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Fos-sur-Mer vs Le Mans Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 71-68
18-30 22-13 17-10 14-15
Position#18
Record6-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game82.0
Fos-sur-Mer 🏆
France
vs
Le Mans
France
Position#6
Record12-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game84.1
FranceLNBRound 22
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Fos-sur-Mer v Le Mans
03 Mar 2023
FSM71
LMA68
22 Jan 2022
FSM57
LMA66
03 May 2019
FSM68
LMA88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fos-sur-Mer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Le Mans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fos-sur-MerFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFos-sur-Mer
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#17
W
83-75
83
75
+8
76avg 77
H09/12
LNB
Nancy
#13
W
89-53
89
53
+36
94avg 77
H16/12
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
58-83
58
83
-25
56avg 77
A23/12
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
53-97
53
97
-44
38avg 77
H27/12
LNB
Paris
#10
L
65-72
65
72
-7
53avg 77
H06/01
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
L
68-69
68
69
-1
60avg 77
A14/01
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
82-83
82
83
-1
65avg 77
H18/01
LNB
Ada Blois
#16
W
77-73
77
73
+4
80avg 77
H27/01
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#17
L
63-74
63
74
-11
58avg 77
A04/02
LNB
Roanne
#11
W
93-89 OT
93
89
+4
no box
A10/02
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
24-17
17-13
23-19
19-11
26-18
25-11
19-13
8-22
15-21
16-14
19-26
17-32
11-16
13-18
12-31
21-14
14-24
18-18
12-16
14-26
10-14
24-16
20-13
21-30
10-22
30-16
21-15
14-12
15-15
25-23
23-23
17-19
15-23
11-19
20-13
28-24
21-20
11-27
21-10
149.9Avg total
73.1Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.882.0156.8-7.229%
Season at home (10)76.480.1156.5-3.750%
Season away (11)73.383.7157.0-10.59%
Last 10 (10)73.176.8149.9-3.740%
Last 5 (5)76.677.6154.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)76.084.4160.4-8.425%
vs Similar (10)80.779.0159.7+1.760%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Le Mans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Le MansFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMans
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#14
W
85-74
85
74
+11
77avg 86
A23/12
LNB
Nancy
#13
W
96-82
96
82
+14
99avg 86
H27/12
LNB
Ada Blois
#16
W
100-85
100
85
+15
no box
H08/01
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
W
95-91
95
91
+4
88avg 86
A16/01
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
89-92
89
92
-3
80avg 86
A21/01
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#17
W
97-75
97
75
+22
101avg 86
H28/01
LNB
Cholet
#7
W
103-83
103
83
+20
103avg 86
A04/02
LNB
Nancy
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
no box
A07/02
French Cup
Cholet
#6
W
84-77
84
77
+7
no box
A17/02
Leaders Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
65-90
65
90
-25
no box
H18/02
Leaders Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-12
22-21
22-25
14-16
22-21
33-24
26-13
15-24
24-28
23-13
23-32
30-12
27-29
29-16
15-22
24-24
21-21
26-22
15-31
27-18
14-20
31-12
28-12
24-31
36-21
24-26
26-19
17-17
23-21
26-26
19-21
18-10
28-12
21-21
16-28
19-16
21-26
8-22
21-20
15-22
172.7Avg total
90.0Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)89.484.1173.5+5.360%
Season at home (10)91.583.4174.9+8.160%
Season away (10)87.384.8172.1+2.560%
Last 10 (10)90.082.7172.7+7.380%
Last 5 (5)87.080.6167.6+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.889.2168.0-10.525%
vs Similar (10)87.883.5171.3+4.340%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.378.5166.7+9.873%
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
Fos-sur-MerLe Mans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fos-sur-MerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#17
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H09/12
LNB
Nancy
#13
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H16/12
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A23/12
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H27/12
LNB
Paris
#10
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H06/01
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A14/01
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
31-52
31
52
-21
H18/01
LNB
Ada Blois
#16
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H27/01
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#17
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A04/02
LNB
Roanne
#11
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A10/02
LNB
74.5Avg total
33.9Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.241.579.7-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.341.079.3-2.743%-
Last 30 away (16)38.141.980.0-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)33.940.674.5-6.730%-
Last 5 (5)33.041.074.0-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.643.481.0-5.825%-
