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Fos-sur-Mer vs La Rochelle Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 69-57
15-10 15-24 24-16 15-7
Position#16
Record9-22
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game80.1
Fos-sur-Mer 🏆
France
vs
La Rochelle
France
Position#1
Record27-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game70.4
FrancePro BRound 32· Halle des Sports Parsemain
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fos-sur-Mer v La Rochelle
08 Dec 2026
FSM v LRO
upcoming
28 Apr 2024
FSM69
LRO57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fos-sur-Mer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
La Rochelle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fos-sur-MerFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFos-sur-Mer
Date
Competition
St. Chamond
#12
W
86-78
86
78
+8
97avg 82
H02/03
Pro B
Vichy
#2
W
86-85
86
85
+1
65avg 82
A08/03
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
71-79
71
79
-8
72avg 82
A17/03
Pro B
Poitiers
#11
L
96-98 OT
96
98
-2
no box
H22/03
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
L
68-69
68
69
-1
77avg 82
H26/03
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
L
79-81
79
81
-2
94avg 82
A29/03
Pro B
Rouen
#5
W
83-70
83
70
+13
100avg 82
H05/04
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
80-81
80
81
-1
88avg 82
A09/04
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
L
71-75
71
75
-4
81avg 82
H12/04
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
71-87
71
87
-16
89avg 82
A19/04
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
16-19
21-12
23-17
26-30
20-27
17-20
23-8
17-20
11-17
16-26
27-16
23-14
26-21
22-25
15-26
19-24
20-9
14-21
15-15
17-22
24-25
20-12
18-22
27-15
18-13
21-21
17-21
19-24
24-22
22-17
15-18
23-19
10-20
14-20
24-16
18-18
16-28
17-23
20-18
159.4Avg total
79.1Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)77.680.1157.7-2.429%
Season at home (15)80.380.5160.8-0.333%
Season away (16)75.279.6154.8-4.425%
Last 10 (10)79.180.3159.4-1.230%
Last 5 (5)76.878.8155.6-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)73.180.7153.9-7.614%
vs Similar (23)78.379.0157.3-0.735%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRochelle
Date
Competition
Denain-Voltaire
#15
W
83-66
83
66
+17
85avg 89
H01/03
Pro B
Angers
#18
W
79-56
79
56
+23
77avg 89
A08/03
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
W
87-73
87
73
+14
102avg 89
H15/03
Pro B
Orleans
#4
W
76-64
76
64
+12
92avg 89
H22/03
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
69-72
69
72
-3
77avg 89
A26/03
Pro B
Lille
#10
W
65-63
65
63
+2
76avg 89
H29/03
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
75-69
75
69
+6
92avg 89
A05/04
Pro B
Poitiers
#11
W
89-64
89
64
+25
103avg 89
H09/04
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
82-79
82
79
+3
94avg 89
A12/04
Pro B
Vichy
#2
W
87-74
87
74
+13
104avg 89
H19/04
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
19-14
23-18
21-19
20-13
19-12
16-13
24-18
22-23
31-15
21-13
13-22
27-12
20-17
13-18
16-17
23-14
13-11
16-20
17-27
18-20
13-11
17-14
17-18
22-11
15-25
13-12
25-21
30-24
22-9
25-10
12-21
19-14
19-26
13-21
31-18
23-16
25-23
21-22
18-13
147.2Avg total
79.2Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)80.070.4150.4+9.687%
Season at home (16)82.669.1151.7+13.4100%
Season away (15)77.371.7149.1+5.673%
Last 10 (10)79.268.0147.2+11.290%
Last 5 (5)79.669.8149.4+9.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)79.067.5146.5+11.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)80.070.4150.4+9.786%
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
Fos-sur-MerLa Rochelle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fos-sur-MerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Chamond
#12
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H02/03
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A08/03
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A17/03
Pro B
Poitiers
#11
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H22/03
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H26/03
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A29/03
Pro B
Rouen
#5
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H05/04
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A09/04
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H12/04
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A19/04
Pro B
81.7Avg total
40.0Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.278.4+0.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.137.678.7+3.650%-
Last 30 away (16)37.540.678.1-3.119%-
Last 10 (10)40.041.781.7-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.280.4-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)40.043.383.3-3.314%-
