.220%-
Last 5 (5)33.841.875.6-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.943.280.2-6.317%-
vs Similar (7)38.339.377.6-1.029%-
vs Weaker (10)45.243.088.2+2.240%-
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H26/03
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#18
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H03/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A09/04
ACB
Manresa
#6
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H14/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A17/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H23/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A01/05
ACB
Barcelona
#2
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H07/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A10/05
ACB
Unicaja
#12
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H14/05
ACB
81.5Avg total
40.8Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.279.1-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.439.380.7+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)36.341.177.4-4.920%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.781.5+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.678.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.741.077.7-4.333%-
vs Similar (22)40.040.480.3-0.441%-
vs Weaker (4)36.238.875.0-2.550%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.122.5
53.4%
51.4%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.06.2
31.0%
35.2%18.6
🏀 Free throws19.514.8
75.9%
74.3%14.8
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.3
52.2%
51.4%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.3
34.0%
35.2%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.815.1
72.6%
74.3%15.1
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Sep 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LLLLLLLWWW
Breogan
WLLWLLWLWW
#6
League position
#45
+0.9
Net rating
-5.6
102.9
Offensive rating
110.8
102.0
Defensive rating
116.3
51.2%
Effective FG%
51.8%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
18.8%
Turnover %
17.4%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.0%
3-point %
34.0%
58.2%
Assist %
54.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 110.8Defence102.0 · 116.3Shooting51.2% · 51.8%3-point %31.0% · 34.0%Ball care18.8% · 17.4%Off. rebounds30.4% · 33.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
FMP Beograd wins
0
Breogan wins
No previous meetings.
FMP Beogradlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/06/22HCrvena zvezda59-71
17/06/22ACrvena zvezda71-110
04/05/22HBuducnost74-79
30/04/22ABuducnost70-76
22/04/22HCedevita Olimpija75-77
11/04/22ACrvena zvezda82-90
08/04/22HBuducnost77-79
02/04/22ASplit90-85 OT
26/03/22HBorac Mozzart90-82
20/03/22AKK Krka Novo mesto93-60
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/22HUnicaja93-84
10/05/22AFuenlabrada65-88
07/05/22HBarcelona72-74
01/05/22AGran Canaria86-84
23/04/22HBasket Zaragoza82-85
17/04/22AReal Madrid65-90
14/04/22HManresa98-94
09/04/22ATenerife78-96
03/04/22HSan Pablo Burgos105-96
26/03/22HObradoiro CAB80-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
Champions League 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Breogan
Champions League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Budivelnyk110100%87.051.0+36.0
2 Levice110100%79.070.0+9.0
3 Voluntari110100%70.061.0+9.0
4 Swans Gmunden110100%82.080.0+2.0
5 Parnu1010%80.082.0-2.0
6 Kormend1010%70.079.0-9.0
7 Leicester Riders1010%61.070.0-9.0
8 Norrkoping1010%51.087.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd2012232176
Breogan1717131764
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