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Fos-sur-Mer vs Strasbourg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 87-65
21-23 18-16 25-16 23-10
Position#18
Record8-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#8
Record13-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game83.1
FranceLNBRound 24
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Fos-sur-Mer v Strasbourg
23 Apr 2023
FSM87
STR65
11 Mar 2022
FSM64
STR71
16 Nov 2018
FSM74
STR82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fos-sur-Mer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Strasbourg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fos-sur-MerFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFos-sur-Mer
Date
Competition
Ada Blois
#16
W
77-73
77
73
+4
80avg 74
H27/01
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#17
L
63-74
63
74
-11
58avg 74
A04/02
LNB
Roanne
#11
W
93-89 OT
93
89
+4
no box
A10/02
LNB
Le Mans
#6
W
71-68
71
68
+3
62avg 74
H03/03
LNB
Dijon
#4
W
97-95
97
95
+2
94avg 74
A10/03
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
74-80
74
80
-6
68avg 74
H25/03
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
63-69
63
69
-6
56avg 74
H31/03
LNB
Paris
#10
L
97-100
97
100
-3
85avg 74
A05/04
LNB
Nanterre
#14
L
88-93
88
93
-5
87avg 74
A08/04
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
83-98
83
98
-15
73avg 74
A16/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-12
15-15
25-23
23-23
17-19
15-23
11-19
20-13
28-24
21-20
11-27
21-10
18-30
22-13
17-10
14-15
31-15
16-31
21-23
29-26
22-12
14-29
20-23
18-16
17-15
17-21
17-21
12-12
24-27
23-22
25-22
25-29
31-18
22-29
15-17
20-29
20-24
26-22
13-29
24-23
164.5Avg total
80.6Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.583.0159.6-6.529%
Season at home (13)74.878.3153.1-3.546%
Season away (15)78.187.1165.2-9.113%
Last 10 (10)80.683.9164.5-3.340%
Last 5 (5)81.088.0169.0-7.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)76.383.6159.9-7.326%
vs Similar (7)77.680.1157.7-2.643%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Strasbourg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StrasbourgFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStrasbourg
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#8
L
69-85
69
85
-16
no box
A19/03
French Cup
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
63-71
63
71
-8
53avg 77
H22/03
Champions League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
90-91
90
91
-1
84avg 77
H25/03
LNB
Ada Blois
#16
L
85-95
85
95
-10
79avg 77
H01/04
LNB
Bonn
#1
W
77-76
77
76
+1
no box
A05/04
Champions League
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
80-93
80
93
-13
64avg 77
A08/04
LNB
Bonn
#1
L
66-76
66
76
-10
57avg 77
H11/04
Champions League
Dijon
#4
W
93-75
93
75
+18
67avg 77
H15/04
LNB
Bonn
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A18/04
Champions League
Monaco
#1
W
98-89 OT
98
89
+9
no box
A20/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-30
28-14
13-21
11-20
15-22
19-23
12-13
17-13
26-20
20-26
18-13
26-32
13-29
26-18
16-25
30-23
22-25
18-17
20-16
17-18
24-26
17-23
21-24
18-20
17-18
11-23
20-23
18-12
17-20
27-23
30-17
19-15
26-21
20-23
19-19
12-20
29-19
25-20
13-23
20-25
163.2Avg total
79.8Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.983.1165.0-1.146%
Season at home (15)84.181.6165.7+2.560%
Season away (13)79.484.8164.2-5.431%
Last 10 (10)79.883.4163.2-3.630%
Last 5 (5)82.883.2166.0-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.979.4157.3-1.643%
vs Similar (16)85.884.9170.7+0.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)82.380.7163.0+1.657%
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
Fos-sur-MerStrasbourg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fos-sur-MerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ada Blois
#16
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H27/01
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#17
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A04/02
LNB
Roanne
#11
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A10/02
LNB
Le Mans
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H03/03
LNB
Dijon
#4
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A10/03
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H25/03
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H31/03
LNB
Paris
#10
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A05/04
LNB
Nanterre
#14
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A08/04
LNB
Monaco
#1
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A16/04
LNB
83.4Avg total
41.3Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.842.580.4-4.727%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.639.976.5-3.229%-
Last 30 away (16)38.944.983.8-6.025%-
Last 10 (10)41.342.183.4-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.887.0-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.043.580.5-6.517%-
