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Fordham vs Iona Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 78-66
Projected total 144.4
Final 78-72
43-37 35-35
Position#195
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game79.0
Fordham 🏆
USA
Vs
86%
14%
■ FORD 86%■ IONA 14%
Pythia win probability
Iona
USA
Position#230
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game64.3
Allowed / game69.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Fordham hosts Iona on 10 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Pythia model naming Fordham the favourite at 86% versus 14% for Iona, a margin driven by Fordham's 1-1 season record and 74.0 points scored against 79.0 allowed, while Iona's 2-1 record shows 64.3 points for and 69.3 against; Fordham's sole home win came 83-63 over Stonehill, and their only loss was 62-66 to George Washington, whereas Iona's recent road defeat was 65-104 to St. John's (N.Y.) but they have beaten NJIT 72-49 and Vermont 56-55 at home; the teams have met once before, with Iona winning 76-71 on 14 November 2025; the model projects a 78-66 score for Fordham, a total of 144.4 points, and a 49% chance that Fordham covers the -12.5 line, while the over on the 139.5 line has a 62% probability, and there is a 3% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fordham winWon
86.1%fair 1.16
Best odds1.12
Implied85.2%
Edge+0.9pp
Iona winLost
13.9%fair 7.21
Best odds7.00
Implied14.8%
Edge-0.9pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 07:05 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FordhamUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A11/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
70-66 OT
70
66
+4
A14/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H19/02
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H21/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A28/02
NCAA
La Salle
#346
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A04/03
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H07/03
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H12/03
NCAA
Kansas
#21
L
65-95
65
95
-30
A03/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#282
W
83-63
83
63
+20
H06/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-42
36-22
24-31
39-32
33-21
29-38
29-22
34-37
22-37
41-45
37-46
47-41
25-28
36-21
17-38
45-28
31-43
34-52
30-30
53-33
137.1Avg total
68.1Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.079.0153.0-5.050%
Season at home (1)83.063.0146.0+20.0100%
Season away (1)65.095.0160.0-30.00%
Last 10 (10)68.169.0137.1-0.960%
Last 5 (5)71.072.0143.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)60.879.5140.2-18.80%
vs Similar ◀ (16)67.566.2133.7+1.350%
vs Weaker (8)73.662.0135.6+11.675%
This opponent (Iona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IonaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canisius
#327
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A14/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A15/02
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
W
72-64 OT
72
64
+8
H21/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
A22/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
80-58
80
58
+22
H28/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
69-65
69
65
+4
A01/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
L
80-91
80
91
-11
H05/03
NCAA
Vermont
#268
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H03/11
NCAA
NJIT
#335
W
72-49
72
49
+23
H06/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#34
L
65-104
65
104
-39
A08/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-24
35-39
30-34
38-36
29-31
32-30
33-36
35-32
40-30
40-28
35-26
34-39
29-34
51-57
21-29
35-26
39-19
33-30
23-54
42-50
142.4Avg total
71.7Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)64.369.3133.7-5.067%
Season at home (2)64.052.0116.0+12.0100%
Season away (1)65.0104.0169.0-39.00%
Last 10 (10)71.770.7142.4+1.060%
Last 5 (5)68.472.8141.2-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)61.282.2143.4-21.040%
vs Similar ◀ (14)73.576.6150.1-3.136%
vs Weaker (11)72.360.4132.6+11.982%
This opponent (Fordham) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 134.5Actual: Over 134.5
Over 134.5
72.7%
@ 1.47+10.0pp
Under 134.5
27.3%
@ 2.47-10.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.47
Over/Under 139.5 · main lineActual: Over 139.5
Over 139.5
61.6%
@ 1.93+11.6pp
Under 139.5
38.4%
@ 1.88-11.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.93
Betano
1.88
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Be
1.81
Under
Marathon Be
1.88
Betano
1.88
Bet365
1.88
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Over/Under 144.5Actual: Over 144.5
Over 144.5
49.4%
@ 2.45+11.9pp
Under 144.5
50.6%
@ 1.47-11.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.45
Under
Betano
1.47

