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FMP Beograd vs Mega Soccerbet Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 91-92 (OT)
18-25 23-12 17-20 19-20 14-15
Position#8
Record2-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Position#6
Record8-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game68.8
EuropeABA LeagueRound 12
Domestic2020
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Soccerbet winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Primorska
#15
W
20-0
20
0
+20
H02/10
ABA League
Split
#11
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A12/10
ABA League
Partizan
#7
L
90-103
90
103
-13
H17/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A25/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H02/11
ABA League
Cibona
#9
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A04/12
ABA League
Igokea
#4
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A09/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
75-111
75
111
-36
H12/12
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
89-99 OT
89
99
-10
H15/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#5
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A20/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
22-18
17-24
12-21
20-23
23-21
21-27
22-29
24-26
16-12
16-30
26-23
18-12
27-22
20-25
29-24
17-16
26-21
22-32
17-16
15-24
23-23
21-27
15-17
15-17
19-30
19-31
25-28
12-22
19-15
20-23
24-21
19-23
22-20
18-21
23-22
11-21
156.6Avg total
74.2Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.282.4156.6-8.220%
Season at home (5)73.480.0153.4-6.640%
Season away (5)75.084.8159.8-9.80%
Last 10 (10)74.282.4156.6-8.220%
Last 5 (5)78.494.2172.6-15.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)74.787.7162.3-13.017%
vs Similar (6)77.784.5162.2-6.833%
vs Weaker (10)78.861.2140.0+17.690%
This opponent (Mega Soccerbet) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega SoccerbetLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#10
W
90-87
90
87
+3
H11/10
ABA League
Cibona
#9
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A18/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H25/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A31/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
97-83
97
83
+14
A06/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H15/11
ABA League
Primorska
#15
W
20-0
20
0
+20
A21/11
ABA League
Split
#11
W
91-75
91
75
+16
H06/12
ABA League
Partizan
#7
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A12/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H20/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
20-23
24-16
19-23
31-20
13-22
13-16
20-15
18-24
17-16
18-15
20-21
28-25
15-19
8-15
22-21
24-19
31-22
20-24
22-18
17-14
19-17
15-23
20-16
–
–
–
–
29-22
11-11
21-11
30-31
27-16
23-24
15-16
12-23
27-18
19-10
14-21
18-23
144.2Avg total
74.7Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.568.8144.4+6.773%
Season at home (5)80.676.0156.6+4.680%
Season away (6)71.362.8134.2+8.567%
Last 10 (10)74.769.5144.2+5.270%
Last 5 (5)67.459.2126.6+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.386.5163.8-9.217%
vs Similar (4)82.876.0158.8+6.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)89.873.1162.9+16.892%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: -7.3-7.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -0.9-0.9
FMP BeogradMega Soccerbet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#11
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A12/10
ABA League
Partizan
#7
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H17/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A25/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H02/11
ABA League
Cibona
#9
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A04/12
ABA League
Igokea
#4
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A09/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
38-61
38
61
-23
H12/12
ABA League
Zadar
#10
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H15/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A20/12
ABA League
88.1Avg total
41.2Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.941.282.1-0.341%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.439.081.4+3.450%-
Last 30 away (15)39.543.382.9-3.833%-
Last 10 (9)41.246.988.1-5.711%-
Last 5 (5)41.848.690.4-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.946.184.0-8.217%-
vs Similar (6)39.242.882.0-3.717%-
vs Weaker (9)44.334.178.4+10.289%-
This opponent (Mega Soccerbet) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega SoccerbetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#10
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H11/10
ABA League
Cibona
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A18/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H25/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#5
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A31/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A06/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H15/11
ABA League
Split
#11
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H06/12
ABA League
Partizan
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A12/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H20/12
ABA League
82.6Avg total
44.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)46.939.186.0+7.873%-
Last 30 at home (11)46.937.584.4+9.573%-
Last 30 away (11)46.940.787.6+6.273%-
Last 10 (9)44.038.682.6+5.467%-
Last 5 (5)45.434.680.0+10.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.341.380.7-2.050%-
vs Similar (4)49.040.289.2+8.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)50.037.687.6+12.483%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.7
52.7%
52.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.7
30.9%
36.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws22.215.8
71.2%
75.0%15.8
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Soccerbettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Soccerbet: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.9
53.8%
52.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.5
35.3%
36.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.615.0
72.8%
75.0%15.0
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LLLLLWLLLW
Mega Soccerbet
WLWWWWLLWW
#8
League position
#6
-14.5
Net rating
+7.2
102.5
Offensive rating
107.4
117.0
Defensive rating
100.2
50.1%
Effective FG%
53.4%
57.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
19.0%
Turnover %
17.8%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.9%
3-point %
35.3%
65.2%
Assist %
71.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 107.4Defence117.0 · 100.2Shooting50.1% · 53.4%3-point %30.9% · 35.3%Ball care19.0% · 17.8%Off. rebounds31.5% · 29.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Mega Soccerbet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
FMP Beograd wins
0
Mega Soccerbet wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/20AMornar Bar74-84
15/12/20HZadar89-99 OT
12/12/20HCrvena zvezda75-111
09/12/20AIgokea74-84
04/12/20ACibona80-93
02/11/20HBorac Mozzart93-87
25/10/20ABuducnost76-77
17/10/20HPartizan90-103
12/10/20ASplit71-86
02/10/20HPrimorska20-0
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/20HBuducnost78-72
12/12/20APartizan77-79
06/12/20HSplit91-75
21/11/20APrimorska20-0
15/11/20HKK Krka Novo mesto71-70
06/11/20ABorac Mozzart97-83
31/10/20AMornar Bar73-80
25/10/20HCrvena zvezda73-76
18/10/20ACibona77-73
11/10/20HZadar90-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2020
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%40%0%
Points / game74.273.475.0
Allowed / game82.480.084.8
Point differential-8.2-6.6-9.8
Avg total156.6153.4159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Mega Soccerbet
ABA League 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW73%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game75.580.671.3
Allowed / game68.876.062.8
Point differential+6.7+4.6+8.5
Avg total144.4156.6134.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda109190%81.663.0+18.6
2 Buducnost98189%80.673.8+6.8
3 Cedevita Olimpija76186%81.168.0+13.1
4 Mornar Bar108280%76.769.2+7.5
5 Igokea108280%73.069.1+3.9
6 Mega Soccerbet118373%75.568.8+6.7
7 Partizan115645%81.881.1+0.7
8 KK Krka Novo mesto125742%66.868.7-1.9
9 Split114736%70.473.8-3.5
10 Cibona113827%70.278.8-8.6
11 Zadar82625%64.969.5-4.6
12 Borac Mozzart92722%74.378.8-4.4
13 FMP Beograd102820%74.282.4-8.2
14 Primorska110110%0.020.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
FMP Beograd182317191491
Mega Soccerbet251220201592
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