vs Similar (7)40.639.480.0+1.157%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Strasbourg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StrasbourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A19/03
French Cup
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H22/03
Champions League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H25/03
LNB
Ada Blois
#16
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H01/04
LNB
Bonn
#1
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A05/04
Champions League
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A08/04
LNB
Bonn
#1
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H11/04
Champions League
Dijon
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H15/04
LNB
Bonn
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A18/04
Champions League
Monaco
#1
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A20/04
LNB
85.7Avg total
41.7Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.043.086.0-0.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.144.187.2-1.133%-
Last 30 away (15)42.941.984.9+1.047%-
Last 10 (10)41.744.085.7-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)42.643.285.8-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.943.085.9-0.143%-
vs Similar (16)42.944.186.9-1.231%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)43.440.784.1+2.757%-
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fos-sur-Mertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fos-sur-Mer: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.3
55.0%
53.7%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.1
30.7%
35.3%21.3
🏀 Free throws21.414.8
69.2%
75.2%14.8
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Strasbourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Strasbourg: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.721.5
54.2%
53.7%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.5
33.7%
35.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws15.311.4
74.5%
75.2%11.4
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fos-sur-Mer
LLLLLWWWLW
Strasbourg
WLWLLWLLLL
#18
League position
#8
-5.8
Net rating
+1.4
107.8
Offensive rating
110.5
113.5
Defensive rating
109.1
51.7%
Effective FG%
52.8%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
20.1%
Turnover %
17.6%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.7%
3-point %
33.7%
58.1%
Assist %
62.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 110.5Defence113.5 · 109.1Shooting51.7% · 52.8%3-point %30.7% · 33.7%Ball care20.1% · 17.6%Off. rebounds33.2% · 33.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Fos-sur-Mer   ■ Strasbourg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fos-sur-Mer wins
5
Strasbourg wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/23AMonaco83-98
08/04/23ANanterre88-93
05/04/23AParis97-100
31/03/23HGravelines-Dunkerque63-69
25/03/23HLyon-Villeurbanne74-80
10/03/23ADijon97-95
03/03/23HLe Mans71-68
10/02/23ARoanne93-89 OT
04/02/23APau-Orthez63-74
27/01/23HAda Blois77-73
Strasbourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/23AMonaco98-89 OT
18/04/23ABonn77-83
15/04/23HDijon93-75
11/04/23HBonn66-76
08/04/23ABoulogne-Levallois80-93
05/04/23ABonn77-76
01/04/23HAda Blois85-95
25/03/23HGravelines-Dunkerque90-91
22/03/23HHapoel Jerusalem63-71
19/03/23ALyon-Villeurbanne69-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fos-sur-Mer
LNB 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeLWWLL46%
AwayWWLLL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %29%46%13%
Points / game76.574.878.1
Allowed / game83.078.387.1
Point differential-6.5-3.5-9.1
Avg total159.6153.1165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)67% (6)25% (8)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Strasbourg
LNB 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW46%
HomeLWLLW60%
AwayLLLLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %46%60%31%
Points / game81.984.179.4
Allowed / game83.181.684.8
Point differential-1.1+2.5-5.4
Avg total165.0165.7164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco3125681%89.479.5+9.8
2 Boulogne-Levallois29191066%86.384.0+2.3
3 Lyon-Villeurbanne28181064%84.776.5+8.1
4 JL Bourg28171161%86.584.4+2.1
5 Cholet28171161%83.282.0+1.2
6 Dijon30181260%86.884.6+2.2
7 Le Mans29151452%87.684.0+3.5
8 Gravelines-Dunkerque30151550%79.280.4-1.3
9 Roanne29141548%91.390.4+0.9
10 Paris29141548%87.289.4-2.2
11 Strasbourg28131546%81.983.1-1.1
12 Limoges29131645%77.579.9-2.3
13 Le Portel29121741%78.879.4-0.7
14 Nanterre29121741%80.683.6-3.0
15 Ada Blois29111838%81.687.5-5.9
16 Nancy29101934%81.885.3-3.6
17 Pau-Orthez2891932%78.783.0-4.3
18 Fos-sur-Mer2882029%76.583.0-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fos-sur-Mer2118252387
Strasbourg2316161065
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