📊 3. Team Totals

Fordham total 72.5Actual: Fordham over 72.5
Over 72.5
72.5%
@ 1.42+9.0pp
Under 72.5
27.5%
@ 2.47-9.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Under
Betano
2.47
Fordham total 76.5 · main lineActual: Fordham over 76.5
Over 76.5
57.7%
@ 1.93+8.7pp
Under 76.5
42.3%
@ 1.85-8.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.78
Fordham total 80.5Actual: Fordham under 80.5
Over 80.5
41.7%
@ 2.67+7.8pp
Under 80.5
58.3%
@ 1.37-7.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.67
Under
Betano
1.37
Iona total 59.5Actual: Iona over 59.5
Over 59.5
73.7%
@ 1.38+8.2pp
Under 59.5
26.3%
@ 2.62-8.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Under
Betano
2.62
Iona total 63.5 · main lineActual: Iona over 63.5
Over 63.5
59.3%
@ 1.85+9.3pp
Under 63.5
40.7%
@ 1.87-9.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
Betano
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Iona total 67.5Actual: Iona over 67.5
Over 67.5
43.6%
@ 2.60+8.8pp
Under 67.5
56.4%
@ 1.39-8.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.60
Under
Betano
1.39

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Fordham -15.5Actual: Iona +15.5
FORD -15.5
38.9%
@ 2.32-0.9pp
IONA +15.5
61.1%
@ 1.53+0.9pp
Best 5 market prices
FORD
Betano
2.32
IONA
Betano
1.53
Spread Fordham -12.5 · main lineActual: Iona +12.5
FORD -12.5
49.5%
@ 1.91-0.1pp
IONA +12.5
50.5%
@ 1.87+0.1pp
Best 5 market prices
FORD
Betano
1.91
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.83
IONA
Betano
1.87
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.80
Spread Fordham -9.5Actual: Iona +9.5
FORD -9.5
60.2%
@ 1.55+0.8pp
IONA +9.5
39.8%
@ 2.27-0.8pp
Best 5 market prices
FORD
Betano
1.55
IONA
Betano
2.27

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.8-5.81st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: +0.8+0.8
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.8-5.81st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: +0.8+0.8
FordhamIona
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
FordhamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A11/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A14/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H19/02
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H21/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A28/02
NCAA
La Salle
#346
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A04/03
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H07/03
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
17-38
17
38
-21
H12/03
NCAA
Kansas
#21
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A03/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#282
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H06/11
NCAA
61.8Avg total
28.0Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 66.5
Last 30 (30)30.631.261.8-0.650%30%
Last 30 at home (18)30.928.359.2+2.661%17%
Last 30 away (12)30.235.665.8-5.433%50%
Last 10 (10)28.033.861.8-5.820%30%
Last 5 (5)28.037.065.0-9.00%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)26.239.866.0-13.50%50%
vs Similar ◀ (16)28.530.659.1-2.144%25%
vs Weaker (8)34.829.063.8+5.875%25%
This opponent (Iona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canisius
#327
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A14/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A15/02
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H21/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A22/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H28/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A01/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H05/03
NCAA
Vermont
#268
L
21-29
21
29
-8
H03/11
NCAA
NJIT
#335
W
39-19
39
19
+20
H06/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#34
L
23-54
23
54
-31
A08/11
NCAA
63.0Avg total
31.3Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 66.5
Last 30 (30)33.032.965.9+0.153%47%
Last 30 at home (15)33.830.364.1+3.560%47%
Last 30 away (15)32.235.567.7-3.347%47%
Last 10 (10)31.331.763.0-0.440%30%
Last 5 (5)29.432.461.8-3.040%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)25.640.265.8-14.60%40%
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.434.168.5+0.250%57%
vs Weaker (11)34.628.062.6+6.682%36%
This opponent (Fordham) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Fordham win
FORD win
no forecast
@ 1.22
IONA win
no forecast
@ 4.40
1st half Spread Fordham -7 · main lineActual: Iona +7
FORD -7
no forecast
@ 1.83
IONA +7
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Over/Under 66.5 · main lineActual: Over 66.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
Fordham 1st half total 36.5 · main lineActual: Fordham over 36.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
Iona 1st half total 29.5 · main lineActual: Iona over 29.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Over/Under 64.5Actual: Over 64.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.60
Under
no forecast
@ 2.18
1st half Over/Under 68.5Actual: Over 68.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.15
Under
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half Spread Fordham -8.5Actual: Iona +8.5
FORD -8.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
IONA +8.5
no forecast
@ 1.65
1st half Spread Fordham -5.5Actual: Fordham -5.5
FORD -5.5
no forecast
@ 1.67
IONA +5.5
no forecast
@ 2.18
1st half Over/Under 62.5Actual: Over 62.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.44
Under
no forecast
@ 2.57
1st half Over/Under 70.5Actual: Over 70.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.55
Under
no forecast
@ 1.44
1st half Spread Fordham -9.5Actual: Iona +9.5
FORD -9.5
no forecast
@ 2.32
IONA +9.5
no forecast
@ 1.53
1st half Spread Fordham -4.5Actual: Fordham -4.5
FORD -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.53
IONA +4.5
no forecast
@ 2.32
1st half Spread Fordham -10.5Actual: Iona +10.5
FORD -10.5
no forecast
@ 2.57
IONA +10.5
no forecast
@ 1.44
1st half Spread Fordham -3.5Actual: Fordham -3.5
FORD -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.44
IONA +3.5
no forecast
@ 2.57
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Fordham (regulation)
FORD
no forecast
@ 1.25
Draw
no forecast
@ 26.00
IONA
no forecast
@ 4.72

