Forli vs Ferrara Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Feb 2019

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 68-71

21-16 18-17 16-15 13-23

Position#6

Record13-9

FormLLLWW

Points / game81.4

Allowed / game80.1

Forli

Ferrara 🏆

Position#12

Record8-14

FormLLWWW

Points / game80.8

Allowed / game84.3

A2 EastRound 23

Other2018-19

Meetings · Forli v Ferrara

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ferrara winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Forli

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fortitudo Bologna

95-97 OT

-2

A23/12

A2 East

Mantova

92-85 OT

H30/12

A2 East

Imola

#10

63-74

-11

A06/01

A2 East

Cagliari

#13

87-101

101

-14

H13/01

A2 East

Verona

87-77

+10

A20/01

A2 East

Jesi

#16

71-82

-11

A27/01

A2 East

Roseto

76-84 OT

-8

H30/01

A2 East

Poderosa Montegranaro

72-84

-12

A03/02

A2 East

Ravenna

93-73

+20

H10/02

A2 East

Bakery Piacenza

#15

86-76

+10

A17/02

A2 East

18-25

21-17

21-19

28-27

22-25

20-13

16-14

13-19

17-16

10-21

25-21

11-16

23-25

15-29

23-26

26-21

27-23

17-15

24-19

19-20

15-25

22-17

23-21

11-19

14-21

11-15

21-20

22-12

11-24

21-19

17-28

23-13

29-21

20-18

24-18

20-16

21-18

26-29

19-19

20-10

165.5Avg total

82.2Scored

83.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	81.4	80.1	161.5	+1.3	59%
Season at home (11)	81.8	76.5	158.4	+5.3	73%
Season away (11)	81.0	83.7	164.7	-2.7	45%
Last 10 (10)	82.2	83.3	165.5	-1.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	79.8	159.4	-0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	73.2	83.2	156.4	-10.0	20%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	82.4	79.7	162.1	+2.7	70%
vs Weaker (7)	85.9	78.6	164.4	+7.3	71%

This opponent (Ferrara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ferrara

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Assigeco Piacenza

#11

93-89

A23/12

A2 East

Roseto

59-89

-30

H28/12

A2 East

Ravenna

67-71

-4

A06/01

A2 East

Treviso

72-98

-26

H13/01

A2 East

Baltur Cento

#14

80-89

-9

A20/01

A2 East

Bakery Piacenza

#15

70-82

-12

A27/01

A2 East

Poderosa Montegranaro

95-99 OT

-4

H30/01

A2 East

Cagliari

#13

86-85

A03/02

A2 East

Imola

#10

105-91

105

+14

H10/02

A2 East

Jesi

#16

94-88

H17/02

A2 East

23-19

23-31

24-20

25-19

17-20

11-32

6-18

18-15

16-14

13-18

20-24

19-17

14-34

16-22

23-25

19-14

26-23

14-27

21-25

19-22

17-19

17-15

17-26

22-19

20-25

26-28

17-13

23-12

24-32

19-19

20-22

33-20

30-18

18-28

24-25

27-27

20-19

22-30

25-12

170.2Avg total

82.1Scored

88.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	80.8	84.3	165.1	-3.5	36%
Season at home (11)	85.7	86.2	171.9	-0.5	55%
Season away (11)	75.9	82.4	158.3	-6.5	18%
Last 10 (10)	82.1	88.1	170.2	-6.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	90.0	89.0	179.0	+1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	75.1	88.9	164.0	-13.8	0%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	81.5	84.0	165.5	-2.5	38%
vs Weaker (9)	79.4	72.0	151.4	+7.4	67%