vs Similar (23)39.037.976.9+1.039%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denain-Voltaire
#15
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H01/03
Pro B
Angers
#18
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A08/03
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H15/03
Pro B
Orleans
#4
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H22/03
Pro B
Antibes
#8
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A26/03
Pro B
Lille
#10
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H29/03
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A05/04
Pro B
Poitiers
#11
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H09/04
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A12/04
Pro B
Vichy
#2
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H19/04
Pro B
74.5Avg total
42.0Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.235.076.1+6.280%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.434.277.7+9.294%-
Last 30 away (14)38.635.874.4+2.864%-
Last 10 (10)42.032.574.5+9.580%-
Last 5 (5)41.235.877.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)44.031.075.0+13.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)41.035.276.2+5.779%-
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fos-sur-Mertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fos-sur-Mer: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.2
50.8%
51.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.0
33.9%
33.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.115.1
71.6%
72.2%15.1
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
La Rochelletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Rochelle: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.3
51.1%
51.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.7
34.4%
33.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.515.8
81.0%
72.2%15.8
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fos-sur-Mer
LLLWLLLLWW
La Rochelle
WWWWWLWWWW
#16
League position
#1
-1.8
Net rating
+15.1
103.0
Offensive rating
103.1
104.7
Defensive rating
88.0
50.8%
Effective FG%
51.3%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
42.8%
21.0%
Turnover %
17.0%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
19.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.9%
3-point %
34.4%
63.7%
Assist %
71.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 103.1Defence104.7 · 88.0Shooting50.8% · 51.3%3-point %33.9% · 34.4%Ball care21.0% · 17.0%Off. rebounds30.6% · 19.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Fos-sur-Mer   ■ La Rochelle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fos-sur-Mer wins
1
La Rochelle wins
DateGameScore
15/12/23La Rochelle v Fos-sur-Mer76-55
Fos-sur-Merlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/24APau-Orthez71-87
12/04/24HDenain-Voltaire71-75
09/04/24AAntibes80-81
05/04/24HRouen83-70
29/03/24AChalons-Reims79-81
26/03/24HBoulazac68-69
22/03/24HPoitiers96-98 OT
17/03/24AOrleans71-79
08/03/24AVichy86-85
02/03/24HSt. Chamond86-78
La Rochellelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/24HVichy87-74
12/04/24AAix Maurienne82-79
09/04/24HPoitiers89-64
05/04/24AASA75-69
29/03/24HLille65-63
26/03/24AAntibes69-72
22/03/24HOrleans76-64
15/03/24HChalons-Reims87-73
08/03/24AAngers79-56
01/03/24HDenain-Voltaire83-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fos-sur-Mer
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game77.680.375.2
Allowed / game80.180.579.6
Point differential-2.4-0.3-4.4
Avg total157.7160.8154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%13%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (12)0% (4)25% (8)
Overtime %13%13%12%
La Rochelle
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW87%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %87%100%73%
Points / game80.082.677.3
Allowed / game70.469.171.7
Point differential+9.6+13.4+5.6
Avg total150.4151.7149.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%69%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)100% (2)57% (7)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 La Rochelle3127487%80.070.4+9.6
2 Vichy3124777%84.877.6+7.3
3 Boulazac31201165%78.274.8+3.5
4 Rouen31191261%83.181.0+2.1
5 Orleans31191261%81.580.6+0.9
6 Chalons-Reims31171455%80.277.6+2.5
7 Pau-Orthez31161552%80.178.8+1.3
8 Poitiers32161650%81.181.8-0.8
9 Lille31141745%75.375.8-0.5
10 ASA31141745%78.579.2-0.6
11 Antibes31141745%81.283.0-1.8
12 St. Chamond32141844%81.882.9-1.1
13 Nantes32131941%81.783.5-1.8
14 Denain-Voltaire32131941%76.880.2-3.4
15 Aix Maurienne31121939%81.585.3-3.8
16 Evreux31102132%78.483.0-4.6
17 Angers31102132%79.785.7-6.1
18 Fos-sur-Mer3192229%77.680.1-2.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fos-sur-Mer1515241569
La Rochelle102416757
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