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
FORD win + total 139.5
🔒 Pro
IONA win + total 139.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: FORD leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 135.570.6%1.53
Betano
1.53		----+10.3ppWon
Over 134.572.7%1.47
Betano
1.47		----+10.0ppWon
Over 133.574.7%1.42
Betano
1.42		----+9.6ppWon
Over 132.576.6%1.37
Betano
1.37		----+9.3ppWon
Fordham over 71.575.7%1.36
Betano
1.36		----+9.1ppWon
Fordham over 72.572.5%1.42
Betano
1.42		----+9.0ppWon
Iona over 60.570.4%1.47
Betano
1.47		----+8.8ppWon
Iona over 59.573.7%1.38
Betano
1.38		----+8.2ppWon
Iona over 58.576.9%1.30
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.29		---+6.5ppWon
Overtime: no97.1%1.02
WilliamHill
1.02
Betano
1.01		---+4.7pp-
Fordham (regulation)84.4%1.12
Betano
1.14
Marathon Bet
1.11		---+4.3ppWon
Iona over 56.582.5%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+3.6ppWon
Iona over 54.587.2%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+3.3ppWon
Iona +19.573.7%1.29
Betano
1.29		----+2.2ppWon
Iona +18.570.8%1.34
Betano
1.34		----+2.1ppWon
Fordham -5.573.6%1.29
Betano
1.29		----+2.0ppWon
Fordham -6.570.4%1.34
Betano
1.34		----+1.7ppLost
Fordham win86.1%1.11
Betano
1.12
Marathon Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
WilliamHill
1.10
BetVictor
1.10		+0.9ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fordham wins
1
Iona wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Iona v Fordham76-71
Fordhamlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HStonehill83-63
03/11/26AKansas65-95
12/03/26HGeorge Washington62-66
07/03/26HRhode Island61-49
04/03/26ALa Salle84-87
28/02/26AVCU Rams63-82
21/02/26HDavidson63-59
19/02/26HLoyola Chicago62-59
14/02/26ARhode Island70-66 OT
11/02/26ASaint Josephs Hawks68-64
Ionalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)65-104
06/11/26HNJIT72-49
03/11/26HVermont56-55
05/03/26HSacred Heart80-91
01/03/26AManhattan69-65
28/02/26HRider80-58
22/02/26AMerrimack Warriors86-88 OT
21/02/26HSt. Peters72-64 OT
15/02/26ANiagara68-70
14/02/26ACanisius69-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fordham
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game74.083.065.0
Allowed / game79.063.095.0
Point differential-5.0+20.0-30.0
Avg total153.0146.0160.0
Over 139.5100%100%100%
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Iona
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game64.364.065.0
Allowed / game69.352.0104.0
Point differential-5.0+12.0-39.0
Avg total133.7116.0169.0
Over 139.533%0%100%
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Richmond Spiders330100%95.358.7+36.7
2 George Washington220100%83.050.0+33.0
3 Rhode Island220100%93.562.5+31.0
4 Loyola Chicago220100%76.552.5+24.0
5 George Mason220100%75.052.5+22.5
6 St. Louis Billikens220100%91.075.5+15.5
7 Davidson220100%82.068.5+13.5
8 Saint Josephs Hawks220100%74.565.0+9.5
9 Duquesne220100%73.064.5+8.5
10 St. Bonaventure21150%79.564.0+15.5
11 Dayton21150%82.569.5+13.0
12 VCU Rams21150%85.080.5+4.5
13 Fordham21150%74.079.0-5.0
14 La Salle21150%71.587.0-15.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sacred Heart32167%88.064.7+23.3
2 Merrimack Warriors32167%65.760.0+5.7
3 Iona32167%64.369.3-5.0
4 Quinnipiac32167%68.076.0-8.0
5 Siena21150%78.574.0+4.5
6 Fairfield21150%67.569.0-1.5
7 Mount St. Mary's21150%60.077.0-17.0
8 Marist31233%70.370.7-0.3
9 Canisius31233%74.381.7-7.3
10 Manhattan31233%64.373.0-8.7
11 St. Peters3030%49.759.3-9.7
12 Rider3030%58.378.7-20.3
13 Niagara2020%56.582.0-25.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fordham433578
Iona373572
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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