vs Similar (10)39.437.777.1+1.760%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Le Mans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Le MansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#14
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A23/12
LNB
Nancy
#13
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H27/12
LNB
Ada Blois
#16
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H08/01
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A16/01
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A21/01
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#17
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H28/01
LNB
Cholet
#7
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A04/02
LNB
Nancy
#7
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A07/02
French Cup
Cholet
#6
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A17/02
Leaders Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H18/02
Leaders Cup
90.0Avg total
48.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.341.185.4+3.267%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.742.888.5+2.971%-
Last 30 away (16)43.039.682.6+3.462%-
Last 10 (10)48.641.490.0+7.290%-
Last 5 (5)46.441.487.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.246.286.5-6.025%-
vs Similar (10)42.741.484.1+1.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)46.140.186.1+6.080%-
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fos-sur-Mertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fos-sur-Mer: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.019.1
47.8%
53.7%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.2
29.5%
35.3%18.6
🏀 Free throws19.113.2
69.1%
75.2%13.2
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Le Manstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Le Mans: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.624.0
53.8%
53.7%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.77.9
38.2%
35.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws21.016.9
80.5%
75.2%16.9
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fos-sur-Mer
WLWLLLLLWW
Le Mans
LWWWWLWWWW
#18
League position
#6
-6.4
Net rating
+7.7
97.8
Offensive rating
115.4
104.2
Defensive rating
107.7
46.6%
Effective FG%
54.9%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
22.5%
Turnover %
21.0%
35.2%
Off. rebound %
40.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.5%
3-point %
38.2%
59.7%
Assist %
65.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 115.4Defence104.2 · 107.7Shooting46.6% · 54.9%3-point %29.5% · 38.2%Ball care22.5% · 21.0%Off. rebounds35.2% · 40.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Fos-sur-Mer   ■ Le Mans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Fos-sur-Mer wins
4
Le Mans wins
DateGameScore
24/09/22Le Mans v Fos-sur-Mer101-83
02/04/22Le Mans v Fos-sur-Mer93-99
22/01/22Fos-sur-Mer v Le Mans57-66
03/05/19Fos-sur-Mer v Le Mans68-88
27/12/18Le Mans v Fos-sur-Mer108-84
Fos-sur-Merlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/23ARoanne93-89 OT
04/02/23APau-Orthez63-74
27/01/23HAda Blois77-73
18/01/23HBoulogne-Levallois82-83
14/01/23AJL Bourg68-69
06/01/23HParis65-72
27/12/22HMonaco53-97
23/12/22AGravelines-Dunkerque58-83
16/12/22HNancy89-53
09/12/22HPau-Orthez83-75
Le Manslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23HLyon-Villeurbanne65-90
17/02/23ACholet84-77
07/02/23ANancy86-78
04/02/23ACholet103-83
28/01/23HPau-Orthez97-75
21/01/23AStrasbourg89-92
16/01/23ALyon-Villeurbanne95-91
08/01/23HAda Blois100-85
27/12/22HNancy96-82
23/12/22ANanterre85-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fos-sur-Mer
LNB 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW29%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLLLLW9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %29%50%9%
Points / game74.876.473.3
Allowed / game82.080.183.7
Point differential-7.2-3.7-10.5
Avg total156.8156.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)60% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %10%10%9%
Le Mans
LNB 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW60%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game89.491.587.3
Allowed / game84.183.484.8
Point differential+5.3+8.1+2.5
Avg total173.5174.9172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %15%10%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco2117481%89.680.5+9.0
2 Boulogne-Levallois2115671%88.384.5+3.8
3 Cholet2114767%84.081.4+2.6
4 Dijon2113862%88.385.6+2.8
5 Le Mans2012860%89.484.1+5.3
6 JL Bourg2112957%85.185.2-0.1
7 Lyon-Villeurbanne2011955%85.878.4+7.3
8 Roanne21111052%91.889.6+2.2
9 Gravelines-Dunkerque21101148%78.880.4-1.6
10 Limoges21101148%77.779.5-1.8
11 Strasbourg21101148%80.082.3-2.3
12 Le Portel2181338%79.378.9+0.4
13 Pau-Orthez2181338%80.783.6-2.9
14 Nanterre2181338%80.283.3-3.1
15 Nancy2181338%81.184.6-3.5
16 Paris2181338%87.891.7-3.9
17 Ada Blois2171433%82.889.1-6.3
18 Fos-sur-Mer2161529%74.882.0-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fos-sur-Mer1822171471
Le Mans3013101568
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