This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ForliFerrara

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	20.9	21.0	42.0	-0.1	59%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.5	55%	-
Last 30 away (11)	21.0	21.7	42.7	-0.7	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	22.3	42.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.8	39.8	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	15.8	21.4	37.2	-5.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.4	21.3	43.7	+1.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.4	20.4	42.9	+2.0	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.0	39.4	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	18.8	40.2	+2.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	18.4	41.2	+4.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	20.0	44.8	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.3	19.9	40.2	+0.4	54%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.4	16.0	36.4	+4.4	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	18.4	19.3	37.7	-0.9	45%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	17.9	18.5	36.5	-0.6	45%	-
Last 30 away (11)	18.9	20.1	39.0	-1.2	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.3	37.6	-1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.4	19.8	38.2	-1.4	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	16.5	17.7	34.2	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.1	21.3	42.4	-0.1	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.1	40.9	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	20.4	39.9	-0.8	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	21.8	41.7	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	22.3	43.0	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	22.6	44.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.2	23.6	42.9	-4.4	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	33%	-

ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fortitudo Bologna

39-42

-3

A23/12

A2 East

Mantova

42-38

H30/12

A2 East

Imola

#10

27-37

-10

A06/01

A2 East

Cagliari

#13

38-54

-16

H13/01

A2 East

Verona

44-38

A20/01

A2 East

Jesi

#16

37-42

-5

A27/01

A2 East

Roseto

25-36

-11

H30/01

A2 East

Poderosa Montegranaro

32-43

-11

A03/02

A2 East

Ravenna

49-39

+10

H10/02

A2 East

Bakery Piacenza

#15

47-47

A17/02

A2 East

79.6Avg total

38.0Scored

41.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	39.3	40.4	79.7	-1.0	41%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	38.7	38.9	77.6	-0.2	55%	-
Last 30 away (11)	39.9	41.8	81.7	-1.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	41.6	79.6	-3.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	41.4	79.4	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	34.2	41.2	75.4	-7.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	38.9	39.0	77.9	-0.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (7)	43.6	41.7	85.3	+1.9	57%	-

This opponent (Ferrara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FerraraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Assigeco Piacenza

#11

46-38

A23/12

A2 East

Roseto

42-39

H28/12

A2 East

Ravenna

34-29

A06/01

A2 East

Treviso

33-51

-18

H13/01

A2 East

Baltur Cento

#14

45-37

A20/01

A2 East

Bakery Piacenza

#15

36-41

-5

A27/01

A2 East

Poderosa Montegranaro

42-44

-2

H30/01

A2 East

Cagliari

#13

47-44

A03/02

A2 East

Imola

#10

63-38

+25

H10/02

A2 East

Jesi

#16

47-46

H17/02

A2 East

84.2Avg total

43.5Scored

40.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	40.2	80.2	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.0	39.1	80.1	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.2	41.1	80.3	-1.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	40.7	84.2	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	42.6	89.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	39.5	44.6	84.1	-5.1	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	40.3	40.2	80.5	+0.2	54%	-
vs Weaker (9)	40.2	36.2	76.4	+4.0	78%	-

This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	20.4	19.1	39.5	+1.3	64%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.1	17.4	37.5	+2.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.7	20.8	41.5	-0.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.5	41.8	+0.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.2	20.4	38.6	-2.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.7	17.6	38.3	+3.1	80%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.6	20.3	41.9	+1.3	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	22.4	41.8	-2.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	25.0	42.9	-7.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	24.0	44.4	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.9	23.1	41.0	-5.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.2	21.8	41.1	-2.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.7	19.2	38.9	+0.4	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+1.1	64%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.4	17.5	37.9	+2.8	82%	-
Last 30 away (11)	18.7	19.4	38.1	-0.6	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	17.3	36.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	14.0	33.2	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.4	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.8	19.1	37.9	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.7	16.6	37.3	+4.1	86%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.3	38.7	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	17.1	37.7	+3.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	21.2	39.6	-2.8	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.0	40.7	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.5	19.4	35.9	-2.9	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.2	21.2	42.3	+0.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.6	16.6	36.1	+3.0	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	40.0	37.5	77.5	+2.4	68%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	40.5	34.9	75.4	+5.5	82%	-
Last 30 away (11)	39.5	40.2	79.6	-0.7	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	37.8	78.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	35.2	75.2	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.6	40.2	77.8	-2.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	39.5	36.7	76.2	+2.8	70%	-
vs Weaker (7)	42.3	36.9	79.1	+5.4	86%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	40.7	79.1	-2.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.0	39.5	79.5	+0.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.1	41.8	78.8	-4.7	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	46.0	83.6	-8.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	43.6	84.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	34.4	42.5	76.9	-8.1	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	40.4	43.0	83.4	-2.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (9)	39.2	35.8	75.0	+3.4	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Forli wins

