FMP Beograd vs Napredak Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2015

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 94-72

23-17 20-20 29-15 22-20

Position#1

Record11-1

FormLWWWW

Points / game83.5

Allowed / game71.1

FMP Beograd 🏆

Napredak

Position#11

Record2-10

FormLLWLL

Points / game63.2

Allowed / game75.2

First LeagueRound 13

Other2014-15

Meetings · FMP Beograd v Napredak

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Napredak winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP Beograd Serbia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tamis Petrohemija

85-70

+15

H24/10

First League

Vrsac

84-68

+16

A01/11

First League

Spartak Subotica

#10

87-63

+24

H08/11

First League

Smederevo

75-69

A14/11

First League

Sloga

95-88

H21/11

First League

Vojvodina Srbijagas

81-83

-2

A28/11

First League

Jagodina

#12

76-40

+36

H05/12

First League

Borac Mozzart

79-74

H12/12

First League

Konstantin

80-61

+19

A20/12

First League

OKK Beograd

102-92

102

+10

A09/01

First League

16-14

25-23

17-19

27-14

24-15

14-16

26-20

20-17

18-13

23-18

17-20

29-12

16-13

22-20

22-25

15-11

32-22

24-23

16-20

23-23

31-17

15-23

23-22

12-21

17-12

14-13

25-2

20-13

12-13

19-19

27-21

21-21

21-15

19-15

19-22

21-9

26-25

29-23

18-24

29-20

155.2Avg total

84.4Scored

70.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	83.5	71.1	154.6	+12.4	92%
Season at home (6)	83.2	67.5	150.7	+15.7	100%
Season away (6)	83.8	74.7	158.5	+9.2	83%
Last 10 (10)	84.4	70.8	155.2	+13.6	90%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	70.0	153.6	+13.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	71.2	84.6	155.9	-13.4	12%
vs Similar (3)	80.0	64.7	144.7	+15.3	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	79.5	69.4	148.9	+10.1	79%

This opponent (Napredak) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Napredak

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Borac Mozzart

56-64

-8

A25/10

First League

Konstantin

51-73

-22

H01/11

First League

OKK Beograd

70-81

-11

A07/11

First League

Jagodina

#12

69-71

-2

A15/11

First League

Tamis Petrohemija

80-78

H22/11

First League

Vrsac

51-82

-31

A28/11

First League

Spartak Subotica

#10

56-70

-14

H06/12

First League

Smederevo

68-64

A12/12

First League

Sloga

63-94

-31

H20/12

First League

Vojvodina Srbijagas

62-68

-6

H10/01

First League

14-16

17-28

9-11

16-9

7-23

22-15

8-18

14-17

16-21

17-22

21-25

16-13

16-16

21-21

21-19

11-15

20-24

16-23

22-12

22-19

18-16

9-25

15-22

9-19

14-27

12-10

7-15

23-18

13-11

16-23

16-12

23-18

16-22

19-20

18-20

10-32

12-18

15-16

21-19

14-15

137.1Avg total

62.6Scored

74.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	63.2	75.2	138.4	-12.1	17%
Season at home (6)	64.5	77.3	141.8	-12.8	17%
Season away (6)	61.8	73.2	135.0	-11.3	17%
Last 10 (10)	62.6	74.5	137.1	-11.9	20%
Last 5 (5)	60.0	75.6	135.6	-15.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	66.4	76.8	143.2	-10.4	30%
vs Similar (5)	71.8	72.8	144.6	-1.0	20%
vs Weaker (2)	74.0	59.0	133.0	+15.0	100%

This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FMP BeogradNapredak

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	17.8	36.9	+1.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	16.4	36.5	+3.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	19.1	37.4	-0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	15.9	37.2	+5.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	16.4	37.8	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.9	21.4	38.2	-4.5	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.7	16.0	33.7	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.4	16.5	36.9	+3.8	74%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	19.3	36.8	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.3	19.1	38.4	+0.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.6	19.5	35.1	-3.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.6	19.4	34.0	-4.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	18.8	33.4	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	17.1	20.0	37.0	-2.9	35%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.4	16.0	32.4	+0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.0	19.5	45.5	+6.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	17.5	37.5	+2.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	17.7	37.5	+2.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	17.4	37.5	+2.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.3	39.7	+1.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.6	37.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.1	19.5	38.6	-0.4	62%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.3	15.0	37.3	+7.3	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.9	17.1	37.1	+2.8	68%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.7	19.1	35.8	-2.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	15.8	17.6	33.3	-1.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	20.9	38.6	-3.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	20.3	36.7	-3.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	18.8	33.0	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	16.6	19.7	36.3	-3.2	35%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	10.5	12.5	23.0	-2.0	50%	-

FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tamis Petrohemija

41-37

H24/10

First League

Vrsac

38-31

A01/11

First League

Spartak Subotica

#10

41-31

+10

H08/11

First League

Smederevo

38-33

A14/11

First League

Sloga

56-45

+11

H21/11

First League

Vojvodina Srbijagas

46-40

A28/11

First League

Jagodina

#12

31-25

H05/12

First League

Borac Mozzart

31-32

-1

H12/12

First League

Konstantin

40-30

+10

A20/12

First League

OKK Beograd

55-48

A09/01

First League

76.9Avg total

41.7Scored

35.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	35.3	74.4	+3.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.9	34.1	74.0	+5.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.3	36.5	74.9	+1.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	35.2	76.9	+6.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	35.0	75.6	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.0	40.9	76.9	-4.9	38%	-
vs Similar (3)	40.0	31.0	71.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	40.3	33.6	73.9	+6.7	79%	-

This opponent (Napredak) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NapredakLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Borac Mozzart

