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Frankston W vs Mt. Gambier W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 May 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 99-76
27-13 25-19 24-24 23-20
Position#7
Record3-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game68.2
vs
Position#14
Record2-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game81.1
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Frankston W v Mt. Gambier W
04 May 2025
FRAN99
MT. 76
16 Apr 2023
FRAN63
MT. 86
04 Jun 2022
FRAN65
MT. 81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Frankston W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mt. Gambier W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Frankston WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth W
#17
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H04/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
88-93
88
93
-5
A06/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A09/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
88-72
88
72
+16
H12/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
62-73
62
73
-11
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A07/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
64-82
64
82
-18
H11/04
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A13/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H24/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
20-18
13-26
19-16
22-26
22-14
18-27
26-26
18-13
17-23
21-15
26-26
26-7
20-23
17-18
25-24
17-16
19-15
16-18
10-24
17-23
19-17
18-21
21-8
23-12
16-25
12-24
13-21
13-15
13-12
14-17
14-11
17-12
13-21
18-23
30-8
23-12
22-19
23-12
18-23
147.9Avg total
75.0Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)69.868.2138.0+1.750%
Season at home (4)72.571.2143.8+1.250%
Season away (2)64.562.0126.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)75.072.9147.9+2.150%
Last 5 (5)71.467.2138.6+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.077.5150.5-4.533%
vs Similar (13)70.476.9147.3-6.531%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)76.770.4147.1+6.473%
This opponent (Mt. Gambier W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt. Gambier WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood W
#13
W
93-68
93
68
+25
H12/07
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A20/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
73-92
73
92
-19
H03/08
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
72-112
72
112
-40
A29/03
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
70-100
70
100
-30
A30/03
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
L
60-76
60
76
-16
H04/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H11/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
L
64-76
64
76
-12
H12/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
47-73
47
73
-26
H25/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
W
78-76
78
76
+2
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
27-19
32-21
19-12
26-19
25-19
17-18
18-22
23-27
14-19
18-28
18-18
15-27
18-21
15-31
24-33
23-28
17-29
13-24
17-19
20-13
4-17
23-28
13-18
27-10
14-19
17-9
13-17
8-32
24-16
13-16
19-12
13-23
13-17
10-23
11-10
16-23
20-22
23-13
19-18
152.0Avg total
71.4Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)66.081.1147.1-15.129%
Season at home (4)60.570.0130.5-9.525%
Season away (3)73.396.0169.3-22.733%
Last 10 (10)71.480.6152.0-9.240%
Last 5 (5)64.071.2135.2-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)71.275.8147.0-4.645%
vs Similar (4)79.881.8161.5-2.050%
vs Weaker (15)76.769.7146.3+7.060%
This opponent (Frankston W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
Frankston WMt. Gambier W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Frankston WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth W
#17
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H04/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A06/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A09/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H12/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A07/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H11/04
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
26-27
26
27
-1
A13/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H24/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
71.9Avg total
37.8Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.435.772.0+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.134.570.5+1.659%-
Last 30 away (13)36.837.274.0-0.538%-
Last 10 (10)37.834.171.9+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)35.233.668.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.335.570.8-0.233%-
vs Similar (13)32.837.069.8-4.231%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.134.275.3+6.982%-
This opponent (Mt. Gambier W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt. Gambier WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood W
#13
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H12/07
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A20/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H03/08
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A29/03
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A30/03
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H04/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H11/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H12/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H25/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
77.8Avg total
36.2Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.638.376.8+0.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.334.871.1+1.562%-
Last 30 away (14)41.142.283.4-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)36.241.677.8-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)31.838.470.2-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.537.574.1-1.045%-
vs Similar (4)39.844.083.8-4.250%-
vs Weaker (15)39.737.377.0+2.567%-
This opponent (Frankston W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Frankston W wins
4
Mt. Gambier W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25HLaunceston W86-66
24/04/25HDandenong Rangers W78-64
13/04/25AKeilor Thunder W54-55
11/04/25HDiamond Valley W64-82
07/04/25ARingwood W75-69
29/03/25HSandringham W62-73
12/07/24HHobart Chargers W88-72
09/07/24ASandringham W82-77
06/07/24AWaverley W88-93
04/07/24HKilsyth W73-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25ARingwood W78-76
25/04/25HWaverley W47-73
12/04/25HEltham W64-76
11/04/25HSandringham W71-55
04/04/25HCasey Cavaliers W60-76
30/03/25AKeilor Thunder W70-100
29/03/25AGeelong W72-112
03/08/24HWaverley W73-92
20/07/24AKnox W86-78
12/07/24HRingwood W93-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Frankston W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game69.872.564.5
Allowed / game68.271.262.0
Point differential+1.7+1.2+2.5
Avg total138.0143.8126.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mt. Gambier W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW29%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game66.060.573.3
Allowed / game81.170.096.0
Point differential-15.1-9.5-22.7
Avg total147.1130.5169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W770100%91.366.6+24.7
2 Keilor Thunder W87188%80.269.2+11.0
3 Knox W76186%86.669.1+17.4
4 Dandenong Rangers W75271%86.369.0+17.3
5 Waverley W75271%75.968.4+7.4
6 Diamond Valley W85362%85.282.2+3.0
7 Sandringham W85362%77.476.1+1.2
8 Casey Cavaliers W74357%73.476.7-3.3
9 Frankston W63350%69.868.2+1.7
10 Melbourne Tigers W63350%82.083.5-1.5
11 Ringwood W73443%77.073.3+3.7
12 Ballarat W73443%75.479.6-4.1
13 Nunawading W73443%69.774.7-5.0
14 Hobart Chargers W93633%70.977.4-6.6
15 Eltham W72529%77.682.7-5.1
16 Mt. Gambier W72529%66.081.1-15.1
17 Bendigo Braves W82625%74.883.0-8.2
18 Kilsyth W82625%64.479.9-15.5
19 Launceston W9090%66.481.9-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Frankston W2725242399
Mt. Gambier W1319242076
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