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Freseros vs Abejas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 61-78
18-19 24-20 11-17 8-22
Position#14
Record3-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game94.6
vs
Abejas 🏆
Mexico
Position#13
Record2-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game92.1
MexicoLNBP· Inforum Irapuato
Other2025-26
Meetings · Freseros v Abejas
29 Jul 2025
FRES61
ABEJ78
28 Jul 2025
FRES78
ABEJ79
02 Sep 2024
FRES99
ABEJ91
01 Sep 2024
FRES102
ABEJ95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Freseros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Abejas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FreserosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panteras
#6
L
79-98
79
98
-19
A21/10
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
62-82
62
82
-20
H04/07
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H05/07
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
80-123
80
123
-43
A13/07
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
66-122
66
122
-56
A13/07
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
69-96
69
96
-27
H18/07
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H19/07
LNBP
Mineros
#5
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A24/07
LNBP
Mineros
#5
L
61-102
61
102
-41
A25/07
LNBP
Abejas
#13
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H29/07
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
23-23
13-23
19-24
20-11
17-25
7-17
18-29
20-16
16-23
26-23
20-18
23-38
14-30
20-32
23-23
17-31
15-34
13-28
21-29
16-23
24-28
18-21
11-24
20-26
22-21
18-20
26-15
23-26
17-21
26-17
20-21
24-22
21-17
10-25
6-38
20-20
21-13
25-25
12-21
169.8Avg total
74.9Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.494.6169.0-20.133%
Season at home (5)75.483.8159.2-8.440%
Season away (4)73.2108.0181.2-34.825%
Last 10 (10)74.994.9169.8-20.030%
Last 5 (5)76.088.8164.8-12.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)82.993.8176.7-10.932%
vs Similar (6)89.783.7173.3+6.050%
vs Weaker (2)90.592.5183.0-2.00%
This opponent (Abejas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AbejasMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astros
#3
W
91-87
91
87
+4
H10/10
LNBP
Santos
#11
L
83-84
83
84
-1
H16/10
LNBP
Santos
#11
W
105-98
105
98
+7
H17/10
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
103-98
103
98
+5
H11/07
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
97-114
97
114
-17
H12/07
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A18/07
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A19/07
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
66-84
66
84
-18
H22/07
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
87-95
87
95
-8
H22/07
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
79-78
79
78
+1
A29/07
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
24-20
23-20
20-23
18-23
17-27
28-19
20-15
29-25
27-22
22-23
27-28
30-27
22-29
22-18
29-24
19-34
30-25
23-28
25-27
15-28
22-22
17-19
15-21
24-23
14-20
22-26
23-17
16-17
21-20
17-25
12-22
19-19
26-28
14-22
28-26
20-20
13-21
25-25
21-12
177.7Avg total
86.3Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.492.1175.6-8.729%
Season at home (4)88.297.8186.0-9.525%
Season away (3)77.084.7161.7-7.733%
Last 10 (10)86.391.4177.7-5.140%
Last 5 (5)76.886.6163.4-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)88.393.8182.1-5.527%
vs Similar (12)86.690.2176.8-3.725%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)80.378.7159.0+1.767%
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -6.6-6.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -6.6-6.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
FreserosAbejas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FreserosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panteras
#6
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A21/10
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H04/07
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H05/07
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
37-68
37
68
-31
A13/07
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
32-65
32
65
-33
A13/07
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H18/07
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H19/07
LNBP
Mineros
#5
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A24/07
LNBP
Mineros
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A25/07
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H29/07
LNBP
87.3Avg total
39.7Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.747.490.1-4.627%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.345.589.8-1.238%-
Last 30 away (14)40.949.590.4-8.614%-
Last 10 (10)39.747.687.3-7.930%-
Last 5 (5)41.643.485.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)42.048.390.4-6.327%-
vs Similar (6)46.045.791.7+0.317%-
vs Weaker (2)40.542.082.5-1.550%-
This opponent (Abejas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AbejasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astros
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H10/10
LNBP
Santos
#11
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H16/10
LNBP
Santos
#11
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H17/10
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H11/07
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H12/07
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A18/07
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A19/07
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H22/07
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H22/07
LNBP
Freseros
#14
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A29/07
LNBP
90.4Avg total
43.0Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.146.290.3-2.130%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.847.492.2-2.725%-
Last 30 away (14)43.444.788.1-1.436%-
Last 10 (10)43.047.490.4-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)38.043.681.6-5.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)44.347.191.4-2.920%-
vs Similar (12)45.046.291.2-1.242%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)39.741.080.7-1.333%-
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Freseros wins
3
Abejas wins
DateGameScore
29/07/25Freseros v Abejas78-79
03/09/24Freseros v Abejas99-91
02/09/24Freseros v Abejas102-95
14/10/23Abejas v Freseros102-76
13/10/23Abejas v Freseros84-78
Freseroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/07/25HAbejas78-79
25/07/25AMineros61-102
24/07/25AMineros86-85
19/07/25HFuerza Regia86-82
18/07/25HFuerza Regia69-96
13/07/25ADiablos Rojos66-122
13/07/25ADiablos Rojos80-123
05/07/25HGambusinos82-80
04/07/25HGambusinos62-82
21/10/24APanteras79-98
Abejaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/07/25AFreseros79-78
22/07/25HEl Calor de Cancun87-95
22/07/25HEl Calor de Cancun66-84
19/07/25ACorrecaminos83-86
18/07/25ACorrecaminos69-90
12/07/25HPanteras97-114
11/07/25HPanteras103-98
17/10/24HSantos105-98
16/10/24HSantos83-84
10/10/24HAstros91-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Freseros
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%40%25%
Points / game74.475.473.2
Allowed / game94.683.8108.0
Point differential-20.1-8.4-34.8
Avg total169.0159.2181.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Abejas
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game83.488.277.0
Allowed / game92.197.884.7
Point differential-8.7-9.5-7.7
Avg total175.6186.0161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diablos Rojos98189%103.180.4+22.7
2 Soles98189%91.677.8+13.8
3 Astros76186%86.774.1+12.6
4 Mineros97278%93.382.7+10.7
5 Fuerza Regia96367%90.677.4+13.1
6 Dorados95456%83.682.0+1.6
7 Gambusinos94544%81.084.4-3.4
8 El Calor de Cancun104640%79.885.9-6.1
9 Halcones de Xalapa93633%80.083.4-3.4
10 Freseros93633%74.494.6-20.1
11 Correcaminos103730%81.391.4-10.1
12 Abejas72529%83.492.1-8.7
13 Panteras92722%89.896.6-6.8
14 Santos91811%80.293.2-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Freseros182411861
Abejas1920172278
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