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Freseros vs El Calor de Cancun Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 85-82
21-24 26-17 23-15 15-26
Position#12
Record8-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game91.4
vs
Position#8
Record7-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game82.8
MexicoLNBP· Inforum Irapuato
Other2024-25
Meetings · Freseros v El Calor de Cancun
20 Aug 2026
FRES80
EL C76
19 Aug 2026
FRES93
EL C89
14 Sep 2024
FRES85
EL C82
13 Sep 2024
FRES106
EL C101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Freseros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
El Calor de Cancun winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FreserosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H11/08
LNBP
Mineros
#13
W
82-75
82
75
+7
A17/08
LNBP
Mineros
#13
W
92-86
92
86
+6
A18/08
LNBP
Soles
#5
W
94-83
94
83
+11
H24/08
LNBP
Soles
#5
L
101-102
101
102
-1
H25/08
LNBP
Abejas
#14
W
102-95
102
95
+7
H02/09
LNBP
Abejas
#14
W
99-91
99
91
+8
H03/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#2
L
90-93
90
93
-3
A07/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#2
L
73-91
73
91
-18
A08/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#8
W
106-101 OT
106
101
+5
H14/09
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
20-27
21-20
17-19
20-18
24-17
16-24
22-16
16-23
27-24
30-16
19-23
24-24
32-21
16-17
22-21
28-27
20-30
26-20
27-25
32-24
24-32
26-26
20-13
21-24
29-30
32-24
17-13
28-28
22-23
22-19
18-23
17-28
26-27
19-14
11-22
14-23
28-23
12-24
36-20
181.3Avg total
91.5Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)88.291.4179.6-3.342%
Season at home (9)93.193.2186.3-0.144%
Season away (10)83.789.8173.5-6.140%
Last 10 (10)91.589.8181.3+1.760%
Last 5 (5)94.094.2188.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)85.291.9177.1-6.732%
vs Similar (4)95.091.2186.2+3.875%
vs Weaker (4)89.888.2178.0+1.575%
This opponent (El Calor de Cancun) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
El Calor de CancunMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santos
#11
L
83-98
83
98
-15
A05/08
LNBP
Abejas
#14
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H09/08
LNBP
Abejas
#14
W
97-76
97
76
+21
H10/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#1
L
103-111 OT
103
111
-8
A17/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#1
L
87-94
87
94
-7
A18/08
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H23/08
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
82-90
82
90
-8
H24/08
LNBP
Soles
#5
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A06/09
LNBP
Soles
#5
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A07/09
LNBP
Freseros
#12
L
101-106 OT
101
106
-5
A14/09
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
20-31
19-23
25-25
18-25
15-18
18-21
17-12
21-22
29-15
18-19
29-20
23-19
23-31
29-23
17-19
23-24
20-21
23-20
21-29
22-23
13-22
16-21
32-8
18-19
17-29
20-26
27-16
13-25
20-17
24-15
13-14
22-15
14-14
16-20
14-19
23-14
23-28
24-12
20-36
170.4Avg total
84.0Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.182.8166.9+1.237%
Season at home (8)81.680.8162.4+0.938%
Season away (11)85.884.4170.2+1.536%
Last 10 (10)84.086.4170.4-2.420%
Last 5 (5)80.481.8162.2-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)81.483.8165.2-2.420%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)87.081.8168.8+5.256%
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
FreserosEl Calor de Cancun
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FreserosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H11/08
LNBP
Mineros
#13
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A17/08
LNBP
Mineros
#13
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A18/08
LNBP
Soles
#5
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H24/08
LNBP
Soles
#5
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H25/08
LNBP
Abejas
#14
D
56-56
56
56
+0
H02/09
LNBP
Abejas
#14
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H03/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#2
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A07/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#2
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A08/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#8
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H14/09
LNBP
95.8Avg total
47.0Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.747.491.0-3.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.247.791.9-3.525%-
Last 30 away (14)43.147.090.1-3.936%-
Last 10 (10)47.048.895.8-1.820%-
Last 5 (5)48.252.4100.6-4.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)41.948.089.8-6.118%-
vs Similar (4)51.547.599.0+4.050%-
vs Weaker (4)45.844.089.8+1.875%-
This opponent (El Calor de Cancun) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
El Calor de CancunLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santos
#11
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A05/08
LNBP
Abejas
#14
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H09/08
LNBP
Abejas
#14
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H10/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#1
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A17/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A18/08
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H23/08
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H24/08
LNBP
Soles
#5
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A06/09
LNBP
Soles
#5
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A07/09
LNBP
Freseros
#12
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A14/09
LNBP
82.7Avg total
39.6Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)40.441.882.3-1.442%-
Last 30 at home (8)37.142.879.9-5.625%-
Last 30 away (11)42.841.284.0+1.655%-
Last 10 (10)39.643.182.7-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.041.278.2-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)37.242.880.0-5.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.040.884.8+3.267%-
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Freseros wins
0
El Calor de Cancun wins
DateGameScore
14/09/24Freseros v El Calor de Cancun106-101 OT
Freseroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/09/24HEl Calor de Cancun106-101 OT
08/09/24AFuerza Regia73-91
07/09/24AFuerza Regia90-93
03/09/24HAbejas99-91
02/09/24HAbejas102-95
25/08/24HSoles101-102
24/08/24HSoles94-83
18/08/24AMineros92-86
17/08/24AMineros82-75
11/08/24HHalcones de Xalapa76-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/09/24AFreseros101-106 OT
07/09/24ASoles66-68
06/09/24ASoles70-71
24/08/24HHalcones de Xalapa82-90
23/08/24HHalcones de Xalapa83-74
18/08/24ADiablos Rojos87-94
17/08/24ADiablos Rojos103-111 OT
10/08/24HAbejas97-76
09/08/24HAbejas68-76
05/08/24ASantos83-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Freseros
LNBP 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW42%
HomeWLWWW44%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %42%44%40%
Points / game88.293.183.7
Allowed / game91.493.289.8
Point differential-3.3-0.1-6.1
Avg total179.6186.3173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %11%22%0%
El Calor de Cancun
LNBP 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL37%
HomeLLWWL38%
AwayLLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %37%38%36%
Points / game84.181.685.8
Allowed / game82.880.884.4
Point differential+1.2+0.9+1.5
Avg total166.9162.4170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%25%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %11%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fuerza Regia2017385%85.475.8+9.6
2 Halcones de Xalapa2015575%89.083.2+5.8
3 Astros1914574%83.377.3+6.0
4 Panteras2014670%91.283.5+7.6
5 Diablos Rojos1912763%88.183.3+4.8
6 Plateros1911858%84.180.7+3.4
7 Dorados2011955%88.888.7+0.1
8 Santos20101050%84.885.7-0.9
9 Mineros1991047%80.681.1-0.5
10 Soles2091145%80.285.8-5.5
11 Freseros1981142%88.291.4-3.3
12 El Calor de Cancun1971237%84.182.8+1.2
13 Halcones Rojos2071335%83.088.0-5.0
14 Lobos Plateados2061430%85.289.8-4.5
15 Correcaminos2051525%80.991.0-10.1
16 Abejas2021810%84.292.2-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Freseros2126231585
El Calor de Cancun2417152682
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