PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Freseros vs El Calor de Cancun Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Aug 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 93-89
19-25 27-24 25-21 22-19
Position#13
Record3-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game93.6
Freseros 🏆
Mexico
vs
El Calor de Cancun
Mexico
Position#12
Record4-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game84.9
MexicoLNBPRound 11· Inforum Irapuato
Other2026-27
Meetings · Freseros v El Calor de Cancun
20 Aug 2026
FRES80
EL C76
19 Aug 2026
FRES93
EL C89
14 Sep 2024
FRES85
EL C82
13 Sep 2024
FRES106
EL C101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Freseros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
El Calor de Cancun winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FreserosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFreseros
Date
Competition
Dorados
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
no box
A25/07
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
79-89
79
89
-10
no box
A26/07
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
93-105
93
105
-12
81avg 77
H31/07
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
92-89
92
89
+3
83avg 77
H01/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
L
73-99
73
99
-26
54avg 77
A06/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
86-82
86
82
+4
71avg 77
A07/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
99-96
99
96
+3
84avg 77
H11/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
L
83-86
83
86
-3
68avg 77
H12/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
94-105
94
105
-11
84avg 77
A15/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
100-101 OT
100
101
-1
92avg 77
A16/08
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
24-24
18-16
25-22
16-21
23-27
23-19
17-22
27-21
20-34
25-24
21-26
19-31
32-16
21-26
20-16
20-23
13-25
17-26
23-25
22-30
22-9
22-24
20-19
17-29
22-28
26-25
34-14
22-16
27-22
15-26
19-22
21-25
21-28
24-31
28-21
24-27
20-22
25-19
22-23
181.5Avg total
87.9Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)87.993.6181.5-5.730%
Season at home (4)91.894.0185.8-2.250%
Season away (6)85.393.3178.7-8.017%
Last 10 (10)87.993.6181.5-5.730%
Last 5 (5)92.494.0186.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)78.391.2169.6-12.911%
vs Similar (2)91.091.0182.0+0.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (El Calor de Cancun) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
El Calor de CancunMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCancun
Date
Competition
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
93-96
93
96
-3
no box
A24/07
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
63-80
63
80
-17
no box
A25/07
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
80-76
80
76
+4
72avg 67
H31/07
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
85-95
85
95
-10
79avg 67
H01/08
LNBP
Santos
#10
W
89-84
89
84
+5
75avg 67
A06/08
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
75-82
75
82
-7
64avg 67
A07/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
69-76
69
76
-7
62avg 67
H11/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
67-78
67
78
-11
63avg 67
H12/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
90-83
90
83
+7
74avg 67
A16/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
108-99
108
99
+9
106avg 67
A17/08
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-27
28-23
16-24
18-22
14-22
18-17
22-17
9-24
20-13
20-19
30-28
10-16
17-20
18-31
27-25
23-19
20-14
25-24
23-24
21-22
13-21
20-25
19-18
23-18
17-17
18-17
16-19
18-23
14-14
14-22
17-21
22-21
23-17
26-14
19-20
22-32
20-23
26-32
34-14
28-30
166.8Avg total
81.9Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.984.9166.8-3.040%
Season at home (4)75.281.2156.5-6.025%
Season away (6)86.387.3173.7-1.050%
Last 10 (10)81.984.9166.8-3.040%
Last 5 (5)81.883.6165.4-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.883.9161.7-6.111%
vs Similar (13)76.381.5157.8-5.246%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)90.480.6171.0+9.862%
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -3.3-3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -3.3-3.3
FreserosEl Calor de Cancun
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FreserosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dorados
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A25/07
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A26/07
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H31/07
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H01/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A06/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A07/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
L
39-57
39
57
-18
H11/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H12/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A15/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A16/08
LNBP
90.5Avg total
42.5Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.546.286.7-5.827%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.046.489.4-3.443%-
