PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Abejas vs Freseros Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 102-76
31-12 24-24 23-24 24-16
Position#4
Record14-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game80.9
Abejas 🏆
Mexico
vs
Position#13
Record3-16
FormWWLLL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game92.8
MexicoLNBP· Domo de la Feria (León)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Abejas v Freseros
21 Sep 2026
ABEJ83
FRES89
20 Sep 2026
ABEJ97
FRES80
13 Oct 2023
ABEJ102
FRES76
12 Oct 2023
ABEJ84
FRES78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Abejas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Freseros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AbejasMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santos
#5
L
81-83
81
83
-2
H14/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#7
W
98-74
98
74
+24
H17/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#7
W
95-75
95
75
+20
H19/09
LNBP
Mineros
#11
W
95-84
95
84
+11
A24/09
LNBP
Mineros
#11
W
95-85
95
85
+10
A25/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
W
99-86
99
86
+13
H05/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H06/10
LNBP
Dorados
#9
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A08/10
LNBP
Dorados
#9
L
76-90
76
90
-14
A10/10
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H13/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
17-31
21-16
15-20
23-11
30-16
20-21
25-26
27-14
23-22
19-18
26-21
25-17
25-20
19-26
26-21
27-19
24-22
23-18
21-26
32-20
23-22
19-24
25-20
21-17
21-18
23-14
20-31
18-19
28-15
13-21
23-23
19-18
16-20
22-27
19-25
17-13
29-20
17-24
21-21
170.3Avg total
89.0Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)87.380.9168.2+6.374%
Season at home (9)92.780.9173.6+11.889%
Season away (10)82.481.0163.4+1.460%
Last 10 (10)89.081.3170.3+7.780%
Last 5 (5)85.282.4167.6+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)86.680.9167.5+5.681%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)89.279.7168.9+9.579%
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FreserosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Halcones Rojos
#10
L
84-95
84
95
-11
H14/09
LNBP
Soles
#12
W
89-86
89
86
+3
A17/09
LNBP
Soles
#12
L
69-87
69
87
-18
A19/09
LNBP
Plateros
#8
L
88-94
88
94
-6
H24/09
LNBP
Plateros
#8
L
81-98
81
98
-17
H24/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
109-105 OT
109
105
+4
A05/10
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
121-92
121
92
+29
A06/10
LNBP
Libertadores
#2
L
92-95
92
95
-3
H08/10
LNBP
Libertadores
#2
L
76-115
76
115
-39
H10/10
LNBP
Abejas
#4
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A13/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-26
20-19
31-23
26-27
17-28
24-20
20-18
28-20
19-27
13-19
15-19
22-22
26-24
20-28
16-17
26-25
17-25
20-26
21-24
23-23
19-24
27-24
29-22
19-24
27-35
25-24
32-15
37-18
24-25
16-22
27-21
25-27
11-24
22-32
23-32
20-27
13-17
20-29
24-17
21-21
183.8Avg total
88.7Scored
95.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.292.8176.9-8.616%
Season at home (8)84.099.5183.5-15.50%
Season away (11)84.387.9172.2-3.627%
Last 10 (10)88.795.1183.8-6.430%
Last 5 (5)95.298.2193.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)80.792.9173.6-12.10%
vs Similar (2)79.086.5165.5-7.550%
vs Weaker (2)115.098.5213.5+16.5100%
This opponent (Abejas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +7.3+7.3Q1: -7.5-7.5Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +7.3+7.3Q1: -7.5-7.5Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
AbejasFreseros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AbejasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santos
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H14/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#7
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H17/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#7
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H19/09
LNBP
Mineros
#11
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A24/09
LNBP
Mineros
#11
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A25/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H05/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H06/10
LNBP
Dorados
#9
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A08/10
LNBP
Dorados
#9
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A10/10
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H13/10
LNBP
84.3Avg total
47.3Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.440.186.5+6.473%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.640.690.2+8.979%-
Last 30 away (16)43.739.683.2+4.169%-
Last 10 (10)47.337.084.3+10.380%-
Last 5 (5)44.836.481.2+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)45.840.185.9+5.862%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)47.140.187.2+7.186%-
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FreserosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Halcones Rojos
#10
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H14/09
LNBP
Soles
#12
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A17/09
LNBP
Soles
#12
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A19/09
LNBP
Plateros
#8
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H24/09
LNBP
Plateros
#8
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H24/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A05/10
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A06/10
LNBP
Libertadores
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H08/10
LNBP
Libertadores
#2
L
33-56
33
56
-23
H10/10
LNBP
Abejas
#4
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A13/10
LNBP
88.5Avg total
38.7Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)40.749.189.8-8.311%-
Last 30 at home (8)39.850.690.4-10.912%-
Last 30 away (11)41.547.989.4-6.59%-
Last 10 (10)38.749.888.5-11.10%-
Last 5 (5)40.851.292.0-10.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)40.248.788.9-8.513%-
vs Similar (2)36.547.083.5-10.50%-
vs Weaker (2)49.053.5102.5-4.50%-
This opponent (Abejas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Abejas wins
0
Freseros wins
DateGameScore
13/10/23Abejas v Freseros84-78
Abejaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/23HFreseros84-78
10/10/23ADorados76-90
08/10/23ADorados82-78
06/10/23HFuerza Regia85-80
05/10/23HFuerza Regia99-86
25/09/23AMineros95-85
24/09/23AMineros95-84
19/09/23HHalcones de Xalapa95-75
17/09/23HHalcones de Xalapa98-74
14/09/23HSantos81-83
Freseroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/23AAbejas78-84
10/10/23HLibertadores76-115
08/10/23HLibertadores92-95
06/10/23ACorrecaminos121-92
05/10/23ACorrecaminos109-105 OT
24/09/23HPlateros81-98
24/09/23HPlateros88-94
19/09/23ASoles69-87
17/09/23ASoles89-86
14/09/23HHalcones Rojos84-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Abejas
LNBP 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW74%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %74%89%60%
Points / game87.392.782.4
Allowed / game80.980.981.0
Point differential+6.3+11.8+1.4
Avg total168.2173.6163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%56%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Freseros
LNBP 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL16%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWLWWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %16%0%27%
Points / game84.284.084.3
Allowed / game92.899.587.9
Point differential-8.6-15.5-3.6
Avg total176.9183.5172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fuerza Regia1915479%84.676.2+8.5
2 Abejas1914574%87.380.9+6.3
3 Astros2014670%91.584.5+7.0
4 Libertadores1913668%91.080.7+10.3
5 Halcones de Xalapa1912763%84.784.4+0.3
6 Panteras1911858%87.984.5+3.4
7 Santos1911858%84.782.3+2.5
8 Plateros2011955%85.487.7-2.2
9 Dorados1991047%82.281.4+0.8
10 Mineros1981142%86.787.7-0.9
11 Halcones Rojos2081240%80.283.3-3.0
12 Soles1951426%76.483.0-6.6
13 Freseros1931616%84.292.8-8.6
14 Correcaminos201195%83.6100.3-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Abejas31242324102
Freseros1224241676
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.