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Fresno State vs Pepperdine Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 76-53
27-35 49-18
Position#275
Record5-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game69.4
vs
Position#347
Record3-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game76.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Fresno State v Pepperdine
26 Nov 2025
FRES76
PEPP53
23 Nov 2021
FRES70
PEPP63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pepperdine winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#306
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H05/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
68-92
68
92
-24
A08/03
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A12/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#524
W
88-51
88
51
+37
H04/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
L
66-67
66
67
-1
H06/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
82-62
82
62
+20
H08/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H13/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H16/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H19/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-24
35-34
32-42
36-50
32-44
39-42
42-29
46-22
36-25
30-42
28-20
54-42
30-42
43-36
33-40
42-34
39-42
41-36
41-37
44-39
147.2Avg total
75.0Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.469.4147.9+9.071%
Season at home (7)78.469.4147.9+9.071%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.072.2147.2+2.860%
Last 5 (5)79.073.6152.6+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)70.482.7153.1-12.213%
vs Similar (6)74.867.8142.7+7.067%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Pepperdine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PepperdineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland
#309
W
86-73
86
73
+13
A08/03
NCAA
Oregon State
#104
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A09/03
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
W
78-76
78
76
+2
A10/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
L
59-74
59
74
-15
A11/03
NCAA
Life Pacific
#415
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H04/11
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A08/11
NCAA
Lincoln University (CA)
#658
W
113-76
113
76
+37
H12/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
H16/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H19/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-38
57-35
38-40
39-33
36-40
42-36
29-39
30-35
50-43
38-37
28-37
35-37
53-37
60-39
31-41
43-33
45-37
45-42
32-24
28-39
155.1Avg total
79.5Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.576.7159.2+5.850%
Season at home (5)86.477.2163.6+9.260%
Season away (1)63.074.0137.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)79.575.6155.1+3.960%
Last 5 (5)81.476.0157.4+5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)68.080.4148.4-12.420%
vs Similar (8)77.472.2149.6+5.138%
vs Weaker (7)86.381.6167.9+4.771%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +5.1+5.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +5.1+5.1
Fresno StatePepperdine
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#306
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H05/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A08/03
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A12/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#524
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H04/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H06/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
28-20
28
20
+8
H08/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H13/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H16/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H19/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H22/11
NCAA
68.5Avg total
34.0Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.536.968.4-5.430%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.633.766.2-1.139%-
Last 30 away (12)29.841.871.6-11.917%-
Last 10 (10)34.034.568.5-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)34.236.270.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)30.139.369.4-9.213%-
vs Similar (6)35.029.064.0+6.083%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Pepperdine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PepperdineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland
#309
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A08/03
NCAA
Oregon State
#104
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A09/03
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A10/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A11/03
NCAA
Life Pacific
#415
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H04/11
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A08/11
NCAA
Lincoln University (CA)
#658
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H12/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H16/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H19/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H22/11
NCAA
74.7Avg total
37.1Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.438.574.9-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.637.875.4-0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)35.139.374.4-4.229%-
Last 10 (10)37.137.674.7-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)37.835.273.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)32.340.372.6-8.113%-
vs Similar (8)38.133.471.5+4.862%-
vs Weaker (7)43.340.483.7+2.971%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Fresno State wins
0
Pepperdine wins
DateGameScore
23/11/21Fresno State v Pepperdine70-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25HNew Orleans85-76
19/11/25HStephen F. Austin80-78
16/11/25HUtah Valley State75-74
13/11/25HUC San Diego73-78
08/11/25HLong Beach State82-62
06/11/25HUSC Upstate66-67
04/11/25HFresno Pacific88-51
12/03/25ANevada71-86
08/03/25ASan Jose State68-92
05/03/25HWyoming62-58
Pepperdinelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25HStephen F. Austin60-63
19/11/25HNew Orleans90-79
16/11/25HNorthern Colorado81-88 OT
12/11/25HLincoln University (CA)113-76
08/11/25AUCLA63-74
04/11/25HLife Pacific88-80
11/03/25ASt. Marys (CA)59-74
10/03/25ASanta Clara78-76
09/03/25AOregon State77-73
08/03/25APortland86-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWLWWW71%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games77-
Win %71%71%-
Points / game78.478.4-
Allowed / game69.469.4-
Point differential+9.0+9.0-
Avg total147.9147.9-
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Pepperdine
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %50%60%0%
Points / game82.586.463.0
Allowed / game76.777.274.0
Point differential+5.8+9.2-11.0
Avg total159.2163.6137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %17%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State660100%89.765.0+24.7
2 Wyoming65183%84.770.5+14.2
3 Fresno State75271%78.469.4+9.0
4 Colorado State64267%85.572.2+13.3
5 Grand Canyon64267%79.371.3+8.0
6 New Mexico64267%75.369.3+6.0
7 Nevada64267%78.774.2+4.5
8 San Diego State53260%81.676.8+4.8
9 Boise State74357%75.069.9+5.1
10 San Jose State73443%73.371.7+1.6
11 UNLV73443%87.087.0+0.0
12 Air Force83538%68.073.5-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gonzaga770100%95.062.1+32.9
2 St. Marys (CA)660100%87.057.8+29.2
3 Santa Clara660100%81.861.5+20.3
4 Loyola Marymount87188%82.464.6+17.8
5 San Francisco65183%80.765.3+15.3
6 Seattle54180%81.871.2+10.6
7 Pacific75271%75.366.6+8.7
8 Portland74357%82.180.0+2.1
9 Pepperdine63350%82.576.7+5.8
10 San Diego Toreros63350%74.072.2+1.8
11 Oregon State73443%71.775.1-3.4
12 Washington State83538%80.481.8-1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State274976
Pepperdine351853
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