PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Frankston vs NW Tasmania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 May 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 91-90
26-29 15-19 24-21 26-21
Position#12
Record3-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game84.6
vs
Position#18
Record3-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game83.7
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Frankston v NW Tasmania
03 May 2025
FRAN91
NW T90
18 Jun 2022
FRAN91
NW T59
01 May 2021
FRAN78
NW T86
04 May 2019
FRAN103
NW T90
29 Apr 2017
FRAN87
NW T84
04 Jun 2016
FRAN86
NW T58
23 May 2015
FRAN102
NW T103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Frankston winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NW Tasmania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FrankstonAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#12
W
98-66
98
66
+32
A06/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
90-79
90
79
+11
A09/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H12/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
97-58
97
58
+39
H20/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H03/08
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
103-80
103
80
+23
H29/03
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
74-95
74
95
-21
A07/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H11/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A13/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
97-86
97
86
+11
H24/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
25-9
21-11
26-22
23-22
24-20
22-20
21-17
26-18
21-22
26-17
21-18
28-17
22-10
33-17
14-14
15-14
19-23
16-23
24-16
29-15
25-24
25-21
24-20
16-25
18-25
23-28
17-17
33-29
23-18
21-15
17-13
19-23
18-14
22-31
25-19
31-17
25-20
22-15
19-34
168.2Avg total
90.5Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.484.6175.0+5.860%
Season at home (3)98.080.3178.3+17.7100%
Season away (2)79.091.0170.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)90.577.7168.2+12.870%
Last 5 (5)90.484.6175.0+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)103.080.0183.0+23.0100%
vs Similar (7)87.188.9176.0-1.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)93.279.9173.1+13.368%
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NW TasmaniaAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#16
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
H29/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
96-85
96
85
+11
H06/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A13/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A14/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
88-104
88
104
-16
A05/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A06/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
88-94
88
94
-6
H11/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
85-84
85
84
+1
H12/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H25/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
98-53
98
53
+45
H26/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
23-21
20-15
8-12
25-24
25-22
19-16
27-23
18-21
22-19
7-15
24-20
20-25
18-26
23-13
14-17
15-28
20-28
19-26
34-22
26-23
18-21
22-13
24-24
28-16
21-24
12-27
27-27
27-19
16-22
21-21
21-22
16-17
23-22
23-20
20-27
22-13
24-19
22-8
30-13
167.4Avg total
85.0Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.583.7172.2+4.850%
Season at home (4)88.279.2167.5+9.050%
Season away (2)89.092.5181.5-3.550%
Last 10 (10)85.082.4167.4+2.640%
Last 5 (5)88.679.6168.2+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)80.289.2169.3-9.028%
vs Similar (10)87.283.8171.0+3.450%
vs Weaker (2)87.082.0169.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Frankston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
FrankstonNW Tasmania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FrankstonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#12
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A06/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A09/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H12/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H20/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H03/08
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H29/03
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A07/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H11/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A13/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
56-37
56
37
+19
H24/04
NBL1 South
85.5Avg total
46.6Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.241.688.8+5.670%-
Last 30 at home (17)50.041.691.6+8.482%-
Last 30 away (13)43.641.685.2+2.054%-
Last 10 (10)46.638.985.5+7.770%-
Last 5 (5)47.442.089.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)54.039.093.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar (7)45.745.391.0+0.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)47.440.588.0+6.973%-
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#16
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H29/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H06/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A13/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A14/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A05/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A06/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H11/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H12/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H25/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H26/04
NBL1 South
86.2Avg total
42.8Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.645.788.3-3.230%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.244.689.8+0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)39.647.086.6-7.40%-
Last 10 (10)42.843.486.2-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.283.4+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)42.446.789.2-4.328%-
vs Similar (10)42.444.386.7-1.930%-
vs Weaker (2)44.544.088.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Frankston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Frankston wins
4
NW Tasmania wins
Frankstonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/25HDandenong97-86
13/04/25AKeilor Thunder84-87
11/04/25HDiamond Valley94-75
07/04/25ARingwood74-95
29/03/25HSandringham Sabres103-80
03/08/24HEltham74-76
20/07/24HBallarat97-58
12/07/24HHobart Chargers94-75
09/07/24ASandringham Sabres90-79
06/07/24AWaverley98-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25HKeilor Thunder98-53
25/04/25HGeelong82-86
12/04/25HKilsyth85-84
11/04/25HBallarat88-94
06/04/25ABendigo Braves90-81
05/04/25AWaverley88-104
14/07/24ADandenong75-81
13/07/24ANunawading71-75
06/07/24HBendigo Braves96-85
29/06/24HKilsyth77-81 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Frankston
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game90.498.079.0
Allowed / game84.680.391.0
Point differential+5.8+17.7-12.0
Avg total175.0178.3170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
NW Tasmania
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game88.588.289.0
Allowed / game83.779.292.5
Point differential+4.8+9.0-3.5
Avg total172.2167.5181.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier65183%95.272.0+23.2
2 Knox65183%93.880.5+13.3
3 Casey Cavaliers75271%85.478.9+6.6
4 Hobart Chargers64267%83.380.3+3.0
5 Ballarat64267%87.889.0-1.2
6 Melbourne Tigers53260%84.074.8+9.2
7 Frankston53260%90.484.6+5.8
8 Bendigo Braves74357%87.089.9-2.9
9 NW Tasmania63350%88.583.7+4.8
10 Kilsyth84450%80.883.0-2.2
11 Nunawading63350%83.888.0-4.2
12 Geelong73443%81.486.7-5.3
13 Waverley73443%89.694.9-5.3
14 Diamond Valley73443%81.991.7-9.9
15 Eltham52340%88.481.8+6.6
16 Ringwood62433%87.785.5+2.2
17 Keilor Thunder72529%82.193.9-11.7
18 Sandringham Sabres82625%80.590.8-10.2
19 Dandenong71614%88.496.4-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Frankston2615242691
NW Tasmania2919212190
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.