PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Freseros vs Abejas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 78-79
20-20 21-13 25-25 12-21
Position#14
Record3-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game96.5
vs
Abejas 🏆
Mexico
Position#13
Record1-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game94.5
MexicoLNBP· Inforum Irapuato
Other2025-26
Meetings · Freseros v Abejas
29 Jul 2025
FRES61
ABEJ78
28 Jul 2025
FRES78
ABEJ79
02 Sep 2024
FRES99
ABEJ91
01 Sep 2024
FRES102
ABEJ95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Freseros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Abejas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FreserosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panteras
#6
L
77-100
77
100
-23
A20/10
LNBP
Panteras
#6
L
79-98
79
98
-19
A21/10
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
62-82
62
82
-20
H04/07
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H05/07
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
80-123
80
123
-43
A13/07
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
66-122
66
122
-56
A13/07
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
69-96
69
96
-27
H18/07
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H19/07
LNBP
Mineros
#5
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A24/07
LNBP
Mineros
#5
L
61-102
61
102
-41
A25/07
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
18-24
14-23
25-27
24-28
23-23
13-23
19-24
20-11
17-25
7-17
18-29
20-16
16-23
26-23
20-18
23-38
14-30
20-32
23-23
17-31
15-34
13-28
21-29
16-23
24-28
18-21
11-24
20-26
22-21
18-20
26-15
23-26
17-21
26-17
20-21
24-22
21-17
10-25
6-38
171.8Avg total
74.8Scored
97.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.096.5170.5-22.538%
Season at home (4)74.885.0159.8-10.250%
Season away (4)73.2108.0181.2-34.825%
Last 10 (10)74.897.0171.8-22.230%
Last 5 (5)73.697.4171.0-23.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)83.694.0177.6-10.336%
vs Similar (6)89.783.7173.3+6.050%
vs Weaker (2)90.592.5183.0-2.00%
This opponent (Abejas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AbejasMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astros
#3
L
109-120
109
120
-11
H09/10
LNBP
Astros
#3
W
91-87
91
87
+4
H10/10
LNBP
Santos
#11
L
83-84
83
84
-1
H16/10
LNBP
Santos
#11
W
105-98
105
98
+7
H17/10
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
103-98
103
98
+5
H11/07
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
97-114
97
114
-17
H12/07
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A18/07
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A19/07
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
66-84
66
84
-18
H22/07
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
87-95
87
95
-8
H22/07
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-29
29-31
24-27
29-33
24-24
24-20
23-20
20-23
18-23
17-27
28-19
20-15
29-25
27-22
22-23
27-28
30-27
22-29
22-18
29-24
19-34
30-25
23-28
25-27
15-28
22-22
17-19
15-21
24-23
14-20
22-26
23-17
16-17
21-20
17-25
12-22
19-19
26-28
14-22
28-26
184.9Avg total
89.3Scored
95.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.294.5178.7-10.317%
Season at home (4)88.297.8186.0-9.525%
Season away (2)76.088.0164.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)89.395.6184.9-6.330%
Last 5 (5)80.493.8174.2-13.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)87.692.2179.8-4.631%
vs Similar (12)86.690.2176.8-3.725%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)81.079.0160.0+2.050%
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -5.9-5.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -5.9-5.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
FreserosAbejas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FreserosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panteras
#6
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A20/10
LNBP
Panteras
#6
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A21/10
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H04/07
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H05/07
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
37-68
37
68
-31
A13/07
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
32-65
32
65
-33
A13/07
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H18/07
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H19/07
LNBP
Mineros
#5
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A24/07
LNBP
Mineros
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A25/07
LNBP
88.7Avg total
39.4Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.247.891.0-4.527%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.246.291.5-1.038%-
Last 30 away (14)40.949.590.4-8.614%-
Last 10 (10)39.449.388.7-9.920%-
Last 5 (5)39.849.889.6-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)42.748.991.6-6.127%-
vs Similar (6)46.045.791.7+0.317%-
vs Weaker (2)40.542.082.5-1.550%-
This opponent (Abejas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AbejasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astros
#3
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H09/10
LNBP
Astros
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H10/10
LNBP
Santos
#11
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H16/10
LNBP
Santos
#11
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H17/10
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H11/07
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H12/07
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A18/07
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A19/07
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H22/07
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H22/07
LNBP
94.6Avg total
45.3Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.445.990.3-1.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.847.492.2-2.725%-
Last 30 away (14)44.144.188.2-0.143%-
Last 10 (10)45.349.394.6-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)41.247.288.4-6.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)44.246.290.4-2.125%-
vs Similar (12)45.046.291.2-1.242%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)43.041.084.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Freseros wins
2
Abejas wins
DateGameScore
03/09/24Freseros v Abejas99-91
02/09/24Freseros v Abejas102-95
14/10/23Abejas v Freseros102-76
13/10/23Abejas v Freseros84-78
Freseroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/07/25AMineros61-102
24/07/25AMineros86-85
19/07/25HFuerza Regia86-82
18/07/25HFuerza Regia69-96
13/07/25ADiablos Rojos66-122
13/07/25ADiablos Rojos80-123
05/07/25HGambusinos82-80
04/07/25HGambusinos62-82
21/10/24APanteras79-98
20/10/24APanteras77-100
Abejaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/07/25HEl Calor de Cancun87-95
22/07/25HEl Calor de Cancun66-84
19/07/25ACorrecaminos83-86
18/07/25ACorrecaminos69-90
12/07/25HPanteras97-114
11/07/25HPanteras103-98
17/10/24HSantos105-98
16/10/24HSantos83-84
10/10/24HAstros91-87
09/10/24HAstros109-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Freseros
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL38%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game74.074.873.2
Allowed / game96.585.0108.0
Point differential-22.5-10.2-34.8
Avg total170.5159.8181.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Abejas
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %17%25%0%
Points / game84.288.276.0
Allowed / game94.597.888.0
Point differential-10.3-9.5-12.0
Avg total178.7186.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diablos Rojos87188%106.081.9+24.1
2 Soles87188%92.279.4+12.9
3 Astros65183%86.075.0+11.0
4 Mineros86275%94.083.1+10.9
5 Fuerza Regia85362%89.076.9+12.1
6 Dorados85362%84.181.2+2.9
7 Gambusinos84450%82.585.0-2.5
8 El Calor de Cancun94544%81.485.9-4.4
9 Halcones de Xalapa83538%80.082.8-2.8
10 Freseros83538%74.096.5-22.5
11 Correcaminos93633%82.791.4-8.8
12 Abejas61517%84.294.5-10.3
13 Panteras81712%89.998.6-8.8
14 Santos81712%80.092.0-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Freseros2021251278
Abejas2013252179
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.