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Mt. Gambier W vs Casey Cavaliers W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 60-76
20-13 4-17 23-28 13-18
Position#14
Record0-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game106.0
vs
Position#11
Record0-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game56.0
Allowed / game98.0
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Mt. Gambier W v Casey Cavaliers W
04 Apr 2025
MT. 60
CASE76
14 Apr 2023
MT. 105
CASE70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt. Gambier W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Casey Cavaliers W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt. Gambier WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H21/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
L
66-84
66
84
-18
A29/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
52-88
52
88
-36
A30/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
65-68
65
68
-3
H05/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
W
108-72
108
72
+36
H06/07
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
W
93-68
93
68
+25
H12/07
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A20/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
73-92
73
92
-19
H03/08
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
72-112
72
112
-40
A29/03
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
70-100
70
100
-30
A30/03
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-11
15-20
15-16
15-19
9-22
24-28
14-13
19-21
13-23
14-23
10-28
15-14
21-16
19-14
14-14
11-24
26-26
24-17
29-10
29-19
15-16
27-19
32-21
19-12
26-19
25-19
17-18
18-22
23-27
14-19
18-28
18-18
15-27
18-21
15-31
24-33
23-28
17-29
13-24
17-19
158.0Avg total
75.2Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.0106.0177.0-35.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)71.0106.0177.0-35.00%
Last 10 (10)75.282.8158.0-7.640%
Last 5 (5)78.890.0168.8-11.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.981.4159.2-3.538%
vs Similar (6)80.080.2160.2-0.250%
vs Weaker (16)78.269.4147.7+8.869%
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casey Cavaliers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading W
#19
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H07/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
57-86
57
86
-29
H16/06
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A22/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
L
80-92
80
92
-12
A28/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
L
83-85
83
85
-2
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
L
63-86
63
86
-23
H06/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
L
61-94
61
94
-33
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
W
109-84
109
84
+25
H13/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
56-98
56
98
-42
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
15-20
20-5
18-20
20-25
20-19
18-22
20-17
12-31
16-20
16-15
13-20
21-17
16-20
14-20
21-24
19-24
19-34
23-17
19-17
16-24
28-21
14-18
25-22
23-19
14-23
17-27
9-17
22-22
11-25
14-30
14-17
18-22
30-29
24-8
37-25
18-25
4-27
17-24
17-22
158.3Avg total
73.1Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)56.098.0154.0-42.00%
Season at home (1)56.098.0154.0-42.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.185.2158.3-12.120%
Last 5 (5)74.489.4163.8-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)75.188.5163.6-13.416%
vs Similar (5)73.674.2147.8-0.640%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Mt. Gambier W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -6.5-6.5Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.8-0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -6.5-6.5Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.8-0.8
Mt. Gambier WCasey Cavaliers W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mt. Gambier WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H21/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A29/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A30/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H05/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H06/07
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H12/07
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A20/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H03/08
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A29/03
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A30/03
NBL1 South Women
81.4Avg total
39.0Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.279.3+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.935.573.4+2.464%-
Last 30 away (16)42.142.484.5-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)39.042.481.4-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.644.885.4-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.540.479.9-0.950%-
vs Similar (6)38.544.583.0-6.033%-
vs Weaker (16)41.136.677.6+4.569%-
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casey Cavaliers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading W
#19
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H07/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
28-51
28
51
-23
H16/06
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A22/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A28/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H06/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H13/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
22-52
22
52
-30
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
82.6Avg total
36.1Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.843.382.1-4.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.544.482.9-5.931%-
Last 30 away (14)39.142.181.2-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)36.146.582.6-10.40%-
Last 5 (5)36.847.484.2-10.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)38.644.482.9-5.828%-
vs Similar (5)39.838.278.0+1.660%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Mt. Gambier W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mt. Gambier W wins
1
Casey Cavaliers W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25AKeilor Thunder W70-100
29/03/25AGeelong W72-112
03/08/24HWaverley W73-92
20/07/24AKnox W86-78
12/07/24HRingwood W93-68
06/07/24HMelbourne Tigers W108-72
05/07/24HKnox W65-68
30/06/24ADandenong Rangers W52-88
29/06/24ANunawading W66-84
21/06/24HHobart Chargers W67-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25HDandenong Rangers W56-98
13/07/24HMelbourne Tigers W109-84
07/07/24ABallarat W61-94
06/07/24HDiamond Valley W63-86
29/06/24HFrankston W83-85
28/06/24AGeelong W80-92
22/06/24AWaverley W72-81
16/06/24HKnox W57-86
15/06/24HEltham W78-83
07/06/24HNunawading W72-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt. Gambier W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game71.0-71.0
Allowed / game106.0-106.0
Point differential-35.0--35.0
Avg total177.0-177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Casey Cavaliers W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game56.056.0-
Allowed / game98.098.0-
Point differential-42.0-42.0-
Avg total154.0154.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W110100%112.072.0+40.0
2 Dandenong Rangers W220100%98.064.5+33.5
3 Knox W110100%76.047.0+29.0
4 Keilor Thunder W220100%95.072.0+23.0
5 Waverley W110100%84.063.0+21.0
6 Hobart Chargers W110100%76.066.0+10.0
7 Bendigo Braves W110100%82.074.0+8.0
8 Sandringham W220100%76.068.0+8.0
9 Ringwood W110100%82.075.0+7.0
10 Melbourne Tigers W1010%74.079.0-5.0
11 Eltham W1010%75.082.0-7.0
12 Ballarat W1010%74.082.0-8.0
13 Launceston W1010%66.076.0-10.0
14 Frankston W1010%62.073.0-11.0
15 Diamond Valley W2020%73.594.0-20.5
16 Nunawading W1010%63.084.0-21.0
17 Kilsyth W1010%47.076.0-29.0
18 Mt. Gambier W2020%71.0106.0-35.0
19 Casey Cavaliers W1010%56.098.0-42.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mt. Gambier W204231360
Casey Cavaliers W1317281876
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