Last 30 away (16)38.246.184.3-7.812%-
Last 10 (10)42.548.090.5-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)43.647.290.8-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)40.246.186.4-5.925%-
vs Similar (2)44.047.591.5-3.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (El Calor de Cancun) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
El Calor de CancunLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lobos Plateados
#4
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A24/07
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A25/07
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H31/07
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H01/08
LNBP
Santos
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A06/08
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A07/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H11/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H12/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A16/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A17/08
LNBP
81.4Avg total
40.2Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.341.281.5-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.938.577.3+0.467%-
Last 30 away (15)41.743.985.6-2.340%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.281.4-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.478.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.641.382.9+0.256%-
vs Similar (13)37.241.778.8-4.546%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.940.284.1+3.662%-
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Freserostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Freseros: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.5 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.423.8
56.0%
54.1%47.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.9
32.9%
34.8%26.6
🏀 Free throws23.415.1
64.7%
71.7%15.1
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
El Calor de Cancuntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

El Calor de Cancun: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.0
50.5%
54.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.09.2
40.0%
34.8%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.013.2
69.5%
71.7%13.2
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 20 Aug 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Freseros
LLLWWLWLLL
El Calor de Cancun
WWLLLWLWLL
#13
League position
#12
-3.8
Net rating
-0.8
97.5
Offensive rating
100.4
101.4
Defensive rating
101.1
53.4%
Effective FG%
54.1%
58.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
14.9%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.9%
3-point %
40.0%
49.8%
Assist %
57.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 100.4Defence101.4 · 101.1Shooting53.4% · 54.1%3-point %32.9% · 40.0%Ball care14.9% · 14.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Freseros   ■ El Calor de Cancun
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Freseros wins
2
El Calor de Cancun wins
DateGameScore
05/09/25El Calor de Cancun v Freseros104-64
04/09/25El Calor de Cancun v Freseros91-83
15/09/24Freseros v El Calor de Cancun85-82
14/09/24Freseros v El Calor de Cancun106-101 OT
Freseroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/08/26AFuerza Regia100-101 OT
15/08/26AFuerza Regia94-105
12/08/26HCorrecaminos83-86
11/08/26HCorrecaminos99-96
07/08/26ADiablos Rojos86-82
06/08/26ADiablos Rojos73-99
01/08/26HMineros92-89
31/07/26HMineros93-105
26/07/26ADorados79-89
25/07/26ADorados80-84
El Calor de Cancunlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/08/26ACorrecaminos108-99
16/08/26ACorrecaminos90-83
12/08/26HMineros67-78
11/08/26HMineros69-76
07/08/26ASantos75-82
06/08/26ASantos89-84
01/08/26HAbejas85-95
31/07/26HAbejas80-76
25/07/26ALobos Plateados63-80
24/07/26ALobos Plateados93-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Freseros
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL30%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %30%50%17%
Points / game87.991.885.3
Allowed / game93.694.093.3
Point differential-5.7-2.2-8.0
Avg total181.5185.8178.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %10%0%17%
El Calor de Cancun
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %40%25%50%
Points / game81.975.286.3
Allowed / game84.981.287.3
Point differential-3.0-6.0-1.0
Avg total166.8156.5173.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Soles108280%83.374.2+9.1
2 Mineros107370%89.082.6+6.4
3 Dorados107370%84.280.5+3.7
4 Fuerza Regia107370%88.688.5+0.1
5 Astros128467%87.080.3+6.7
6 Panteras106460%87.582.7+4.8
7 Lobos Plateados105550%79.179.8-0.7
8 Diablos Rojos104640%81.881.1+0.7
9 Abejas104640%86.788.3-1.6
10 El Calor de Cancun104640%81.984.9-3.0
11 Santos104640%78.587.5-9.0
12 Gambusinos103730%74.579.2-4.7
13 Freseros103730%87.993.6-5.7
14 Correcaminos1221017%85.392.1-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Freseros1927252293
El Calor de Cancun2524211989
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.