31-44

-13

A25/10

First League

Konstantin

29-38

-9

H01/11

First League

OKK Beograd

33-43

-10

A07/11

First League

Jagodina

#12

37-37

A15/11

First League

Tamis Petrohemija

36-47

-11

H22/11

First League

Vrsac

27-41

-14

A28/11

First League

Spartak Subotica

#10

26-37

-11

H06/12

First League

Smederevo

29-34

-5

A12/12

First League

Sloga

35-42

-7

H20/12

First League

Vojvodina Srbijagas

27-34

-7

H10/01

First League

70.7Avg total

31.0Scored

39.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.3	38.4	72.6	-4.1	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.1	36.6	71.7	-1.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.4	40.4	73.7	-7.0	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.0	39.7	70.7	-8.7	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.8	37.6	66.4	-8.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	33.7	39.7	73.3	-6.0	22%	-
vs Similar (5)	36.2	34.8	71.0	+1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	36.5	32.0	68.5	+4.5	50%	-

This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.6	38.1	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	18.5	36.6	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	20.6	39.7	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	18.2	40.6	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.1	22.4	38.5	-6.2	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.3	19.7	39.0	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.5	18.4	37.8	+1.1	53%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.8	18.3	35.0	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.0	16.8	34.8	+1.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.4	20.0	35.4	-4.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	17.3	33.1	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	17.6	33.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	16.4	18.4	34.8	-2.0	39%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.4	19.4	35.8	-3.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	13.5	35.5	+8.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.1	37.8	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	16.7	37.1	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	16.1	37.8	+5.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	16.8	37.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.1	21.4	40.5	-2.2	38%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.7	14.0	34.7	+6.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.7	17.4	37.2	+2.3	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.5	17.9	34.3	-1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.5	17.3	34.8	+0.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.3	18.5	33.8	-3.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	17.5	33.3	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	20.4	36.2	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	16.0	18.1	34.0	-2.1	48%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.2	18.6	37.8	+0.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	15.5	13.5	29.0	+2.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	37.7	75.9	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.4	35.3	73.7	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	40.1	78.2	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	35.6	78.3	+7.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	35.0	78.0	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	35.2	43.8	79.0	-8.5	12%	-
vs Similar (3)	40.0	33.7	73.7	+6.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	39.2	35.8	75.0	+3.4	63%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.2	36.1	69.4	-2.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.5	34.1	69.6	+1.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	30.6	38.5	69.1	-7.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.6	34.8	66.4	-3.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.2	38.0	69.2	-6.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	32.3	36.5	68.9	-4.2	43%	-
vs Similar (5)	35.6	38.0	73.6	-2.4	20%	-
vs Weaker (2)	37.5	27.0	64.5	+10.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

FMP Beograd wins

Napredak wins

Date	Game	Score
18/10/14	Napredak v FMP Beograd	75-81
21/02/14	FMP Beograd v Napredak	105-52
13/11/13	Napredak v FMP Beograd	62-56
21/01/11	FMP Beograd v Napredak	70-66
30/10/10	Napredak v FMP Beograd	81-93

FMP Beogradlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/01/15	A	OKK Beograd	102-92
20/12/14	A	Konstantin	80-61
12/12/14	H	Borac Mozzart	79-74
05/12/14	H	Jagodina	76-40
28/11/14	A	Vojvodina Srbijagas	81-83
21/11/14	H	Sloga	95-88
14/11/14	A	Smederevo	75-69
08/11/14	H	Spartak Subotica	87-63
01/11/14	A	Vrsac	84-68
24/10/14	H	Tamis Petrohemija	85-70

Napredaklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/01/15	H	Vojvodina Srbijagas	62-68
20/12/14	H	Sloga	63-94
12/12/14	A	Smederevo	68-64
06/12/14	H	Spartak Subotica	56-70
28/11/14	A	Vrsac	51-82
22/11/14	H	Tamis Petrohemija	80-78
15/11/14	A	Jagodina	69-71
07/11/14	A	OKK Beograd	70-81
01/11/14	H	Konstantin	51-73
25/10/14	A	Borac Mozzart	56-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd

First League 2014-15

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	92%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWLWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	92%	100%	83%
Points / game	83.5	83.2	83.8
Allowed / game	71.1	67.5	74.7
Point differential	+12.4	+15.7	+9.2
Avg total	154.6	150.7	158.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	50%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Napredak

First League 2014-15

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	17%
Home	LWLLL	17%
Away	LLLLW	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	17%	17%	17%
Points / game	63.2	64.5	61.8
Allowed / game	75.2	77.3	73.2
Point differential	-12.1	-12.8	-11.3
Avg total	138.4	141.8	135.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	FMP Beograd	12	11	1	92%	83.5	71.1	+12.4
2	Vojvodina Srbijagas	12	11	1	92%	79.9	73.2	+6.8
3	Konstantin	12	10	2	83%	79.8	70.5	+9.2
4	Tamis Petrohemija	12	7	5	58%	73.7	70.8	+2.9
5	Vrsac	12	5	7	42%	81.2	77.5	+3.7
6	OKK Beograd	12	5	7	42%	84.9	87.6	-2.7
7	Spartak Subotica	12	5	7	42%	80.0	82.7	-2.7
8	Borac Mozzart	12	4	8	33%	73.9	75.6	-1.7
9	Sloga	12	4	8	33%	79.8	81.7	-1.9
10	Smederevo	12	4	8	33%	72.8	77.4	-4.7
11	Jagodina	12	4	8	33%	72.3	81.7	-9.3
12	Napredak	12	2	10	17%	63.2	75.2	-12.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
FMP Beograd	23	20	29	22	94
Napredak	17	20	15	20	72

← all games of the day

FMP Beograd vs Napredak Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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