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Fresno State vs Cal Poly Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 83-48
50-29 33-19
Position#130
Record8-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game66.3
Allowed / game56.8
vs
Position#337
Record3-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game64.8
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Fresno State v Cal Poly
17 Dec 2021
FRES83
CAL 48
12 Dec 2020
FRES v CAL
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cal Poly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno Pacific
#413
W
74-54
74
54
+20
H10/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#163
W
84-60
84
60
+24
H13/11
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H16/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#343
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H23/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#98
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H25/11
NCAA
California
#281
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A29/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#212
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H02/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#340
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H05/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#61
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A09/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#125
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H12/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-20
32-34
41-34
43-26
31-26
38-36
33-27
37-36
27-25
32-27
21-28
36-37
33-20
30-23
39-17
22-26
31-24
32-47
26-21
37-34
123.1Avg total
66.3Scored
56.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)66.356.8123.1+9.580%
Season at home (8)67.954.0121.9+13.9100%
Season away (2)60.068.0128.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)66.356.8123.1+9.580%
Last 5 (5)61.455.4116.8+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)57.369.9127.2-12.611%
vs Similar (7)67.764.1131.9+3.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)70.260.5130.7+9.892%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Westcliff
#474
W
86-53
86
53
+33
H10/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#69
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H12/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#274
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H16/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#98
L
57-87
57
87
-30
A20/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#83
L
72-75 OT
72
75
-3
H22/11
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
67-63
67
63
+4
A24/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#173
L
55-64
55
64
-9
A03/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#212
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A05/12
NCAA
Portland State
#232
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A12/12
NCAA
Portland
#140
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-23
54-30
23-30
34-30
26-22
31-36
21-34
36-53
27-21
35-41
38-29
29-34
32-33
23-31
22-31
29-21
27-21
34-37
37-37
40-41
128.8Avg total
64.0Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)64.064.8128.8-0.830%
Season at home (4)68.061.5129.5+6.525%
Season away (6)61.367.0128.3-5.733%
Last 10 (10)64.064.8128.8-0.830%
Last 5 (5)62.263.0125.2-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)58.970.3129.2-11.412%
vs Similar (4)63.566.2129.8-2.825%
vs Weaker (2)80.562.0142.5+18.5100%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.2+8.21st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -0.9-0.9
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.2+8.21st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -0.9-0.9
Fresno StateCal Poly
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno Pacific
#413
W
42-20
42
20
+22
H10/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#163
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H13/11
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H16/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#343
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H23/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#98
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H25/11
NCAA
California
#281
L
21-28
21
28
-7
A29/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#212
W
33-20
33
20
+13
H02/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#340
W
39-17
39
17
+22
H05/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#61
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A09/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#125
W
26-21
26
21
+5
H12/12
NCAA
56.6Avg total
32.4Scored
24.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.828.159.9+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (19)32.027.259.2+4.863%-
Last 30 away (11)31.529.661.1+1.864%-
Last 10 (10)32.424.256.6+8.290%-
Last 5 (5)30.022.052.0+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)28.030.858.8-2.833%-
vs Similar (7)32.327.059.3+5.3100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)33.427.560.8+5.962%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Westcliff
#474
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H10/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#69
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H12/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#274
W
26-22
26
22
+4
H16/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#98
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A20/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#83
W
27-21
27
21
+6
H22/11
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A24/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#173
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A03/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#212
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A05/12
NCAA
Portland State
#232
W
27-21
27
21
+6
A12/12
NCAA
Portland
#140
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A14/12
NCAA
56.6Avg total
28.5Scored
28.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.632.259.8-4.623%-
Last 30 at home (12)28.230.258.4-2.133%-
Last 30 away (18)27.333.560.8-6.217%-
Last 10 (10)28.528.156.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)31.230.261.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)26.832.559.3-5.817%-
vs Similar (4)30.231.561.8-1.250%-
vs Weaker (2)33.029.562.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Fresno State wins
0
Cal Poly wins
DateGameScore
15/12/19Cal Poly v Fresno State37-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/21HUC Irvine63-55
09/12/21ASan Francisco63-71
05/12/21HCS Northridge61-43
02/12/21HSan Diego Toreros63-43
29/11/21ACalifornia57-65
25/11/21HSanta Clara59-52
23/11/21HPepperdine70-63
16/11/21HIdaho69-62
13/11/21HLIU Sharks84-60
10/11/21HFresno Pacific74-54
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/21APortland77-78
12/12/21APortland State61-58
05/12/21ASan Diego Toreros51-52
03/12/21ACalifornia Baptist55-64
24/11/21AIdaho67-63
22/11/21HNicholls State72-75 OT
20/11/21ASanta Clara57-87
16/11/21HSacramento State57-58
12/11/21HNorth Dakota St57-60
10/11/21HWestcliff86-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %80%100%0%
Points / game66.367.960.0
Allowed / game56.854.068.0
Point differential+9.5+13.9-8.0
Avg total123.1121.9128.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cal Poly
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL30%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %30%25%33%
Points / game64.068.061.3
Allowed / game64.861.567.0
Point differential-0.8+6.5-5.7
Avg total128.8129.5128.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %10%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colorado State10100100%83.467.0+16.4
2 Wyoming109190%79.762.8+16.9
3 Grand Canyon119282%74.458.7+15.6
4 Fresno State108280%66.356.8+9.5
5 Air Force97278%63.058.8+4.2
6 Utah State118373%79.868.1+11.7
7 San Diego State96367%63.459.2+4.2
8 Boise State117464%68.759.2+9.5
9 San Jose State106460%70.070.1-0.1
10 UNLV127558%70.867.4+3.4
11 Nevada95456%80.475.7+4.8
12 New Mexico116555%81.377.8+3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Irvine85362%70.256.0+14.2
2 UC Davis85362%70.166.5+3.6
3 UC Riverside106460%64.559.7+4.8
4 CSU Bakersfield74357%67.164.1+3.0
5 UC Santa Barbara95456%79.668.4+11.1
6 UC San Diego95456%69.964.0+5.9
7 CS Fullerton105550%69.966.5+3.4
8 Hawaii73443%75.375.4-0.1
9 CS Northridge93633%57.368.2-10.9
10 Cal Poly103730%64.064.8-0.8
11 Long Beach State103730%73.181.2-8.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State503383
Cal Poly291948
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