Ferrara wins

Date	Game	Score
18/11/18	Ferrara v Forli	93-94 OT

Forlilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/02/19	A	Bakery Piacenza	86-76
10/02/19	H	Ravenna	93-73
03/02/19	A	Poderosa Montegranaro	72-84
30/01/19	H	Roseto	76-84 OT
27/01/19	A	Jesi	71-82
20/01/19	A	Verona	87-77
13/01/19	H	Cagliari	87-101
06/01/19	A	Imola	63-74
30/12/18	H	Mantova	92-85 OT
23/12/18	A	Fortitudo Bologna	95-97 OT

Ferraralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/02/19	H	Jesi	94-88
10/02/19	H	Imola	105-91
03/02/19	A	Cagliari	86-85
30/01/19	H	Poderosa Montegranaro	95-99 OT
27/01/19	A	Bakery Piacenza	70-82
20/01/19	A	Baltur Cento	80-89
13/01/19	H	Treviso	72-98
06/01/19	A	Ravenna	67-71
28/12/18	H	Roseto	59-89
23/12/18	A	Assigeco Piacenza	93-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli

A2 East 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	59%
Home	WWLLW	73%
Away	LWLLW	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	59%	73%	45%
Points / game	81.4	81.8	81.0
Allowed / game	80.1	76.5	83.7
Point differential	+1.3	+5.3	-2.7
Avg total	161.5	158.4	164.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	36%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	18%	18%	18%

Ferrara

A2 East 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	36%
Home	LLLWW	55%
Away	WLLLW	18%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	36%	55%	18%
Points / game	80.8	85.7	75.9
Allowed / game	84.3	86.2	82.4
Point differential	-3.5	-0.5	-6.5
Avg total	165.1	171.9	158.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	27%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	0% (2)	40% (5)
Overtime %	9%	18%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Fortitudo Bologna	22	20	2	91%	86.2	75.1	+11.1
2	Poderosa Montegranaro	22	18	4	82%	78.1	71.9	+6.2
3	Treviso	22	16	6	73%	82.1	70.4	+11.7
4	Udine	23	14	9	61%	78.7	74.1	+4.7
5	Verona	23	14	9	61%	79.9	77.6	+2.3
6	Forli	22	13	9	59%	81.4	80.1	+1.3
7	Roseto	23	11	12	48%	81.2	78.3	+2.9
8	Imola	22	10	12	45%	83.6	85.9	-2.3
9	Ravenna	22	10	12	45%	76.7	81.8	-5.0
10	Mantova	22	9	13	41%	77.0	79.6	-2.6
11	Assigeco Piacenza	22	8	14	36%	80.3	79.0	+1.4
12	Ferrara	22	8	14	36%	80.8	84.3	-3.5
13	Jesi	22	7	15	32%	81.8	88.6	-6.9
14	Cagliari	22	7	15	32%	78.3	87.5	-9.2
15	Bakery Piacenza	23	7	16	30%	78.6	83.3	-4.7
16	Baltur Cento	22	6	16	27%	73.0	80.5	-7.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Forli	21	18	16	13	68
Ferrara	16	17	15	23	71

← all games of the day

Forli vs Ferrara Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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