PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

San Jose State vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 92-68
42-32 50-36
Position#251
Record13-18
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#358
Record6-24
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game80.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · San Jose State v Fresno State
18 Nov 2026
SAN v FRES
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
SAN 55
FRES70
08 Mar 2025
SAN 92
FRES68
06 Feb 2024
SAN 57
FRES69
10 Jan 2023
SAN 74
FRES64
01 Feb 2022
SAN 43
FRES73
12 Feb 2020
SAN 78
FRES84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Jose State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Jose StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#65
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A29/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H01/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
A05/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
52-79
52
79
-27
A08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H12/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
58-73
58
73
-15
H15/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
57-105
57
105
-48
A20/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A22/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H26/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-29
27-42
37-29
38-35
31-29
36-38
25-37
27-42
37-20
29-49
27-26
31-47
24-47
33-58
37-39
45-34
31-35
40-42
23-35
33-48
146.4Avg total
67.9Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)72.474.3146.7-1.942%
Season at home (17)73.071.6144.6+1.447%
Season away (14)71.777.5149.2-5.836%
Last 10 (10)67.978.5146.4-10.630%
Last 5 (5)64.882.2147.0-17.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)65.775.4141.1-9.720%
vs Similar (8)76.076.8152.8-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)85.371.3156.6+14.086%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#306
L
72-83 OT
72
83
-11
A29/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
60-82
60
82
-22
A01/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
H05/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H08/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
69-94
69
94
-25
A11/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H16/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
60-83
60
83
-23
A19/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
L
69-72 OT
69
72
-3
A22/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H02/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-31
37-36
26-44
34-38
29-31
38-36
31-50
50-39
31-41
38-53
18-26
33-26
23-43
37-40
32-31
29-30
26-27
35-39
27-24
35-34
144.9Avg total
67.6Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)70.880.1151.0-9.320%
Season at home (15)72.175.6147.7-3.533%
Season away (15)69.584.7154.2-15.17%
Last 10 (10)67.677.3144.9-9.710%
Last 5 (5)60.666.2126.8-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)69.782.0151.7-12.38%
vs Similar (5)76.470.8147.2+5.680%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (San Jose State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: -7.5-7.52nd half2nd half: -9.6-9.62nd half: -0.5-0.5
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: -7.5-7.52nd half2nd half: -9.6-9.62nd half: -0.5-0.5
San Jose StateFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Jose StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#65
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A29/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H01/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A05/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
37-20
37
20
+17
H12/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H15/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A20/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A22/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H26/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A05/03
NCAA
63.9Avg total
31.3Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.333.466.8-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.931.665.4+2.362%-
Last 30 away (14)32.735.668.3-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)31.332.663.9-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)28.436.464.8-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)31.132.964.0-1.740%-
vs Similar (8)33.935.068.9-1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)37.432.970.3+4.671%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#306
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A29/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A01/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H05/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H08/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A11/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
18-26
18
26
-8
H16/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A19/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H02/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H05/03
NCAA
62.1Avg total
27.3Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.837.167.9-6.420%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.434.065.4-2.627%-
Last 30 away (15)30.140.370.4-10.113%-
Last 10 (10)27.334.862.1-7.520%-
Last 5 (5)25.230.255.4-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)29.537.967.4-8.412%-
vs Similar (5)37.233.470.6+3.860%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (San Jose State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
San Jose State wins
8
Fresno State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25AColorado State56-83
26/02/25HUNLV71-77
22/02/25AWyoming82-73
20/02/25AUtah State57-105
15/02/25HNevada58-73
12/02/25HSan Diego State66-69
08/02/25ABoise State52-79
05/02/25AFresno State94-91 OT
01/02/25HAir Force75-64
29/01/25ASan Diego State68-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25HWyoming62-58
02/03/25HBoise State61-66
22/02/25AAir Force69-72 OT
19/02/25ASan Diego State60-83
16/02/25HUNLV51-52
11/02/25ANevada69-94
08/02/25HUtah State81-89
05/02/25HSan Jose State91-94 OT
01/02/25ABoise State60-82
29/01/25AWyoming72-83 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Jose State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL42%
HomeWWLLL47%
AwayWLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %42%47%36%
Points / game72.473.071.7
Allowed / game74.371.677.5
Point differential-1.9+1.4-5.8
Avg total146.7144.6149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%18%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %6%6%7%
Fresno State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %20%33%7%
Points / game70.872.169.5
Allowed / game80.175.684.7
Point differential-9.3-3.5-15.1
Avg total151.0147.7154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)17% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %17%20%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State3125681%81.569.9+11.6
2 New Mexico3125681%82.271.3+10.9
3 Grand Canyon3023777%78.368.6+9.7
4 San Diego State2820871%71.263.8+7.4
5 Boise State3122971%76.066.3+9.7
6 Colorado State3122971%75.567.5+7.9
7 UNLV31171455%69.668.4+1.3
8 Nevada30161453%72.767.7+5.0
9 San Jose State31131842%72.474.3-1.9
10 Wyoming31121939%67.471.3-4.0
11 Fresno State3062420%70.880.1-9.3
12 Air Force3142713%62.073.8-11.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
San Jose State425092
Fresno State323668
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.